CUSA · 2026

New Mexico State Aggies

Head coach Tony Sanchez · Aggie Memorial Stadium
1-20-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#115
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-6.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-3.4
107th in FBS
Defense
-3.0
108th in FBS
Schedule so far
-9.0
105th toughest
Projected
5.0-7.0
bowl-eligible 39%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-6.4 now, -5.4 preseason · up 2 spots since preseason
-50FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#115

Final record odds

5.0-7.0 expected · most likely 5-7 (22%)
1-116%2-1013%3-920%4-822%5-719%6-612%7-56%8-49-3

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29@45Florida StateL 17–34-11.0—CW
1Sep 5vsMercyhurst FCSW 51–14+1.3—ESPN+
2Sep 12@111Hawai'iL 19–29-12.8—MW+
3—Bye
4Sep 26vs35New MexicoNew Mexico −8.2 · o/u 47.1—29%CBSSN
5Oct 1vs128Western KentuckyCONFNew Mexico State −7.1 · o/u 52.9—68%CBSSN
6Oct 7@92Florida InternationalCONFFlorida International −6.2 · o/u 41.2—34%ESPN2
7—Bye
8Oct 21@108Sam HoustonCONFSam Houston −4.0 · o/u 46.6—40%ESPN2
9Oct 28vs100Jacksonville StateCONFNew Mexico State −0.8 · o/u 49.7—52%ESPN2
10Nov 7vs88LibertyCONFLiberty −0.7 · o/u 48.7—48%
11Nov 14@117Missouri StateCONFMissouri State −2.3 · o/u 48.8—44%
12Nov 21vs79DelawareCONFDelaware −1.4 · o/u 49.7—46%
13Nov 28@109Middle TennesseeCONFMiddle Tennessee −4.0 · o/u 52.1—40%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.09892nd+0.12094th
Success rate42.2%88th42.6%97th
Explosiveness1.38922nd1.18448th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.4%71st41.8%89th
Rushing success rate48.1%41st38.8%56th
Passing success rate41.6%90th44.1%103rd
Explosive run rate18.2%30th12.5%79th
Explosive pass rate11.2%66th10.2%79th
Line yards / carry3.5526th2.9269th
Opportunity rate42.9%44th37.5%82nd
Stuff rate11.7%26th23.7%31st
Sack rate3.0%42nd3.9%95th
3rd-down conversion51.4%26th45.9%111th
Red-zone TD rate66.7%59th69.2%93rd
Havoc rate14.0%92nd12.6%99th
Box score · season totals
Points / game29.085th25.792nd
Yards / game417.763rd358.786th
Yards / play6.1762nd5.3893rd
Pass yards / game282.032nd240.7108th
Yards / pass att.8.4050th6.9479th
Completion %58.4%106th64.4%103rd
Rush yards / game135.7103rd118.061st
Yards / carry4.2084th3.8571st
3rd-down conv. %52.5%17th42.9%102nd
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3375th1.3359th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.0088th1.3396th
Penalty yards / game60.083rd52.083rd

Roster

100 players · Head coach Tony Sanchez

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
3Trey HeddenQBJR6' 3"225Tampa, FL
4Parker StofaQBSO6' 4"210Converse, TX
12Kalani McLeodQBSO6' 2"205Vacaville, CA
14Adam DamanteQBJR6' 2"195Gilbert, AZ
17Trey ArnoldQBFR6' 2"210San Diego, CA
0TJ Washington Jr.RBJR5' 11"205Wylie, TX
2James JonesRBSR6' 1"205Baltimore, MD
8Dijon StanleyRBSR6' 0"185Granada Hills, CA
16Xavier RuckerRBFR5' 11"195Acworth, GA
21Isaiah RudisonRBSR5' 11"220El Paso, TX
22Roscoe BurtonRBSR5' 9"180Miami, FL
28Jalen BrownRBJR6' 2"225Chicago, IL
34David BarelaRBJR5' 10"200Las Cruces, NM
1TK KingWRSR5' 9"180Houston, TX
5Myles LibmanWRJR6' 0"185Scottsdale, AZ
6Brodie Malone-BradfordWRSO6' 5"205Houston, TX
7TJ PrideWRJR5' 9"170Midlothian, TX
9Terrione GravesWRJR5' 10"170Jesup, GA
10Lyndon RavareWRSR6' 0"180Victorville, CA
13Jaylen StokesWRFR5' 10"175Long Beach, CA
25Jayden BellWRJR5' 9"170Muskogee, OK
29Kaden TrevinoWRJR5' 11"182Hobbs, NM
81JaDarius SandersWRFR6' 1"185El Paso, TX
82AJ CareyWRFR6' 2"185San Leandro, CA
89Josiah CastilloWRFR6' 3"190Roswell, NM
15Josiah ThomasTESO6' 2"215Austin, TX
18Joshua GoinesTEJR6' 3"235Frisco, TX
19Ray LottenTEJR6' 5"240New Orleans, LA
48Duke FryeTESR6' 0"280Scottsdale, AZ
86Jerry LydiattTEJR6' 3"240Colorado Springs, CO
87Luke LopezTEFR6' 4"220Chino Hills, CA
88Carson Su'esu'eTEFR6' 5"240Oakley, CA
50Luke MoiseOLJR6' 3"300Miami, FL
54Tyler KeinathOLSR6' 2"318Elk Grove, CA
55Ma'Kyi LeeOLSR6' 7"315Metairie, LA
56Mark ChapmanOLSR6' 3"300Guilford, CT
58Sioeli HeluOLSR6' 2"295San Mateo, CA
62Ezra HensleyOLFR6' 3"295Deming, NM
64Sam GarciaOLFR6' 4"280San Tan Valley, AZ
65Isaiah Garcia PerezOLFR6' 5"300Broomfield, CO
66Caleb PyfromOLSO6' 5"325Omaha, NE
67JR HecklinskiOLFR6' 2"280Peoria, AZ
70Mateo RodriguezOLSO6' 5"305Chandler, AZ
71Evan BlaettlerOLJR6' 5"300Vacaville, CA
72Merrick BecerraOLSO6' 6"315Chino Hills, CA
75Hayden HarlanOLSR6' 4"295Clackamas, OR
77Gavin JonesOLFR6' 6"315Corona, CA
78Armond OwensOLJR6' 5"310Missouri City, TX
13Kaian Roberts-DayDLSR6' 3"295Festus, MO
17Raylon CarterDLFR6' 3"275Fort Worth, TX
25Jeremiah SandifordDLSR6' 0"290Lithonia, GA
31Paul KouameDLSO6' 3"235Inglewood, CA
44Enzo-Pierre TayouDLSR6' 2"280Lawndale, CA
90Jordan-Lebron DowneyDLJR6' 2"280Oakville, Canada
93Latrell TreadwellDLJR6' 0"265Albuquerque, NM
94Ellijah FarrDLFR6' 2"350Plano, TX
95Josiah JacksonDLSR6' 1"290Smyrna, TN
97Henry Davis IIIDLSR6' 2"280San Marcos, CA
98Jason GwanDLJR6' 2"260Buffalo, NY
8Brad VisliselDEJR6' 3"240Mount Vernon, IA
15Obinna OkekeDEJR6' 3"246Houston, TX
16Gabe PetersonDESR6' 2"255Overland Park, KS
21Zhakius ThomasDEJR6' 2"250San Antonio, TX
29Jamaun ThompsonDEFR6' 2"230Sarasota, FL
30Demanuel BrownDEJR6' 2"252Houston, TX
52Joey BanegasDESR6' 3"230Las Cruces, NM
99Reeves BallerDEJR6' 6"230Argyle, TX
6Tory GethersLBSR6' 1"215Charleston, SC
10Chance BarronLBJR6' 0"215D'Lo, MS
14Sone AupiuLBSR6' 1"225Long Beach, CA
34Zaiden DavisLBSO6' 2"200Las Cruces, NM
36Nathan WallinLBSR6' 0"210Albuquerque, NM
40Jaylyn ManningLBFR6' 1"230Duncanville, TX
42Fa'apaia FualemaLBJR6' 0"225Waipahu, HI
53Jason Freeman Jr.LBFR6' 1"175Garland, TX
1Josiah CharlesCBSR6' 0"175Dallas, TX
2Javon GillespieCBJR6' 1"185Columbia, SC
4De'Marcus PetersCBSR5' 10"175Humble, TX
12Amaurey BrooksCBSO6' 0"180Rancho Cucamonga, CA
23Izzy Clark-WhiteCBJR6' 0"170Camden, NJ
32Elijah GutierrezCBSO6' 0"185Tolleson, AZ
35Mason MillerCBFR6' 0"170Los Angeles, CA
0Lorenzo SmithSSR6' 0"190Farmhaven, MS
3Tayden BarnesSJR5' 9"185Amarillo, TX
5Nick SessionSSR6' 0"190Gardena, CA
9Bernock IyaSSR6' 2"180Azle, TX
11Walter OwensSJR6' 2"195Mendenhall, MS
18Desmin Hatfield-RushtonSJR6' 3"190Sacramento, CA
19Garrett StennettSFR6' 0"185Pflugerville, TX
20DJ CloydSSR6' 1"200Columbia, MS
22RJ ChapmanSSR6' 0"190Accokeek, MD
26Jakobe CampbellSSO6' 0"180Zephyrhills, FL
28Matthew LashleySSO6' 0"170Las Cruces, NM
37Eric RiveraSJR6' 2"195Phoenix, AZ
17Ilya UvaydovPKSR5' 8"175Gilbert, AZ
40Kyah FranconePKFR6' 0"165Tucson, AZ
92David BarkerPKFR6' 0"170Brisbane, Australia
91Brody RichterPSR6' 3"210Scottsdale, AZ
41Braydyn SageLSFR6' 0"180Tucson, AZ
45Rocky StallworthLSFR6' 0"190Yuma, AZ

Updated Sep 24, 5:53 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →