The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Bryant FCS | W 44–14 | +2.9 | — | |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 1Michigan | L 7–35 | -0.7 | — | CBS |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 115Vanderbilt | W 40–37 | -8.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 121UTEP | W 45–28 | +8.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 126Hawai'iCONF | W 44–20 | +8.8 | — | |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 132NevadaCONF | W 45–27 | +4.3 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 111Colorado StateCONF | W 25–23 | -9.0 | — | |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 65Fresno StateCONF | L 24–31 | -4.8 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 122New MexicoCONF | W 56–14 | +22.0 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 10 | vs 71WyomingCONF | W 34–14 | +16.0 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 48Air ForceCONF | W 31–27 | +9.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 59San José StateCONF | L 31–37 | -7.4 | — | |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 38Boise State | L 20–44 | -22.2 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 27KansasNEUTRAL | L 36–49 | -6.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.7% | 64th | 41.4% | 52nd |
| Rushing success rate | 40.6% | 104th | 40.8% | 40th |
| Passing success rate | 45.3% | 29th | 42.0% | 83rd |
| Explosive run rate | 15.0% | 60th | 13.5% | 48th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.5% | 41st | 16.8% | 133rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.19 | 60th | 3.09 | 57th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.1% | 80th | 36.2% | 41st |
| Stuff rate | 13.9% | 33rd | 13.3% | 109th |
| Sack rate | 4.6% | 39th | 5.3% | 86th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 51.8% | 6th | 39.8% | 60th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.0% | 24th | 58.7% | 52nd |
| Havoc rate | 7.4% | 47th | 8.2% | 70th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.4 | 20th | 28.6 | 86th |
| Yards / game | 412.7 | 44th | 415.5 | 106th |
| Yards / play | 6.01 | 41st | 6.10 | 116th |
| Pass yards / game | 239.2 | 56th | 242.2 | 116th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.29 | 25th | 8.90 | 132nd |
| Completion % | 62.1% | 60th | 61.4% | 83rd |
| Rush yards / game | 173.5 | 44th | 161.8 | 91st |
| Yards / carry | 4.51 | 51st | 4.28 | 79th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 49.0% | 7th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.36 | 62nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.43 | 30th | 1.86 | 87th |
| Penalty yards / game | 61.8 | 116th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →