
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | @ 120Louisiana TechCONF | L 17–22 | -12.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Maine FCS | W 14–12 | -21.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 104North Texas | W 46–39 | -1.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 118UConn | W 24–17 | -0.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 28LibertyCONF | L 6–38 | -22.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | @ 78New Mexico StateCONF | L 17–34 | -16.6 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 121UTEPCONF | L 14–27 | -26.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 119Sam HoustonCONF | W 33–27 | -1.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | Oct 25 | vs 69Jacksonville StateCONF | L 16–41 | -27.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 103Middle TennesseeCONF | L 6–40 | -30.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 68Arkansas | L 20–44 | -22.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 66Western KentuckyCONF | L 28–41 | -16.1 | — | ESPN+ |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.2% | 118th | 40.7% | 42nd |
| Rushing success rate | 40.5% | 107th | 40.5% | 37th |
| Passing success rate | 34.7% | 119th | 40.9% | 65th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.4% | 98th | 17.0% | 108th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.4% | 91st | 9.7% | 51st |
| Line yards / carry | 2.79 | 125th | 3.19 | 78th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.7% | 113th | 38.3% | 72nd |
| Stuff rate | 21.0% | 127th | 17.0% | 60th |
| Sack rate | 9.3% | 121st | 3.4% | 127th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 31.4% | 125th | 41.7% | 78th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 55.9% | 100th | 51.1% | 15th |
| Havoc rate | 10.5% | 121st | 7.4% | 87th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.3 | 115th | 31.8 | 109th |
| Yards / game | 320.3 | 113th | 436.7 | 122nd |
| Yards / play | 4.75 | 116th | 5.87 | 97th |
| Pass yards / game | 230.0 | 59th | 236.8 | 108th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.21 | 75th | 7.58 | 88th |
| Completion % | 57.4% | 99th | 62.0% | 91st |
| Rush yards / game | 90.3 | 126th | 190.8 | 124th |
| Yards / carry | 2.85 | 130th | 4.70 | 105th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 28.4% | 132nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.75 | 109th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.83 | 127th | 1.42 | 124th |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.6 | 65th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →