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Mountain West · 2026

San José State Spartans

Head coach Ken Niumatalolo · CEFCU Stadium
4-52-3 in conference
TDC Rank
#123
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-15.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-10.4
127th in FBS
Defense
-5.3
104th in FBS
Schedule so far
-10.0
110th toughest
Projected
5.5-7.5
bowl-eligible 46%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-15.7 now, -21.5 preseason · up 8 spots since preseason
-20-100FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#122

Final record odds

5.5-7.5 expected · most likely 5-8 (43%)
12%4-943%5-834%6-710%7-68-5

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Luke Weaver
QB · SR · 41st in FBS
1810yds
11 TD · 8 INT
Rushing
Jabari Bates
RB · SR · 38th in FBS
649yds
153 car · 1 TD
Receiving
Carson Clark
WR · FR · 29th in FBS
642yds
55 rec · 5 TD
Tackles
Dylan Lee
LB · JR · 10th in FBS
78tkl
6 TFL
Sacks
Jayland McGlothen
DL · JR · 17th in FBS
6sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Dylan Lee
LB · JR · 16th in FBS
3INT
4 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29@23USCL 26–42 ›+1.2—NBC
1Sep 4@124Eastern MichiganW 27–21 ›-6.0—ESPN+
2Sep 12vsCal Poly FCSW 30–20 ›-24.2—MW+
3Sep 19vs75Fresno StateL 10–26 ›-21.3—FS1
4—Bye
5Oct 3@109Hawai'iCONFW 20–16 ›-3.8—MW+
6Oct 9vs120WyomingCONFL 13–16 ›-21.6—CBSSN
7Oct 17@137UTEPCONFW 24–11 ›-8.8—MW+
8Oct 24@103NevadaCONFL 13–28 ›-21.5—MW+
9Oct 31vs48New MexicoCONFL 16–21 ›-3.0—MW+
10Nov 7vs133Northern IllinoisCONFSan José State −9.9 · o/u 50.4—75%MW+
11Nov 14@85Air ForceCONFAir Force −14.1 · o/u 47.8—17%CBSSN
12Nov 21vs88UNLVCONFUNLV −6.1 · o/u 45.9—34%CBSSN
13Nov 27vs72North Dakota StateCONFNorth Dakota State −12.1 · o/u 41.6—21%CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.060103rd+0.04243rd
Success rate36.8%126th43.4%97th
Explosiveness1.19894th1.0998th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate36.4%131st43.5%96th
Rushing success rate32.3%137th48.4%128th
Passing success rate40.3%84th38.7%43rd
Explosive run rate13.0%86th15.4%108th
Explosive pass rate8.9%96th7.8%31st
Line yards / carry2.89110th3.23106th
Opportunity rate35.7%108th44.4%132nd
Stuff rate20.8%116th15.7%99th
Sack rate6.6%96th9.0%5th
3rd-down conversion30.8%133rd36.5%40th
Red-zone TD rate39.1%133rd60.7%76th
Havoc rate15.6%118th15.4%35th
Box score · season totals
Points / game19.9123rd22.354th
Yards / game348.3105th375.785th
Yards / play5.20104th5.0652nd
Pass yards / game227.968th223.187th
Yards / pass att.7.2081st6.9257th
Completion %60.8%91st64.1%103rd
Rush yards / game120.4113th152.682nd
Yards / carry3.60114th3.9665th
3rd-down conv. %31.7%127th36.4%55th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1147th1.3356th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.44107th3.445th
Penalty yards / game49.444th48.8105th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
10.0
26th of 138
YAC per catch
3.7
135th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
16%
47th of 138
Shotgun
99%
5th of 138
No-huddle
78%
45th of 138
QB pressured
16%
38th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
16%
35th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.0
88th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws274 throws charted

61% comp10.0 avg. depth3.7 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds12–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 9 throws (3%), 9 caught (100%), 61 yds, 6.8 per throw9100% · 61yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (8%), 13 caught (59%), 68 yds, 3.1 per throw2259% · 68yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 41 throws (15%), 22 caught (54%), 171 yds, 4.2 per throw4154% · 171yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 63 yds, 7.9 per throw863% · 63yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 55 yds, 18.3 per throw367% · 55yLeft, 30+ air yards: 10 throws (4%), 6 caught (60%), 248 yds, 24.8 per throw1060% · 248yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 15 yds, 2.5 per throw650% · 15yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 8 caught (67%), 79 yds, 6.6 per throw1267% · 79yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 9 caught (69%), 160 yds, 12.3 per throw1369% · 160yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 12 throws (4%), 6 caught (50%), 112 yds, 9.3 per throw1250% · 112yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 121 yds, 20.2 per throw667% · 121yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 2 caught (50%), 85 yds, 21.3 per throw450% · 85yRight, Behind air yards: 15 throws (5%), 11 caught (73%), 58 yds, 3.9 per throw1573% · 58yRight, 0–4 air yards: 37 throws (14%), 30 caught (81%), 187 yds, 5.1 per throw3781% · 187yRight, 5–9 air yards: 30 throws (11%), 23 caught (77%), 177 yds, 5.9 per throw3077% · 177yRight, 10–14 air yards: 22 throws (8%), 12 caught (55%), 142 yds, 6.5 per throw2255% · 142yRight, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 1 caught (17%), 18 yds, 3.0 per throw617% · 18yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 2 caught (25%), 43 yds, 5.4 per throw825% · 43yRight, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 188 yds, 23.5 per throw850% · 188y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on274 throws charted

64% comp8.1 avg. depth5.0 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds11–11 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 13 throws (5%), 12 caught (92%), 67 yds, 5.2 per throw1392% · 67yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 27 throws (10%), 23 caught (85%), 135 yds, 5.0 per throw2785% · 135yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 20 throws (7%), 14 caught (70%), 127 yds, 6.3 per throw2070% · 127yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 6 caught (46%), 84 yds, 6.5 per throw1346% · 84yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 67 yds, 13.4 per throw540% · 67yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 1 caught (14%), 32 yds, 4.6 per throw714% · 32yLeft, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 1 caught (25%), 49 yds, 12.3 per throw425% · 49yMiddle, Behind air yards: 5 throws (2%), 5 caught (100%), 31 yds, 6.2 per throw5100% · 31yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (7%), 13 caught (72%), 84 yds, 4.7 per throw1872% · 84yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 15 caught (94%), 143 yds, 8.9 per throw1694% · 143yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 12 caught (63%), 207 yds, 10.9 per throw1963% · 207yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 9 caught (69%), 190 yds, 14.6 per throw1369% · 190yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 3 caught (27%), 61 yds, 5.5 per throw1127% · 61yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 64 yds, 32.0 per throw250% · 64yRight, Behind air yards: 26 throws (9%), 22 caught (85%), 129 yds, 5.0 per throw2685% · 129yRight, 0–4 air yards: 30 throws (11%), 20 caught (67%), 115 yds, 3.8 per throw3067% · 115yRight, 5–9 air yards: 24 throws (9%), 15 caught (63%), 148 yds, 6.2 per throw2463% · 148yRight, 10–14 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 54 yds, 9.0 per throw650% · 54yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 2 caught (50%), 35 yds, 8.8 per throw450% · 35yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 5 caught (56%), 154 yds, 17.1 per throw956% · 154yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction271 carries

Left
24%
5.3 YPC · 39% succ.
Middle
57%
3.8 YPC · 36% succ.
Right
19%
5.2 YPC · 42% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced305 carries

Left
18%
7.0 YPC · 58% succ.
Middle
60%
4.3 YPC · 46% succ.
Right
22%
5.9 YPC · 64% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Ken Niumatalolo

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
3Luke WeaverQBSR6' 3"210Manteca, CA
5Daniel RolovichQBFR6' 4"210Novato, CA
8Robert McDanielQBFR6' 2"205Hughson, CA
16CJ LeeQBSO6' 1"165Sacramento, CA
6Jabari BatesRBSR5' 7"180Compton, CA
20Viliami TeuRBJR5' 10"210East Palo Alto, CA
21Isaiah CarlsonRBJR6' 2"220Seattle, WA
22Tyler JacklichRBJR6' 2"220Modesto, CA
24Sir AutryRBFR5' 10"170San Diego, CA
26Courshawn HillRBFR5' 10"210Phoenix, AZ
28Aaron Cox Jr.RBFR5' 11"205Fresno, CA
0Jordan AndersonWRSO5' 11"170Inglewood, CA
1Carson ClarkWRFR5' 9"170Los Angeles, CA
2Jerry McClureWRJR6' 1"195Coronado, CA
4Dominique McKenzieWRSO5' 11"180St. George, UT
7Tama AmisoneWRSO5' 11"185Kapolei, HI
9Jase NixWRFR5' 9"170San Marcos, CA
10Anthony IveyWRSR5' 11"190Lancaster, PA
11Malachi RileyWRJR6' 1"170Moreno Valley, CA
13Cooper HochWRJR6' 3"200Costa Mesa, CA
17Ryker RuelasWRFR6' 3"195Vancouver, WA
18Trace HernandezWRSO5' 10"160Los Banos, CA
19Cody HallWRSR5' 11"180Martinez, CA
23Devin OlmandeWRFR6' 2"190Oxnard, CA
33Parris Vernon Jr.WRFR5' 10"160San Diego, CA
80Jeremiah FungWRFR6' 3"210Palo Alto, CA
82Braiden Bachich-DixonTEFR6' 4"210San Rafael, CA
83Kamaehu Kopa-KaawalauoleTEJR6' 4"225Ewa Beach, HI
85Shane KileyTEFR6' 4"215San Clemente, CA
88Ryan BoultwoodTEJR6' 3"230Upland, CA
54Daniel MoleniOLSR6' 2"290West Valley City, UT
55Greg ShadeOLSO6' 3"290Laguna Hills, CA
56Simeon AfalavaOLSR6' 3"285Moreno Valley, CA
62Tyler ChenOLJR6' 2"280Rancho Cucamonga, CA
63Brian TapuOLFR6' 5"315South Auckland, New Zealand
64Nathan BalestrieriOLJR6' 1"300Walnut Creek, CA
65Johnny NotarianniOLFR6' 3"280Hesperia, CA
66Kamuela WilhelmOLFR6' 6"290Kailua, HI
67Keenan ParksOLFR6' 4"230Loveland, CO
68Mitchell BrownOLSO6' 3"270San Jose, CA
70Ikiansio TupouOLSO6' 6"280Palo Alto, CA
72Lavaka TaukeiahoOLSR6' 2"320South Jordan, UT
74Mitchell JonesOLSO6' 3"280Fullerton, CA
75Joseph HarbertOLSR6' 3"290San Francisco, CA
76Manuel SernaOLSO6' 5"295Pittsburg, CA
77Daniel TuliauOLFR6' 3"305Long Beach, CA
78David PerezOLSO6' 2"290Downey, CA
41Bronx LetuligasenoaDLFR6' 3"260Oceanside, CA
42Ian ShewellDLSR6' 3"280Gilbert, AZ
45Jeremiah TuiileilaDLFR6' 3"255Sacramento, CA
48Dejon RoneyDLSR6' 1"295Rancho Cucamonga, CA
50Star TaimaniDLSO6' 3"270Antioch, CA
51Solomone LangiDLSR6' 0"295Provo, UT
57Justin StearnsDLSR6' 2"250San Diego, CA
89Etu FinauDLSR6' 4"245Oakland, CA
90Jayland McGlothenDLJR6' 2"280Las Vegas, NV
91Auma JenningsDLFR6' 0"310Long Beach, CA
92Noa SiaosiDLJR6' 2"270Vacaville, CA
94Russell DevanyDLFR6' 0"235Clovis, CA
95Colton ThomasDLFR6' 1"270Carlsbad, CA
99Nate LewisDLSR6' 5"260Carmichael, CA
3Naseri DanielsonLBJR6' 0"220Stockton, CA
4Dylan LeeLBJR6' 1"220French Camp, CA
6Ethan PowellLBSR6' 2"230San Bernardino, CA
7Aizik MahukaLBJR6' 3"225Mililani, HI
11Champ KapanuiLBFR6' 1"215Henderson, NV
15Skylar TiatiaLBFR6' 1"230Brisbane, CA
16Luke RicheyLBSO6' 3"225Morgan Hill, CA
20Lance MitchellLBFR6' 2"230Oakland, CA
24Malakai HoeftLBSR6' 2"220Belmont, CA
25Zane CarterLBJR6' 4"220Ventura, CA
26Viliami LotoaniuLBFR6' 2"230Antioch, CA
40Blake TabaracciLBSO6' 1"215Park City, UT
53Brady Van BennekumLBJR6' 2"215Santa Clarita, CA
56Sirr BibleLBFR6' 2"240Long Beach, CA
97John NorwoodLBSR6' 3"220Milpitas, CA
0Isaiah BuxtonCBSO6' 0"170San Diego, CA
5Kejuan Bullard Jr.CBSR6' 1"200Watts, CA
8Runye NortonCBSR5' 10"170Jacksonville, FL
10Greco CarrilloCBSO5' 9"170Sacramento, CA
12Francois Jones Jr.CBJR6' 0"190Venice, CA
14Jayden RobertsonCBJR5' 11"170Las Vegas, NV
22Jonathan WattsCBSO6' 3"185Union City, CA
28Cole GholarCBFR5' 10"185Vallejo, CA
32Caleb WomackCBSR5' 10"180Santa Cruz, CA
1Brian Dukes Jr.SSR6' 3"215Spring Valley, CA
2Maliki CrawfordSJR6' 4"190Oxnard, CA
13Pierce WalkerSSO5' 10"190Keizer, OR
21Charles Cox IIISSR6' 0"190Concord, CA
23Nassir PittersSJR6' 1"205Vallejo, CA
27Jackson BartonSSO5' 11"175Phoenix, AZ
31Hunter NowellSJR6' 1"200Huntington Beach, CA
39Tuli Tagovailoa-AmosaSSO5' 10"200Ewa Beach, HI
29Joey FernandezPKJR5' 11"170Hollister, CA
36Trajan SinatraPKJR5' 11"190San Jose, CA
99Mathias BrownPKJR6' 0"170Fullerton, CA
49Trent CarrizosaPSR6' 4"235San Jose, CA
30Jaelen NicholsLSJR5' 11"200Modesto, CA
44Dylan AguileraLSSR5' 10"210Elkridge, MD
46Sam CowartLSSO6' 1"225Redwood City, CA

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2020 (+5.3, #32) · worst: 2017 (-18.7, #129)
-20-100FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#122
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-52-3#123-15.7-10.4-5.3
20253-92-6#122-11.3-3.7-7.6
20247-63-4#88-3.70.0-3.7
20237-66-2#59+1.1+0.7+0.4
20227-55-3#80-3.3-2.8-0.5
20215-73-5#105-6.6-7.2+0.6
20207-16-0#32+5.3+1.2+4.1
20195-72-6#104-6.4+0.7-7.1
20181-111-7#123-13.4-6.2-7.2
20172-111-7#129-18.7-9.6-9.1
20164-83-5#111-10.1-4.9-5.2
20156-74-4#88-4.3-2.1-2.2
20143-92-6#109-9.0-6.9-2.1

San José State's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →