The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 128Massachusetts | W 59–14 | +15.6 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 67California | W 14–10 | +5.8 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs Samford FCS | W 45–13 | +3.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 24Texas A&MCONF | L 10–27 | -7.2 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 2GeorgiaCONF | L 20–27 | +9.9 | — | CBS |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 13LSUCONF | L 18–48 | -10.7 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 15Ole MissCONF | L 21–28 | +1.2 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 77Mississippi StateCONF | W 27–13 | +9.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 115VanderbiltCONF | W 31–15 | +9.4 | — | SEC Network |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 68ArkansasCONF | W 48–10 | +30.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 78New Mexico State | L 10–31 | -25.6 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 8AlabamaCONF | L 24–27 | +10.0 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 30 | vs 29MarylandNEUTRAL | L 13–31 | -11.6 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.3% | 84th | 40.8% | 45th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.5% | 51st | 44.4% | 73rd |
| Passing success rate | 35.8% | 111th | 36.7% | 19th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.7% | 49th | 16.0% | 96th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.7% | 83rd | 11.9% | 105th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.10 | 80th | 2.96 | 35th |
| Opportunity rate | 42.6% | 25th | 40.6% | 100th |
| Stuff rate | 18.2% | 96th | 18.1% | 44th |
| Sack rate | 10.3% | 126th | 7.3% | 33rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.8% | 114th | 33.8% | 17th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.9% | 64th | 59.5% | 63rd |
| Havoc rate | 12.3% | 130th | 11.2% | 10th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.1 | 75th | 22.6 | 43rd |
| Yards / game | 351.2 | 92nd | 357.1 | 47th |
| Yards / play | 5.28 | 81st | 5.44 | 65th |
| Pass yards / game | 162.2 | 124th | 188.0 | 30th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.65 | 97th | 7.32 | 77th |
| Completion % | 59.6% | 82nd | 59.0% | 45th |
| Rush yards / game | 189.0 | 24th | 155.0 | 78th |
| Yards / carry | 4.79 | 33rd | 4.35 | 85th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.5% | 118th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.54 | 85th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.62 | 104th | 2.38 | 44th |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.9 | 36th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →