Mountain West · 2026

New Mexico Lobos

Head coach Jason Eck · University Stadium (NM)
2-10-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#35
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+4.8
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+1.1
57th in FBS
Defense
+3.7
22nd in FBS
Schedule so far
-8.3
94th toughest
Projected
8.8-3.2
bowl-eligible 98%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+4.8 now, +0.2 preseason · up 30 spots since preseason
0+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#35

Final record odds

8.8-3.2 expected · most likely 9-3 (26%)
5-75%6-612%7-520%8-426%9-323%10-211%11-1

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs124Central MichiganW 38–7+14.9—FS1
2Sep 12vsMercyhurst FCSW 70–7+10.4—MW+
3Sep 19@19OklahomaL 6–14+2.8—ESPNEWS
4Sep 26@115New Mexico StateNew Mexico −8.2 · o/u 47.1—71%CBSSN
5Oct 3vs127UTEPCONFNew Mexico −17.2 · o/u 50.7—87%MW+
6—Bye
7Oct 17@111Hawai'iCONFNew Mexico −7.6 · o/u 47.3—69%
8Oct 24vs57North Dakota StateCONFNew Mexico −5.9 · o/u 44.9—65%CW
9Oct 31@122San José StateCONFNew Mexico −10.3 · o/u 49.2—75%MW+
10Nov 6@125NevadaCONFNew Mexico −10.6 · o/u 41.6—76%CBSSN
11Nov 14vs91UNLVCONFNew Mexico −10.8 · o/u 41.8—76%CW
12Nov 21@134WyomingCONFNew Mexico −14.3 · o/u 38.8—83%FS1
13Nov 28vs90Air ForceCONFNew Mexico −10.5 · o/u 50.4—75%CW

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.10491st-0.2292nd
Success rate41.1%100th28.6%5th
Explosiveness1.23278th1.416117th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate41.2%100th29.8%12th
Rushing success rate47.1%53rd30.2%19th
Passing success rate33.3%127th29.5%9th
Explosive run rate16.1%47th5.7%7th
Explosive pass rate10.3%77th7.1%35th
Line yards / carry3.4533rd2.289th
Opportunity rate36.8%96th28.3%20th
Stuff rate10.3%14th24.5%27th
Sack rate12.1%137th8.2%22nd
3rd-down conversion40.0%86th42.9%94th
Red-zone TD rate70.0%55th——
Havoc rate12.4%62nd21.1%5th
Box score · season totals
Points / game38.038th9.38th
Yards / game336.3112th201.04th
Yards / play4.90120th3.558th
Pass yards / game149.3125th135.016th
Yards / pass att.7.2093rd5.8731st
Completion %51.6%134th56.5%36th
Rush yards / game187.046th66.011th
Yards / carry4.2084th2.159th
3rd-down conv. %37.5%94th28.2%27th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)0.001st3.671st
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.33131st3.0018th
Penalty yards / game39.723rd77.310th

Roster

100 players · Head coach Jason Eck

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2Jack LayneQBSR6' 2"209Lake Oswego, OR
3Gabriel MotschenbacherQBJR6' 0"195Lake Oswego, OR
10Luke MogaQBJR6' 1"208Phoenix, AZ
12James LaubsteinQBSR6' 3"209Bethany, CT
13Toa Fa'avaeQBSO6' 0"188Concord, CA
15Cade MitchellQBFR6' 1"220Beaverton, OR
8Deshaun BuchananRBSR5' 9"188Chandler, AZ
20Darrion BowersRBSO5' 8"200Arlington, TX
21Kiefer SibleyRBJR5' 9"179Waco, TX
22Scottre HumphreyRBSR5' 10"215Seattle, WA
23Cameron MathewsRBSO5' 7"187Houston, TX
1Shawn MillerWRSR6' 0"205Chandler, AZ
5Troy OmeireWRSR6' 5"226Houston, TX
6Zhaiel SmithWRSO5' 11"188Portland, OR
9Kader DiopWRSR5' 10"178Minneapolis, MN
11Massiah MingoWRFR5' 9"170Las Vegas, NV
14DJ DarlingWRFR5' 11"175Missouri City, TX
16Jacob MaldonadoWRFR5' 10"170Rio Rancho, NM
25Dorian PattersonWRFR6' 3"192Crete, IL
26KJ CherryWRJR6' 2"185Fontana, CA
81Bailen GeorgeWRFR6' 0"160Missouri City, TX
82JT JeterWRSO6' 0"178Cedar City, UT
83Mikey BeckWRSO6' 1"160Farmington, NM
4Joey OlsenTEJR6' 5"246Lake Oswego, OR
80Max LeeperTEFR6' 7"228Claremont, CA
84Trey MooreTEFR6' 5"210Ventura, CA
85Simon MapaTESR6' 3"255San Mateo, CA
86Aldin BilalbegovicTESO6' 4"225Red Deer, Canada
88Cade KeithTEJR6' 5"245Las Vegas, NV
51Malik AlianeOLSR6' 2"320Rouen, France
54JoJo MatautiaOLSO5' 10"305Sammamish, WA
55Elvin HarrisOLSR6' 6"315Hollywood, FL
57Jonny ShivelyOLSO6' 3"290Gilbert, AZ
59Kaden RobnettOLSR6' 2"302Graham, WA
60Jubilee Siitia-TasiOLSO6' 2"302Spanaway, WA
62Sebastian DawkinsOLFR6' 1"290Spring, TX
65Brody LittonOLFR6' 4"285Beloit, KS
66Markus FetchoOLSO6' 5"308Spokane, WA
68Tyler LawrenceOLSR6' 5"306Puyallup, WA
69Jerbralon StewartOLFR6' 2"260Desoto, TX
71Danzel NewellOLFR6' 5"265Chicago, IL
72Matheu AldermanOLFR6' 5"285Albuquerque, NM
75Ty'aun GatesOLFR6' 5"295Peoria, AZ
76Braden ChickOLFR6' 2"285Queen Creek, AZ
77Tevin ShawOLSR6' 5"320Houston, TX
79Cole MillwardOLSR6' 5"297West Haven, UT
10Darren AguDESR6' 6"252London, England
19Elijah BrodyDEJR6' 1"240Albuquerque, NM
22Jalen CharlesDEJR6' 3"245Manvel, TX
32Trent RockerDEJR6' 5"215Booneville, MS
45Brett KarhuDESR6' 1"226Frisco, TX
47Marcus StevensDEJR6' 2"238Albuquerque, NM
48John SierraDEJR6' 2"237Las Cruces, NM
91Brayden EllisDEJR6' 3"230Union City, CA
99Jack BurzynskiDESO6' 4"225Barrington, IL
15Xavier SlaytonDTSR6' 2"255Chicago, IL
46Jake DeVosDTSO6' 2"255Vale, OR
88AJ RobinsonDTSR6' 2"275Chicago, IL
90Devin PalmerDTFR6' 1"255Allen, TX
92Brian BookerDTSR6' 3"330Mansfield, TX
93Deven DyerDTSR6' 1"290Albuquerque, NM
94Jalen McIverDTJR6' 3"278Tuscaloosa, AL
98Nick BarberDTFR6' 3"280San Antonio, TX
6Jaxton EckLBSR6' 1"228Brookings, SD
11C.J. JohnsonLBJR6' 2"215Houston, TX
18Clay MartineauLBJR6' 3"228Oregon City, OR
26Thomas PettusLBSO6' 1"212Albuquerque, NM
33Hayes BaumLBFR5' 11"222Albuquerque, NM
34Broden SchmidtLBFR6' 2"227Tucson, AZ
38Jayden FlakerLBSR6' 2"222Scarborough, ME
41Eli CroninLBFR6' 0"216Chandler, AZ
50Ricklan Holmes IILBFR5' 11"227Oklahoma City, OK
4Jayden SheridanCBSR5' 11"182Palmdale, CA
5Frankie Edwards IIICBJR5' 10"178Moreno Valley, CA
8Ormanie ArnoldCBSR5' 8"178Long Beach, CA
9Eric McClainCBJR5' 11"183Lombard, IL
14Melaki GutierrezCBJR6' 0"165Hernandez, NM
24Joshua BarnesCBJR5' 9"185Los Angeles, CA
25Bear LevellsCBSR5' 11"186Hemet, CA
27Brannon HamptonCBFR6' 1"166Tustin, CA
0Austin BrawleySSR5' 10"180Massillon, OH
3CJ McBeanSSO6' 1"195Long Beach, CA
7Tavian CombsSSR6' 2"198Amarillo, TX
12Drew SpeechSSR6' 2"204Hollister, CA
13Chris Gant Jr.SJR5' 9"192Spring, TX
16Marco Beltran Jr.SFR5' 10"190The Woodlands, TX
17Will HicksSJR6' 0"198New Orleans, LA
20Kevin LongstreetSSR5' 8"185Inglewood, CA
21Josh MensahSFR6' 0"187Fontana, CA
28Deriece BrownSSO6' 1"200Buckeye, AZ
29Xavier Rivera-RogersSFR6' 2"190Chandler, AZ
30Keshawn MonroeSSO5' 8"175Houston, TX
39Jaron LilesSFR6' 1"200Mesa, AZ
31Grant GlasgowPKSR6' 1"192Lawrence, KS
41Nick RomeroPKSO5' 8"172Pembroke Pines, FL
95Konner OlsonPKSR5' 10"208Gilbert, AZ
19Michael KernPJR6' 4"195Fort Lauderdale, FL
35Charles SteinkampPSR6' 5"208Los Alamos, NM
50Lincoln EpsteinLSJR5' 9"215St. Charles, IL
53Caden BeckLSSO5' 9"195Allen, TX

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →