The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 74MinnesotaCONF | L 10–13 | -2.1 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 83Colorado | L 14–36 | -22.9 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 98Northern Illinois | W 35–11 | +16.2 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 120Louisiana Tech | W 28–14 | +1.1 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 1MichiganCONF | L 7–45 | -9.3 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 6 | @ 75IllinoisCONF | W 20–7 | +13.7 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 70NorthwesternCONF | W 17–9 | +4.1 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 79PurdueCONF | W 31–14 | +12.0 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 95Michigan StateCONF | L 17–20 | -5.6 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 29MarylandCONF | L 10–13 | +0.8 | — | Peacock |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 44WisconsinCONF | L 17–24 | -1.1 | — | NBC |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 51IowaCONF | L 10–13 | -2.8 | — | CBS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.3% | 113th | 37.6% | 18th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.5% | 83rd | 37.4% | 14th |
| Passing success rate | 31.8% | 130th | 37.8% | 27th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.2% | 55th | 9.8% | 8th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.3% | 75th | 7.2% | 10th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.36 | 34th | 3.13 | 64th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.8% | 68th | 35.4% | 32nd |
| Stuff rate | 12.3% | 14th | 12.5% | 120th |
| Sack rate | 9.7% | 123rd | 7.7% | 22nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.6% | 86th | 37.7% | 45th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 44.4% | 130th | 41.9% | 3rd |
| Havoc rate | 8.7% | 79th | 6.6% | 101st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 17.5 | 125th | 18.3 | 13th |
| Yards / game | 312.8 | 117th | 303.5 | 11th |
| Yards / play | 4.88 | 108th | 4.44 | 8th |
| Pass yards / game | 135.9 | 129th | 192.8 | 39th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.25 | 116th | 6.13 | 9th |
| Completion % | 52.1% | 126th | 59.5% | 50th |
| Rush yards / game | 176.8 | 39th | 92.9 | 9th |
| Yards / carry | 4.44 | 55th | 2.96 | 6th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.3% | 69th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.58 | 133rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.50 | 96th | 2.67 | 25th |
| Penalty yards / game | 42.3 | 24th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →