
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | vs 128Massachusetts | L 30–41 | -26.7 | — | ESPN |
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Western Illinois FCS | W 58–21 | +5.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 28LibertyCONF | L 17–33 | -6.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 122New Mexico | W 27–17 | +1.7 | — | |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 126Hawai'i | L 17–20 | -13.1 | — | |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 4 | vs 130Florida InternationalCONF | W 34–17 | -0.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 11 | vs 119Sam HoustonCONF | W 27–13 | +1.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 121UTEPCONF | W 28–7 | +12.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 24 | @ 120Louisiana TechCONF | W 27–24 | -4.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 103Middle TennesseeCONF | W 13–7 | -2.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 66Western KentuckyCONF | W 38–29 | +11.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 53Auburn | W 31–10 | +26.1 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 69Jacksonville StateCONF | W 20–17 | -0.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Dec 1 | @ 28Liberty | L 35–49 | -4.7 | — | CBSSN |
| Bowls | Dec 16 | vs 65Fresno StateNEUTRAL | L 10–37 | -25.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.3% | 20th | 44.8% | 100th |
| Rushing success rate | 51.7% | 11th | 45.9% | 92nd |
| Passing success rate | 42.0% | 58th | 43.9% | 106th |
| Explosive run rate | 20.2% | 6th | 16.7% | 105th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.1% | 55th | 12.2% | 111th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.59 | 5th | 3.23 | 91st |
| Opportunity rate | 47.7% | 4th | 40.0% | 94th |
| Stuff rate | 15.2% | 56th | 15.1% | 86th |
| Sack rate | 5.5% | 61st | 5.1% | 89th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.3% | 48th | 38.2% | 48th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.0% | 45th | 49.2% | 10th |
| Havoc rate | 7.0% | 37th | 6.9% | 97th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.5 | 65th | 22.8 | 47th |
| Yards / game | 413.7 | 43rd | 394.5 | 88th |
| Yards / play | 6.57 | 11th | 5.94 | 105th |
| Pass yards / game | 213.7 | 82nd | 237.9 | 110th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.16 | 32nd | 7.87 | 105th |
| Completion % | 59.8% | 79th | 64.1% | 109th |
| Rush yards / game | 200.0 | 14th | 143.1 | 48th |
| Yards / carry | 5.69 | 4th | 4.41 | 86th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.5% | 31st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.60 | 43rd | 2.07 | 75th |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.3 | 102nd | — | — |
65 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →