Mountain West · 2026

UNLV Rebels

Head coach Dan Mullen · Allegiant Stadium
1-21-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#91
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
-3.0
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-4.3
117th in FBS
Defense
+1.3
50th in FBS
Schedule so far
-0.7
22nd toughest
Projected
6.2-5.8
bowl-eligible 67%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

-3.0 now, +0.3 preseason · down 27 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3#91

Final record odds

6.2-5.8 expected · most likely 6-6 (23%)
2-103-910%4-818%5-723%6-622%7-514%8-46%9-310-2

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 29vs64MemphisL 21–27-8.3—FOX
1Sep 5@111Hawai'iCONFW 21–6+12.2—CW
2Sep 12@47North TexasL 6–44-23.1—ESPNU
3—Bye
4Sep 26@126AkronUNLV −3.5 · o/u 43.0—59%ESPN+
5Oct 3vs89CaliforniaUNLV −2.7 · o/u 45.4—57%CBSSN
6Oct 10vs57North Dakota StateCONFNorth Dakota State −1.9 · o/u 41.8—45%CW
7Oct 17@90Air ForceCONFAir Force −3.2 · o/u 47.3—42%CBSSN
8—Bye
9Oct 31vs137Northern IllinoisCONFUNLV −14.5 · o/u 42.7—83%CBSSN
10Nov 7vs134WyomingCONFUNLV −12.4 · o/u 35.7—79%CBSSN
11Nov 14@35New MexicoCONFNew Mexico −10.8 · o/u 41.8—24%CW
12Nov 21@122San José StateCONFUNLV −2.5 · o/u 46.1—56%CBSSN
13Nov 28vs125NevadaCONFUNLV −8.8 · o/u 38.5—72%CBSSN

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play-0.030126th+0.155106th
Success rate36.3%125th41.4%86th
Explosiveness1.136110th1.19051st
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate37.1%124th41.3%82nd
Rushing success rate37.9%111th50.0%129th
Passing success rate36.3%114th33.3%20th
Explosive run rate14.6%69th20.9%134th
Explosive pass rate9.8%86th10.5%85th
Line yards / carry3.1474th3.72135th
Opportunity rate35.0%110th47.7%136th
Stuff rate14.6%56th12.8%116th
Sack rate9.9%134th7.5%28th
3rd-down conversion37.2%102nd41.5%87th
Red-zone TD rate50.0%109th36.4%19th
Havoc rate12.4%62nd15.6%51st
Box score · season totals
Points / game16.0131st25.792nd
Yards / game375.089th385.3103rd
Yards / play5.04111th5.50100th
Pass yards / game203.395th220.084th
Yards / pass att.6.9098th6.7473rd
Completion %58.4%106th50.0%8th
Rush yards / game171.760th165.3109th
Yards / carry4.2084th4.72109th
3rd-down conv. %36.2%104th43.2%105th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3375th0.67107th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)3.67135th2.3337th
Penalty yards / game66.0102nd67.332nd

Roster

100 players · Head coach Dan Mullen

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
1Alex OrjiQBSR6' 3"240Sachse, TX
11Jackson ArnoldQBSR6' 1"220Denton, TX
13Sebastian CircoQBFR6' 2"195Fort Lauderdale, FL
14Derek GarciaQBFR6' 4"205Ventura, CA
0Jaylon GloverRBSR5' 9"210Lakeland, FL
9Jai'Den ThomasRBSR5' 9"195Atlanta, GA
24Darrien JonesRBJR6' 0"215Kansas City, MO
29Mohammad MaaliRBSR5' 11"210Las Vegas, NV
2Taz ReddicksWRJR5' 11"195Fort Lauderdale, FL
4DeAngelo Irvin Jr.WRSR5' 8"170Midwest City, OK
5Tavian McNairWRFR6' 2"185North Las Vegas, NV
6Kayden McGeeWRSO6' 0"170Muskogee, OK
8Taeshaun LyonsWRJR6' 1"190Hayward, CA
10Troy StellatoWRSR6' 1"195Fort Lauderdale, FL
15Tatum Bell Jr.WRFR6' 0"205Frisco, TX
19Danny BodenWRFR6' 0"180Dunwoody, GA
80Jesse HardenWRFR6' 3"185Tampa, FL
81Vincent CarnerWRFR6' 4"205Newbury Park, CA
83Cassidee MilesWRFR6' 5"190Fort Worth, TX
86David Titone-PerezWRSO6' 0"170Hacienda Heights, CA
87Demari NunleyWRFR6' 3"195Los Angeles, CA
43Jae Beasley IITEJR6' 3"250Henderson, NV
84Keyan BurnettTESR6' 6"250Ladera Ranch, CA
85Matt ByrnesTESR6' 6"250Chicago, IL
88Velltray JeffersonTESR6' 5"260Fresno, CA
89Andreas Diaz-NicolaidisTEFR6' 3"250Portland, OR
50Tevita TausingaOLFR6' 5"350Sacramento, CA
55Griffin ScroggsOLSR6' 3"330Grayson, GA
57Zach ScottOLFR6' 5"325Henderson, NV
60Josh HaneyOLFR6' 4"280San Juan Capistrano, CA
61Fuad MaaliOLFR6' 6"285Orlando, FL
62Eli SanchezOLFR6' 3"300Sandusky, OH
64Joe MetzgerOLSR6' 5"310Franklinville, NJ
65Ace RobinsonOLFR6' 4"285Oakland, CA
66BJ ToloOLJR6' 1"320Santa Ana, CA
68Ivan PenaOLFR6' 6"345Las Vegas, NV
70Alekai AfoaOLJR6' 4"295San Ramon, CA
71Ed HaynesOLSO6' 4"310Henderson, NV
72Will ThomasOLSR6' 7"305Tulsa, OK
73Jesus Garcia IIOLFR6' 5"290San Diego, CA
74Amare TaaseOLSO6' 4"330Scottsdale, AZ
75Mateo BilaverOLFR6' 6"315North Hollywood, CA
76Chrysanthos FetokakisOLFR6' 5"335Houston, TX
77Colton ThomassonOLJR6' 8"325Spring Branch, TX
78Jackson BrownOLJR6' 6"310Danville, CA
79Austin BoydOLSR6' 4"305Lehi, UT
0Cohen FullerDLSR6' 3"300Inglewood, CA
9Landen ThomasDLJR6' 3"255Zachary, LA
16Mohamed AltayebDLSR6' 4"290Castle Rock, CO
40Armand AusbonDLJR6' 3"250Houston, TX
44Kal-El TogafauDLFR6' 3"270Rancho Cucamonga, CA
48CJ BesserDLFR6' 3"245Las Vegas, NV
54Poe PurcellDLFR6' 3"320Las Vegas, NV
88Mo AbbasherDLJR6' 3"305Coppell, TX
90Eliah LogoDLFR6' 2"310Henderson, NV
92Herb GrayDLSO6' 3"275Upper Marlboro, MD
94Lucas ContiDLJR6' 5"295Corona, CA
96Prin FoxDLFR6' 2"280Cashmere, WA
97Bryce RobinsonDLFR6' 3"280Marietta, GA
99Jordan CovingtonDLFR6' 4"290McKinney, TX
32Kenji ScanlanDESO6' 2"245Tacoma, WA
42Andre PorterDESO6' 2"245Las Vegas, NV
3Dee CraytonLBSR6' 2"230Alpharetta, GA
8Kamuela Ka'aihueLBSR6' 2"240Papakolea, HI
11Mark IheanachorLBFR6' 2"220Los Angeles, CA
15Blesyng Alualu-TuiolemotuLBJR6' 1"220Kalihi, HI
23Cam SanteeLBSR6' 3"235Avon, OH
30Jordan NjokuLBFR6' 3"235Los Angeles, CA
31Ronnell Hewitt Jr.LBFR6' 1"225Los Angeles, CA
33Tate MatthewsLBFR6' 2"215Denver, CO
36Justin FloweLBSR6' 2"230Chino, CA
45Cole AlbrechtLBFR6' 4"245Sandy, UT
51Alexander GreenLBFR6' 2"235Las Vegas, NV
52Jacob BezaLBSO6' 0"235Henderson, NV
91Elias RudolphLBSO6' 5"205Deerfield Beach, FL
1Mumu Bin-WahadDBSR5' 11"190Atlanta, GA
2Denver HarrisDBSR6' 0"190Houston, TX
4Tony-Louis NkubaDBSO6' 1"195Lewisville, TX
5Quandarius KeyesDBSR6' 1"185Laurel, MS
10Tre FultonDBSO6' 3"190Bakersfield, CA
13Jaylen AllenDBSO6' 0"185Las Vegas, NV
19Tylen MathewsDBFR6' 0"185Lake Cormorant, MS
21Joshua TuchekDBFR6' 1"175Long Beach, CA
22Darien LewisDBFR6' 0"205Amarillo, TX
24Avery HelmDBSR6' 1"185Missouri City, TX
27Cameron ParodiDBFR6' 2"200Milton, GA
28Vern BlairDBFR6' 0"170Amarillo, TX
29AJ MortonDBFR6' 0"190Seattle, WA
37Triston ThomasDBFR5' 9"180Los Angeles, CA
7Jake PopeSSR6' 1"200Buford, GA
14Logan ChristensenSSO6' 0"200Rancho Santa Margarita, CA
20Landyn ClevelandSJR6' 0"190Dallas, TX
25Brock DeFriesSFR5' 10"190Mission Viejo, CA
35Brayden BakerPKFR6' 0"170Scottsdale, AZ
49Noah RandazzoPKFR5' 11"185Las Vegas, NV
26Matt ChoulesPFR6' 3"225Canberra, Australia
39Ethan SchwartzPSO6' 5"205Mission Viejo, CA
46Mason SenzakiLSFR6' 1"205Las Vegas, NV
47Tyson JacobsonLSJR6' 0"215Camas, WA
56Andrew O'ReillyLSSO6' 4"210Las Vegas, NV

Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →