
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs 123Central Michigan | W 31–7 | +10.4 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Richmond FCS | W 45–14 | +3.2 | — | BTN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 12Washington | L 7–41 | -17.0 | — | Peacock |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 29MarylandCONF | L 9–31 | -18.2 | — | NBC |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 51IowaCONF | L 16–26 | -4.7 | — | NBC |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 57RutgersCONF | L 24–27 | +0.8 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 1MichiganCONF | L 0–49 | -13.2 | — | NBC |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 74MinnesotaCONF | L 12–27 | -14.1 | — | BTN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 63NebraskaCONF | W 20–17 | +0.3 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 4Ohio StateCONF | L 3–38 | -7.8 | — | NBC |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 92IndianaCONF | W 24–21 | +1.1 | — | BTN |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 6Penn StateCONF | L 0–42 | -16.5 | — | NBC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.6% | 117th | 44.0% | 90th |
| Rushing success rate | 38.0% | 122nd | 44.7% | 79th |
| Passing success rate | 37.3% | 100th | 43.3% | 99th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.2% | 117th | 12.5% | 30th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.6% | 118th | 12.1% | 109th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.85 | 115th | 3.27 | 98th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.3% | 76th | 38.4% | 75th |
| Stuff rate | 18.5% | 101st | 14.1% | 98th |
| Sack rate | 4.4% | 36th | 7.9% | 15th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 29.1% | 130th | 36.3% | 32nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.9% | 74th | 71.8% | 117th |
| Havoc rate | 8.9% | 83rd | 8.3% | 63rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 15.9 | 131st | 28.5 | 84th |
| Yards / game | 289.3 | 128th | 389.7 | 80th |
| Yards / play | 4.49 | 125th | 5.60 | 80th |
| Pass yards / game | 199.8 | 98th | 221.9 | 87th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.33 | 111th | 7.80 | 99th |
| Completion % | 58.3% | 92nd | 61.8% | 89th |
| Rush yards / game | 89.5 | 127th | 151.8 | 71st |
| Yards / carry | 2.90 | 126th | 4.14 | 64th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 30.9% | 122nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.83 | 119th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 71st | 2.42 | 41st |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.4 | 109th | — | — |
74 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →