The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 92IndianaCONF | W 23–3 | +18.1 | — | CBS |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Youngstown State FCS | W 35–7 | +2.2 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 66Western Kentucky | W 63–10 | +31.1 | — | FOX |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 7Notre Dame | W 17–14 | +21.3 | — | NBC |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 29MarylandCONF | W 37–17 | +23.8 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 79PurdueCONF | W 41–7 | +27.6 | — | Peacock |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 6Penn StateCONF | W 20–12 | +21.8 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 44WisconsinCONF | W 24–10 | +19.9 | — | NBC |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 57RutgersCONF | W 35–16 | +22.8 | — | CBS |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 95Michigan StateCONF | W 38–3 | +20.2 | — | NBC |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 74MinnesotaCONF | W 37–3 | +23.3 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 1MichiganCONF | L 24–30 | +18.7 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 14MissouriNEUTRAL | L 3–14 | +0.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.9% | 24th | 35.9% | 9th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.4% | 53rd | 35.4% | 7th |
| Passing success rate | 48.4% | 13th | 36.5% | 18th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.4% | 98th | 12.1% | 25th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.9% | 17th | 6.4% | 5th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.22 | 56th | 3.07 | 53rd |
| Opportunity rate | 37.0% | 82nd | 32.9% | 11th |
| Stuff rate | 15.0% | 52nd | 14.9% | 88th |
| Sack rate | 3.2% | 13th | 5.7% | 72nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.2% | 26th | 31.2% | 9th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.4% | 36th | 52.2% | 19th |
| Havoc rate | 5.6% | 12th | 6.5% | 104th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 30.5 | 47th | 11.2 | 2nd |
| Yards / game | 407.9 | 48th | 265.4 | 3rd |
| Yards / play | 6.21 | 27th | 4.04 | 3rd |
| Pass yards / game | 269.1 | 31st | 132.1 | 1st |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.74 | 16th | 5.06 | 1st |
| Completion % | 63.8% | 40th | 52.8% | 3rd |
| Rush yards / game | 138.8 | 88th | 119.5 | 29th |
| Yards / carry | 4.19 | 79th | 3.44 | 22nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.9% | 37th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.77 | 47th | 2.15 | 66th |
| Penalty yards / game | 44.5 | 38th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →