
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | vs 130Florida InternationalCONF | W 22–17 | -12.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 18SMU | L 14–38 | -12.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Northwestern State FCS | W 51–21 | +2.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 104North Texas | L 37–40 | -11.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 63Nebraska | L 14–28 | -11.6 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 29 | @ 121UTEPCONF | W 24–10 | +5.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 66Western KentuckyCONF | L 28–35 | -10.1 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 10 | @ 103Middle TennesseeCONF | L 23–31 | -11.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 24 | vs 78New Mexico StateCONF | L 24–27 | -7.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 28LibertyCONF | L 30–56 | -15.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 119Sam HoustonCONF | L 27–42 | -27.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 69Jacksonville StateCONF | L 17–56 | -27.5 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.1% | 74th | 43.0% | 72nd |
| Rushing success rate | 43.0% | 76th | 48.0% | 116th |
| Passing success rate | 41.4% | 64th | 36.0% | 15th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.5% | 94th | 17.9% | 121st |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.6% | 67th | 11.7% | 100th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.83 | 119th | 3.30 | 102nd |
| Opportunity rate | 37.4% | 74th | 41.3% | 106th |
| Stuff rate | 19.0% | 106th | 15.1% | 86th |
| Sack rate | 4.5% | 38th | 4.5% | 111th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 28.2% | 132nd | 42.9% | 94th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.2% | 65th | 76.9% | 126th |
| Havoc rate | 8.4% | 75th | 8.5% | 55th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.9 | 79th | 33.4 | 117th |
| Yards / game | 385.5 | 68th | 418.2 | 110th |
| Yards / play | 5.59 | 64th | 5.98 | 109th |
| Pass yards / game | 260.9 | 40th | 176.3 | 22nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.42 | 61st | 7.02 | 51st |
| Completion % | 63.7% | 41st | 54.6% | 7th |
| Rush yards / game | 124.6 | 101st | 232.8 | 132nd |
| Yards / carry | 3.92 | 92nd | 5.52 | 131st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 29.7% | 127th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 76th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.08 | 71st | 1.33 | 128th |
| Penalty yards / game | 62.8 | 121st | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →