The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 105East Carolina | W 30–3 | +16.6 | — | Peacock |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 61UNLV | W 35–7 | +23.1 | — | CBS |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 76Bowling Green | W 31–6 | +19.9 | — | BTN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 57RutgersCONF | W 31–7 | +22.7 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 63NebraskaCONF | W 45–7 | +31.3 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 74MinnesotaCONF | W 52–10 | +31.2 | — | NBC |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 92IndianaCONF | W 52–7 | +24.3 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 95Michigan StateCONF | W 49–0 | +30.2 | — | NBC |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 79PurdueCONF | W 41–13 | +20.4 | — | NBC |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 6Penn StateCONF | W 24–15 | +27.9 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 29MarylandCONF | W 31–24 | +15.9 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 4Ohio StateCONF | W 30–24 | +21.0 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Dec 2 | vs 51IowaNEUTRAL | W 26–0 | +27.4 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 8AlabamaNEUTRAL | W 27–20 | +22.5 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 8 | vs 12WashingtonNEUTRAL | W 34–13 | +34.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.6% | 12th | 33.7% | 3rd |
| Rushing success rate | 45.5% | 51st | 36.2% | 8th |
| Passing success rate | 52.5% | 5th | 31.5% | 1st |
| Explosive run rate | 12.5% | 94th | 9.8% | 8th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.4% | 11th | 6.2% | 4th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.26 | 50th | 2.74 | 15th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.6% | 103rd | 33.9% | 19th |
| Stuff rate | 12.0% | 12th | 19.5% | 28th |
| Sack rate | 5.6% | 65th | 8.0% | 12th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.8% | 39th | 29.1% | 5th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.7% | 18th | 52.6% | 22nd |
| Havoc rate | 5.3% | 9th | 11.2% | 10th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.9 | 15th | 10.4 | 1st |
| Yards / game | 382.7 | 69th | 247.0 | 1st |
| Yards / play | 6.08 | 33rd | 4.09 | 4th |
| Pass yards / game | 213.7 | 83rd | 136.7 | 2nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.88 | 15th | 5.67 | 5th |
| Completion % | 72.0% | 3rd | 55.2% | 9th |
| Rush yards / game | 169.1 | 54th | 90.0 | 6th |
| Yards / carry | 4.50 | 52nd | 3.00 | 7th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.8% | 40th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.53 | 2nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.33 | 28th | 2.67 | 25th |
| Penalty yards / game | 27.5 | 3rd | — | — |
79 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →