SEC · 2026

Auburn Tigers

Head coach Alex Golesh · Jordan-Hare Stadium
4-42-4 in conference
TDC Rank
#27
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+12.3
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+6.0
30th in FBS
Defense
+6.3
29th in FBS
Schedule so far
+12.4
2nd toughest
Projected
6.6-5.4
bowl-eligible 94%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+12.3 now, +19.0 preseason · down 15 spots since preseason
0+10+20FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#26

Final record odds

6.6-5.4 expected · most likely 7-5 (46%)
6%5-740%6-646%7-58%8-4

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs34BaylorNEUTRALW 17–16 ›+11.2—ABC
2Sep 12vs121Southern MissW 43–8 ›+8.5—SEC Network
3Sep 19vs19FloridaCONFL 39–44 ›+6.3—ESPN
4Sep 26vs64VanderbiltCONFW 21–15 ›+4.5—SEC Network
5Oct 3@13TennesseeCONFL 14–24 ›+10.7—ESPN
6—Bye
7Oct 17@5GeorgiaCONFW 27–24 ›+30.8—ESPN
8Oct 24vs4LSUCONFL 17–38 ›+0.1—ABC
9Oct 31@10Ole MissCONFL 15–45 ›-0.5—SEC Network
10Nov 7vs68ArkansasCONFAuburn −14.8 · o/u 52.0—84%SEC Network
11Nov 14@45Mississippi StateCONFAuburn −1.9 · o/u 56.6—55%
12Nov 21vsSamford FCSAuburn −46.2 · o/u 44.1—>99%SECN+
13Nov 28@7AlabamaCONFAlabama −14.2 · o/u 56.0—17%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.10883rd+0.11483rd
Success rate39.8%105th43.5%98th
Explosiveness1.32032nd1.18943rd
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.2%101st44.4%106th
Rushing success rate41.9%91st44.2%92nd
Passing success rate38.7%101st44.6%114th
Explosive run rate16.7%25th12.9%66th
Explosive pass rate7.5%122nd9.8%72nd
Line yards / carry3.1271st2.9965th
Opportunity rate38.0%85th36.0%49th
Stuff rate16.2%56th17.3%80th
Sack rate11.2%134th4.7%95th
3rd-down conversion44.5%39th42.0%97th
Red-zone TD rate68.2%36th68.0%108th
Havoc rate16.1%122nd13.3%80th
Box score · season totals
Points / game24.193rd26.894th
Yards / game368.483rd408.1116th
Yards / play4.97116th5.2668th
Pass yards / game215.883rd252.4123rd
Yards / pass att.6.50112th7.2180th
Completion %64.9%45th63.2%91st
Rush yards / game152.673rd155.889th
Yards / carry4.2080th3.8555th
3rd-down conv. %43.8%38th40.6%97th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3876th1.5032nd
Sacks / game (allowed · made)4.25136th2.1263rd
Penalty yards / game65.3101st67.619th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.1
101st of 138
YAC per catch
4.8
109th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
10%
123rd of 138
Shotgun
98%
31st of 138
No-huddle
90%
19th of 138
QB pressured
17%
29th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
11%
113th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
4.7
107th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws254 throws charted

65% comp8.1 avg. depth4.8 YAC/catch10% 20+ air yds11–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 18 throws (7%), 18 caught (100%), 89 yds, 4.9 per throw18100% · 89yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (9%), 19 caught (83%), 136 yds, 5.9 per throw2383% · 136yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 14 caught (67%), 170 yds, 8.1 per throw2167% · 170yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 62 yds, 8.9 per throw757% · 62yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 21 yds, 5.3 per throw425% · 21yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 46 yds, 9.2 per throw540% · 46yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 3 caught (60%), 116 yds, 23.2 per throw560% · 116yMiddle, Behind air yards: 7 throws (3%), 7 caught (100%), 52 yds, 7.4 per throw7100% · 52yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 22 yds, 3.1 per throw757% · 22yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 12 caught (75%), 83 yds, 5.2 per throw1675% · 83yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 6 caught (86%), 78 yds, 11.1 per throw786% · 78yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 9 caught (90%), 187 yds, 18.7 per throw1090% · 187yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 4 throws (2%), 3 caught (75%), 70 yds, 17.5 per throw475% · 70yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 31 throws (12%), 24 caught (77%), 120 yds, 3.9 per throw3177% · 120yRight, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (9%), 15 caught (68%), 93 yds, 4.2 per throw2268% · 93yRight, 5–9 air yards: 27 throws (11%), 15 caught (56%), 164 yds, 6.1 per throw2756% · 164yRight, 10–14 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 9 caught (47%), 131 yds, 6.9 per throw1947% · 131yRight, 15–19 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 3 caught (30%), 58 yds, 5.8 per throw1030% · 58yRight, 20–29 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on271 throws charted

63% comp8.5 avg. depth4.7 YAC/catch16% 20+ air yds11–10 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 22 throws (8%), 16 caught (73%), 88 yds, 4.0 per throw2273% · 88yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 23 throws (8%), 19 caught (83%), 129 yds, 5.6 per throw2383% · 129yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 27 throws (10%), 20 caught (74%), 178 yds, 6.6 per throw2774% · 178yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 4 caught (80%), 59 yds, 11.8 per throw580% · 59yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 70 yds, 11.7 per throw667% · 70yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 68 yds, 9.7 per throw743% · 68yLeft, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 2 caught (40%), 79 yds, 15.8 per throw540% · 79yMiddle, Behind air yards: 2 throws (1%), 1 caught (50%), 8 yds, 4.0 per throw250% · 8yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 8 caught (53%), 41 yds, 2.7 per throw1553% · 41yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (8%), 16 caught (70%), 159 yds, 6.9 per throw2370% · 159yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 19 throws (7%), 14 caught (74%), 277 yds, 14.6 per throw1974% · 277yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 5 throws (2%), 1 caught (20%), 19 yds, 3.8 per throw520% · 19yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 7 caught (70%), 185 yds, 18.5 per throw1070% · 185yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 75 yds, 25.0 per throw367% · 75yRight, Behind air yards: 26 throws (10%), 19 caught (73%), 139 yds, 5.3 per throw2673% · 139yRight, 0–4 air yards: 29 throws (11%), 22 caught (76%), 136 yds, 4.7 per throw2976% · 136yRight, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 8 caught (53%), 68 yds, 4.5 per throw1553% · 68yRight, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 4 caught (44%), 65 yds, 7.2 per throw944% · 65yRight, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 2 caught (50%), 36 yds, 9.0 per throw450% · 36yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 4 caught (40%), 100 yds, 10.0 per throw1040% · 100yRight, 30+ air yards: 6 throws (2%), 1 caught (17%), 39 yds, 6.5 per throw617% · 39y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction250 carries

Left
12%
5.4 YPC · 52% succ.
Middle
65%
5.4 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
23%
6.0 YPC · 51% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced297 carries

Left
17%
5.4 YPC · 50% succ.
Middle
68%
4.2 YPC · 38% succ.
Right
15%
5.2 YPC · 52% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Alex Golesh

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
3Locklan HewlettQBSO6' 1"200Saint Augustine, FL
10Tristan Ti'aQBSO6' 2"217Livermore, CA
11Will MyersQBSO5' 8"190Homewood, AL
16John ColvinQBJR6' 3"200Birmingham, AL
17Byrum BrownQBSR6' 3"235Raleigh, NC
19Rhys BrushQBFR6' 2"195Tampa, FL
21Tae MeadowsRBSR5' 10"200Roanoke, AL
22Alvin HendersonRBSO5' 9"202Elba, AL
23Jeremiah CobbRBSR5' 11"205Montgomery, AL
24Nykahi DavenportRBSO6' 0"212Roswell, GA
25Cole GambleRBSO6' 1"203Birmingham, AL
26Christian BurnetteRBJR5' 11"200Mobile, AL
29Omar Mabson IIRBSO5' 9"215Auburn, AL
36Stuart AndrewsRBFR5' 9"185Mountain Brook, AL
4Jeremiah KogerWRSO6' 3"213Baltimore, MD
5Chas NimrodWRSR6' 2"200Bentonville, AR
6Bryce CainWRSO5' 10"165Mobile, AL
8Christian NeptuneWRSO5' 11"190Cantonment, FL
9DeShawn SpencerWRFR5' 11"175Mobile, AL
11Keshaun SingletonWRJR6' 3"220Norcross, GA
12Brady MarcheseWRFR6' 1"190Acworth, GA
13Kory PettigrewWRSO6' 1"195Kathleen, GA
18Sam TurnerWRSO6' 1"210Lithonia, GA
80Will UptonWRJR5' 9"185Jackson, MS
86Jack EllenburgWRFR6' 4"205Atlanta, GA
1Jonathan EcholsTESO6' 6"235Franklin, GA
19Jake JohnsonTESR6' 6"245Athens, GA
40Hunter OusleyTESO6' 2"245Clanton, AL
82Arlis BoardinghamTESR6' 3"250Van Nuys, CA
83Xavier NewsomTESO6' 6"265Detroit, MI
84Ryan GheaTESO6' 5"250Milton, GA
85Hunter HerringTESR6' 5"235West Monroe, LA
87DJ Broughton Jr.TEFR6' 5"240Mobile, AL
50TJ HedrickOLSO6' 4"315Columbia, MO
51Kail EllisOLSO6' 4"315Canton, GA
52Deryc PlazzOLSO6' 4"320Jacksonville, FL
55Kenneth McManus IVOLSO6' 2"315Washington, DC
56Cole SkinnerOLSR6' 5"322Point Pleasant, NJ
57Harrison ClemmerOLJR6' 0"279Birmingham, AL
58John Henry FlattOLSO6' 6"310Dallas, TX
60Cade BarnettOLJR6' 5"300Monroeville, AL
65Stanton RamilOLJR6' 7"313Binghamton, NY
69Jacob StrandOLSR6' 5"310Canby, OR
70Parker PritchettOLFR6' 5"315Fort Mitchell, AL
71Tai BusterOLSO6' 3"319Kannapolis, NC
72Cole BestOLSR6' 4"322Winter Park, FL
73Mykall Lundy-FosterOLFR6' 4"315Tallahassee, FL
75Bear McWhorterOLFR6' 4"315Kingston, GA
76Jack LeyrerOLSR6' 5"314Dallas, TX
78Mason MathisOLFR6' 6"320Pace, FL
79Jo SimmonsOLSR6' 5"330Dover, DE
10Walter Mathis Jr.DLSO6' 2"290Savannah, GA
11Darrion SmithDLSO6' 2"263Annapolis, MD
13Chris MurrayDLSR6' 3"256Wichita Falls, TX
91Tavian BranchDLFR6' 4"320Taylor, PA
94Cody SiglerDLSR6' 2"308New Hope, AL
95Jourdin CrawfordDLSO6' 0"330Birmingham, AL
96Malik AutryDLSO6' 5"320Opelika, AL
99Saint FarriorDLJR6' 3"340Durham, NC
6De'Marcus RiddickLBJR6' 2"225Clanton, AL
9Elijah MelendezLBSO6' 0"240Kissimmee, FL
16Bryce DeasLBSO6' 1"225Prince George County, MD
17Xavier AtkinsLBJR6' 0"210Houston, TX
24Shadarius ToodleLBFR6' 3"235Mobile, AL
42Coleman GranberryLBJR5' 11"210Auburn, AL
44Adam Balogoun-AliLBFR6' 2"230Palm Beach, FL
45Antonio MelendezLBJR5' 11"241Kissimmee, FL
51Michael Matthews-CantyLBJR6' 3"235Fredericksburg, VA
52William Grier McDuffieLBSO6' 1"217Birmingham, AL
4Rayshawn PleasantCBSR5' 11"200West Monroe, LA
14Shamar ArnouxCBSO6' 2"195Fort Lauderdale, FL
19Scrap RichardsonCBSO6' 0"195Greenville, GA
21Gavin JenkinsCBSO6' 2"190Lake Butler, FL
22Andre Jordan Jr.CBSR6' 1"185Federal Way, WA
33Kamari ToddCBSO6' 1"175Gardendale, AL
46Grey ReebalsCBSO5' 11"188Birmingham, AL
0Sylvester Smith-ReedSSR6' 0"195Munford, AL
1Champ AnthonySSR5' 11"195Fort Worth, TX
3AnQuon FegansSSO6' 0"200Alabaster, AL
8Kaleb HarrisSJR6' 1"204Bessemer, AL
20Jacoby MathewsSSR6' 1"205Ponchatoula, LA
23Fred Gaskin IIISJR5' 10"202Ocala, FL
25Damonte TabbSFR6' 2"192Alabaster, AL
26Wayne HenrySFR5' 10"175Baltimore, MD
28Shadrick Toodle Jr.SJR6' 4"210Mobile, AL
32Cade CarlsonSSO6' 1"210Eads, TN
48Peyton FloydSJR5' 11"185Trussville, AL
38Alex McPhersonPKSR5' 9"165Fort Payne, AL
41Connor GibbsPKSR5' 10"185New Orleans, LA
93Charley SchwingerPKJR6' 2"175Houston, TX
14Hudson KaakPSR6' 1"222Seymour, Australia
37John McGuirePSO6' 1"202Alabaster, AL
39Max BourkePFR6' 4"215Melbourne, Australia
47Travis WakefieldLSFR6' 2"215Nashville, TN
49Hudson PowellLSSR6' 3"225Nashville, TN
64Benton CanteyLSSO5' 8"217Fort Worth, TX
18J.J. FaulkEDGESO6' 3"260Highland Home, AL
31Joe PhillipsEDGESO6' 2"250Shorter, AL
41Jared SmithEDGESO6' 6"260Birmingham, AL
90Nate JohnsonEDGESR6' 5"263Gaffney, SC

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2017 (+15.4, #8) · worst: 2022 (+1.1, #66)
0+5+10+15FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#40
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far4-42-4#27+12.3+6.0+6.3
20255-71-7#40+5.0-0.1+5.1
20245-72-6#48+3.3-0.7+4.0
20236-73-5#53+2.5-1.6+4.1
20225-72-6#66+1.1+0.9+0.2
20216-73-5#36+5.5+0.8+4.8
20206-56-4#34+5.20.0+5.3
20199-45-3#10+13.6+4.6+9.0
20188-53-5#17+10.1+1.3+8.9
201710-47-1#8+15.4+4.8+10.6
20168-55-3#16+10.4+0.1+10.2
20157-62-6#43+5.1+2.1+3.0
20148-54-4#10+12.8+9.7+3.1

Auburn's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →