Big 12 · 2026
Baylor Bears
Head coach Dave Aranda · McLane Stadium
2-10-0 in conference
TDC Rank
#49
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+2.7
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+0.8
62nd in FBS
Defense
+1.9
47th in FBS
Schedule so far
-7.3
78th toughest
Projected
6.3-5.7
bowl-eligible 68%
Season Outlook
From the TDC Rating, updated after every game
Rating by week
+2.7 now, -0.8 preseason · up 30 spots since preseason
Final record odds
6.3-5.7 expected · most likely 6-6 (22%)
Team Leaders
Passing
Nate Bennett
QB · JR · 90th in FBS
554yds
5 TD · 2 INT
Rushing
Dawson Pendergrass
RB · SR · 74th in FBS
203yds
56 car · 1 TD
Receiving
Gavin Freeman
WR · SR · 15th in FBS
305yds
29 rec · 1 TD
Tackles
Travion Barnes
LB · SR · 211th in FBS
18tkl
0.5 TFL
Sacks
Garrick Ponder
DE · SR · 43rd in FBS
2sacks
2 hurries
Interceptions
Devon Jordan
CB · JR · 8th in FBS
2INT
1 PD
Schedule
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 5 | vs 38AuburnNEUTRAL | L 16–17 | +3.4 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 12 | vs Prairie View A&M FCS | W 44–3 | +2.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 19 | vs 78Louisiana Tech | W 36–19 | +12.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 26 | vs 104ColoradoCONF | Baylor −10.5 · o/u 47.3 | — | ESPN2 | |
| 5 | Oct 3 | @ 63Arizona StateCONF | Arizona State −1.3 · o/u 49.8 | — | ESPN | |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 17 | vs 40TCUCONF | Baylor −1.4 · o/u 45.3 | — | ||
| 8 | Oct 24 | @ 83KansasCONF | Baylor −2.2 · o/u 49.0 | — | ||
| 9 | Oct 30 | @ 41UCFCONF | UCF −4.2 · o/u 46.3 | — | ESPN | |
| 10 | Nov 7 | vs 39Iowa StateCONF | Baylor −1.3 · o/u 46.0 | — | ||
| 11 | Nov 14 | @ 15BYUCONF | BYU −9.5 · o/u 49.3 | — | ||
| 12 | Nov 21 | vs 26Texas TechCONF | Texas Tech −0.7 · o/u 47.5 | — | ||
| 13 | Nov 28 | @ 33HoustonCONF | Houston −5.5 · o/u 51.3 | — |
Team Stats
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com) | ||||
| EPA / play | +0.134 | 85th | -0.072 | 25th |
| Success rate | 41.7% | 93rd | 32.8% | 22nd |
| Explosiveness | 1.311 | 48th | 1.248 | 68th |
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.0% | 86th | 32.4% | 19th |
| Rushing success rate | 44.8% | 77th | 28.9% | 13th |
| Passing success rate | 41.3% | 91st | 35.3% | 38th |
| Explosive run rate | 8.3% | 128th | 14.5% | 96th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.0% | 47th | 7.4% | 41st |
| Line yards / carry | 3.08 | 83rd | 2.59 | 29th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.6% | 59th | 28.9% | 21st |
| Stuff rate | 14.6% | 56th | 25.3% | 20th |
| Sack rate | 3.8% | 56th | 6.9% | 40th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.5% | 84th | 45.5% | 110th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 60.0% | 84th | 50.0% | 37th |
| Havoc rate | 13.0% | 72nd | 19.5% | 15th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.0 | 66th | 13.0 | 21st |
| Yards / game | 468.7 | 33rd | 287.0 | 40th |
| Yards / play | 5.49 | 96th | 3.99 | 17th |
| Pass yards / game | 306.3 | 18th | 185.3 | 53rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.60 | 78th | 5.25 | 12th |
| Completion % | 61.2% | 92nd | 61.3% | 76th |
| Rush yards / game | 162.3 | 76th | 101.7 | 39th |
| Yards / carry | 3.70 | 112th | 3.05 | 36th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.8% | 77th | 42.0% | 99th |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 2.33 | 126th | 2.00 | 14th |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.67 | 70th | 3.33 | 10th |
| Penalty yards / game | 71.7 | 114th | 71.7 | 22nd |
Roster
100 players · Head coach Dave Aranda
100 players
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | DJ Lagway | QB | JR | 6' 3" | 237 | Willis, TX |
| 12 | Nate Bennett | QB | JR | 6' 1" | 192 | Westlake Village, CA |
| 13 | Quinn Murphy | QB | FR | 6' 3" | 209 | Argyle, TX |
| 14 | Edward Griffin | QB | SO | 6' 1" | 213 | Coppell, TX |
| 17 | Cade Tessier | QB | SR | 6' 3" | 219 | Montgomery, TX |
| 11 | Caden Knighten | RB | SO | 5' 11" | 211 | Wynnewood, OK |
| 25 | Ryelan Morris | RB | FR | 5' 10" | 185 | Honey Grove, TX |
| 33 | HD Davis | RB | FR | 5' 10" | 200 | Wolfe City, TX |
| 35 | Dawson Pendergrass | RB | SR | 6' 2" | 225 | Alba, TX |
| 1 | Dre'lon Miller | WR | JR | 6' 0" | 207 | Silsbee, TX |
| 3 | Jadon Porter | WR | JR | 6' 1" | 192 | Lorena, TX |
| 4 | Louis Brown IV | WR | SR | 6' 2" | 206 | Los Angeles, CA |
| 6 | Gavin Freeman | WR | SR | 5' 9" | 181 | Oklahoma City, OK |
| 15 | Jayden McGowan | WR | SR | 5' 7" | 187 | Laurens, SC |
| 16 | London Smith | WR | FR | 6' 0" | 211 | Waco, TX |
| 32 | Brody Day | WR | SO | 5' 11" | 188 | Spring Branch, TX |
| 34 | Davion Peters | WR | FR | 5' 9" | 172 | Belton, TX |
| 80 | Jackson Baird | WR | JR | 6' 4" | 198 | Waco, TX |
| 81 | Ryne Shackelford | WR | SR | 6' 0" | 186 | Elyria, OH |
| 83 | DeBraun Hampton | WR | JR | 5' 10" | 184 | Montgomery, TX |
| 84 | Chase Collier | WR | SO | 6' 1" | 181 | Jacksonville, FL |
| 87 | Ashton Jones | WR | SO | 6' 5" | 202 | Pearland, TX |
| 89 | Michael Johnson Jr. | WR | JR | 6' 3" | 207 | Batesville, MS |
| 10 | Tony Livingston | TE | SR | 6' 6" | 255 | Tampa, FL |
| 46 | Parker Almanza | TE | FR | 6' 2" | 245 | Trophy Club, TX |
| 85 | Matthew Klopfenstein | TE | SR | 6' 4" | 248 | Scottsdale, AZ |
| 86 | Hawkins Polley | TE | SR | 6' 4" | 256 | Houston, TX |
| 56 | Harrison Cluff | OL | SO | 6' 4" | 315 | Columbia, MS |
| 57 | Journey Tala | OL | SO | 6' 3" | 302 | San Diego, CA |
| 58 | Cooper Lovelace | OL | SR | 6' 5" | 313 | Prairie Village, KS |
| 61 | Cayden Tone | OL | SR | 6' 5" | 295 | Pacifica, CA |
| 62 | Alessandro Lorenzetti | OL | SR | 6' 5" | 314 | Montreal, Canada |
| 63 | Wyatt Swaner | OL | JR | 6' 1" | 287 | Dallas, TX |
| 64 | Jaydon Mendiola | OL | SO | 6' 4" | 308 | Clovis, CA |
| 66 | Koltin Sieracki | OL | JR | 6' 4" | 317 | The Woodlands, TX |
| 67 | David Roberts Jr. | OL | SO | 6' 5" | 341 | Irmo, SC |
| 69 | Donel Robinson Jr. | OL | FR | 6' 3" | 308 | Durant, MS |
| 70 | Nate Kibble | OL | JR | 6' 3" | 333 | Humble, TX |
| 71 | Matthew Parker | OL | SO | 6' 7" | 316 | Flowood, MS |
| 72 | Asher Hale | OL | JR | 6' 5" | 326 | Mobile, AL |
| 73 | Keystone Allison | OL | SR | 6' 3" | 317 | Carthage, TX |
| 74 | Kaden Sieracki | OL | SR | 6' 9" | 310 | The Woodlands, TX |
| 75 | Muyont'a Maxwell | OL | JR | 6' 4" | 295 | Kansas City, MO |
| 76 | Lawson Petty | OL | SR | 6' 2" | 305 | Dallas, TX |
| 77 | Logan Moore | OL | SR | 6' 8" | 296 | San Diego, CA |
| 78 | Cole Rhett | OL | SR | 6' 6" | 348 | Columbus, OH |
| 79 | Connor Cameron | OL | JR | 6' 7" | 306 | Gilbert, AZ |
| 52 | Aleki Manutai | DL | JR | 6' 2" | 280 | Mission Viejo, CA |
| 54 | Jae'Lin Battle | DL | FR | 6' 2" | 303 | Oklahoma City, OK |
| 59 | Devonte Tezino | DL | SR | 6' 5" | 284 | Killeen, TX |
| 90 | Braylen Jackson | DL | SR | 6' 4" | 289 | Mansfield, TX |
| 91 | Traevon Mitchell | DL | SR | 6' 0" | 282 | Waldorf, MD |
| 98 | Jackson Blackwell | DL | SO | 6' 3" | 314 | Lorena, TX |
| 9 | Ryan Davis | DE | SR | 6' 4" | 251 | Phoenix, AZ |
| 13 | Garrick Ponder | DE | SR | 6' 2" | 247 | St. Petersburg, FL |
| 40 | Kyler Jordan | DE | SR | 6' 2" | 251 | Lubbock, TX |
| 55 | Jaylin Jones | DE | JR | 6' 6" | 230 | Beaumont, TX |
| 57 | Christopher Johnson | DE | SO | 6' 3" | 265 | Rosharon, TX |
| 92 | Trent Thomas | DE | SR | 6' 6" | 259 | Missouri City, TX |
| 93 | Zavion Hardy | DE | SR | 6' 5" | 281 | Macon, GA |
| 94 | Tyrone Morgan | DE | FR | 6' 3" | 218 | Baton Rouge, LA |
| 97 | Jordan Mack | DE | SR | 6' 4" | 277 | Waldorf, MD |
| 5 | Travion Barnes | LB | SR | 6' 0" | 247 | Altamonte Springs, FL |
| 10 | Kyland Reed | LB | JR | 6' 1" | 222 | Arlington, TX |
| 31 | Anthony Crenshaw Jr. | LB | SR | 6' 0" | 218 | Arlington, TX |
| 41 | Kaleb Burns | LB | SO | 6' 1" | 224 | Houston, TX |
| 42 | Jamarion Phillips | LB | FR | 6' 0" | 222 | Dallas, TX |
| 44 | JJ Shelton | LB | SO | 6' 1" | 204 | Dallas, TX |
| 46 | Jahiem Porter | LB | FR | 6' 1" | 245 | Cedar Park, TX |
| 49 | Trey Laurence | LB | SR | 6' 0" | 220 | San Antonio, TX |
| 56 | Kaleb Arterberry | LB | SO | 6' 3" | 246 | Pearl, MS |
| 7 | Devon Jordan | CB | JR | 5' 11" | 183 | Tulsa, OK |
| 12 | Kyler Beaty | CB | JR | 6' 2" | 202 | Comanche, TX |
| 22 | Reggie Bush II | CB | SR | 6' 0" | 190 | Frisco, TX |
| 23 | Stilton McKelvey | CB | SR | 5' 11" | 178 | Houston, TX |
| 25 | LeVar Thornton Jr. | CB | SR | 6' 3" | 182 | Fort Worth, TX |
| 27 | Jayden Rowe | CB | SR | 6' 2" | 227 | Tulsa, OK |
| 28 | Calvin Simpson-Hunt | CB | SR | 6' 0" | 209 | Waxahachie, TX |
| 33 | Kalique Cheeves | CB | SO | 6' 1" | 155 | Livermore, CA |
| 34 | Daniel Edeni | CB | JR | 6' 2" | 203 | San Antonio, TX |
| 38 | Jamarion Richardson | CB | FR | 5' 10" | 162 | Texarkana, TX |
| 8 | Jacob Redding | S | SR | 6' 1" | 198 | New Braunfels, TX |
| 11 | Devin Turner | S | SR | 6' 2" | 205 | Little Elm, TX |
| 14 | Daniel Cobbs | S | SR | 5' 11" | 199 | Fort Worth, TX |
| 15 | Colby McCalister | S | SR | 5' 10" | 200 | Houston, TX |
| 19 | Leo Almanza Jr. | S | SO | 6' 2" | 192 | Trophy Club, TX |
| 21 | Bo Onu | S | SO | 6' 0" | 210 | Carrollton, TX |
| 24 | Micah Gifford | S | SR | 6' 3" | 205 | Pflugerville, TX |
| 26 | Colin Peacock | S | SO | 6' 1" | 206 | Gunter, TX |
| 29 | Jordan Davis | S | FR | 6' 2" | 204 | Prosper, TX |
| 30 | Michael Allen | S | SR | 5' 7" | 180 | Stilwell, KS |
| 32 | Austin Ausberry | S | SR | 6' 0" | 193 | Baton Rouge, LA |
| 37 | Demetrius Brisbon | S | SO | 5' 11" | 181 | Tyler, TX |
| 39 | Cole Redding | S | SO | 5' 10" | 187 | New Braunfels, TX |
| 48 | Jad Darkazalli | S | JR | 6' 0" | 190 | Arlington, TX |
| 96 | Riley Sullivan | PK | SR | 6' 3" | 216 | Lexington, NC |
| 97 | Bronson Mueller | PK | FR | 5' 9" | 204 | Rockwall, TX |
| 98 | Rhett Armstrong | PK | SO | 6' 5" | 209 | Monument, CO |
| 60 | Brady Hibbard | LS | JR | 6' 2" | 201 | Marshville, NC |
| 93 | Dylan Schaub | LS | SR | 6' 5" | 231 | New Waverly, TX |
Updated Sep 24, 3:19 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →