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Big 12 · 2026

Baylor Bears

Head coach Joe Klanderman · McLane Stadium
5-33-2 in conference
TDC Rank
#34
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+10.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
+3.5
46th in FBS
Defense
+6.6
27th in FBS
Schedule so far
+0.8
46th toughest
Projected
6.8-5.2
bowl-eligible 92%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+10.2 now, -0.8 preseason · up 33 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#34

Final record odds

6.8-5.2 expected · most likely 7-5 (38%)
8%5-732%6-638%7-519%8-49-3

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
DJ Lagway
QB · JR · 57th in FBS
1671yds
13 TD · 4 INT
Rushing
Dawson Pendergrass
RB · SR · 183rd in FBS
339yds
94 car · 2 TD
Receiving
Gavin Freeman
WR · SR · 10th in FBS
792yds
63 rec · 3 TD
Tackles
Travion Barnes
LB · SR · 152nd in FBS
54tkl
4.5 TFL
Sacks
Garrick Ponder
DE · SR · 110th in FBS
3.5sacks
3 hurries
Interceptions
Devon Jordan
CB · JR · 6th in FBS
4INT
3 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 5vs27AuburnNEUTRALL 16–17 ›+11.3—ABC
2Sep 12vsPrairie View A&M FCSW 44–3 ›-1.9—ESPN+
3Sep 19vs73Louisiana TechW 36–19 ›+12.6—ESPNU
4Sep 26vs63ColoradoCONFW 23–13 ›+8.4—ESPN2
5Oct 3@53Arizona StateCONFW 55–19 ›+36.7—ESPN
6—Bye
7Oct 17vs46TCUCONFL 6–17 ›-8.4—FS1
8Oct 24@40KansasCONFL 24–25 ›+10.3—TNT
9Oct 30@57UCFCONFW 41–9 ›+34.1—ESPN
10Nov 7vs51Iowa StateCONFBaylor −9.0 · o/u 51.6—73%FS1
11Nov 14@21BYUCONFBYU −7.9 · o/u 48.0—30%
12Nov 21vs12Texas TechCONFTexas Tech −3.9 · o/u 53.7—40%
13Nov 28@32HoustonCONFHouston −5.3 · o/u 51.2—36%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.11176th-0.0805th
Success rate38.7%117th34.8%13th
Explosiveness1.4018th1.17937th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate39.3%111th34.6%12th
Rushing success rate40.9%101st32.4%8th
Passing success rate38.0%108th36.3%25th
Explosive run rate9.1%128th12.6%58th
Explosive pass rate13.2%29th8.5%45th
Line yards / carry2.94100th2.7019th
Opportunity rate37.6%87th33.8%29th
Stuff rate15.7%46th21.6%22nd
Sack rate5.4%75th10.0%4th
3rd-down conversion40.7%70th34.2%25th
Red-zone TD rate57.7%89th38.1%10th
Havoc rate13.7%77th20.0%3rd
Box score · season totals
Points / game30.654th15.312th
Yards / game434.832nd332.844th
Yards / play5.4389th4.3413th
Pass yards / game283.916th233.498th
Yards / pass att.7.3077th6.3329th
Completion %57.1%117th59.3%47th
Rush yards / game150.977th99.417th
Yards / carry3.90101st2.7911th
3rd-down conv. %39.9%71st32.3%28th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.3876th1.889th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.1285th4.252nd
Penalty yards / game75.3128th58.555th

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
10.6
18th of 138
YAC per catch
4.6
116th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
17%
30th of 138
Shotgun
100%
2nd of 138
No-huddle
99%
1st of 138
QB pressured
11%
105th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
18%
22nd of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.0
85th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws296 throws charted

56% comp10.6 avg. depth4.6 YAC/catch17% 20+ air yds17–7 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 19 throws (6%), 15 caught (79%), 40 yds, 2.1 per throw1979% · 40yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (6%), 14 caught (78%), 71 yds, 3.9 per throw1878% · 71yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 25 throws (8%), 14 caught (56%), 145 yds, 5.8 per throw2556% · 145yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 19 throws (6%), 11 caught (58%), 166 yds, 8.7 per throw1958% · 166yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 7 caught (50%), 193 yds, 13.8 per throw1450% · 193yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 6 caught (55%), 145 yds, 13.2 per throw1155% · 145yLeft, 30+ air yards: 11 throws (4%), 3 caught (27%), 122 yds, 11.1 per throw1127% · 122yMiddle, Behind air yards: 1 throws (0%), 1 caught (100%), 2 yds, 2.0 per throw1100% · 2yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 3 caught (50%), 10 yds, 1.7 per throw650% · 10yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 19 throws (6%), 9 caught (47%), 95 yds, 5.0 per throw1947% · 95yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 16 throws (5%), 12 caught (75%), 175 yds, 10.9 per throw1675% · 175yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 4 throws (1%), 3 caught (75%), 68 yds, 17.0 per throw475% · 68yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 7 throws (2%), 4 caught (57%), 155 yds, 22.1 per throw757% · 155yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (1%), 1 caught (25%), 34 yds, 8.5 per throw425% · 34yRight, Behind air yards: 26 throws (9%), 21 caught (81%), 137 yds, 5.3 per throw2681% · 137yRight, 0–4 air yards: 22 throws (7%), 17 caught (77%), 105 yds, 4.8 per throw2277% · 105yRight, 5–9 air yards: 27 throws (9%), 13 caught (48%), 117 yds, 4.3 per throw2748% · 117yRight, 10–14 air yards: 21 throws (7%), 8 caught (38%), 134 yds, 6.4 per throw2138% · 134yRight, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 5 caught (56%), 99 yds, 11.0 per throw956% · 99yRight, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 3 caught (33%), 85 yds, 9.4 per throw933% · 85yRight, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (3%), 2 caught (25%), 69 yds, 8.6 per throw825% · 69y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on280 throws charted

58% comp8.0 avg. depth5.0 YAC/catch13% 20+ air yds6–9 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 27 throws (10%), 20 caught (74%), 100 yds, 3.7 per throw2774% · 100yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 30 throws (11%), 17 caught (57%), 101 yds, 3.4 per throw3057% · 101yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 28 throws (10%), 16 caught (57%), 165 yds, 5.9 per throw2857% · 165yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 5 caught (56%), 82 yds, 9.1 per throw956% · 82yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 15 yds, 5.0 per throw333% · 15yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 4 caught (36%), 110 yds, 10.0 per throw1136% · 110yLeft, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 4 caught (57%), 183 yds, 26.1 per throw757% · 183yMiddle, Behind air yards: 7 throws (3%), 7 caught (100%), 38 yds, 5.4 per throw7100% · 38yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 9 caught (82%), 54 yds, 4.9 per throw1182% · 54yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 7 caught (44%), 61 yds, 3.8 per throw1644% · 61yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 8 caught (100%), 115 yds, 14.4 per throw8100% · 115yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 3 caught (38%), 99 yds, 12.4 per throw838% · 99yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 3 throws (1%), 1 caught (33%), 30 yds, 10.0 per throw333% · 30yRight, Behind air yards: 26 throws (9%), 24 caught (92%), 126 yds, 4.8 per throw2692% · 126yRight, 0–4 air yards: 21 throws (8%), 13 caught (62%), 69 yds, 3.3 per throw2162% · 69yRight, 5–9 air yards: 22 throws (8%), 14 caught (64%), 114 yds, 5.2 per throw2264% · 114yRight, 10–14 air yards: 17 throws (6%), 7 caught (41%), 92 yds, 5.4 per throw1741% · 92yRight, 15–19 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 5 caught (36%), 136 yds, 9.7 per throw1436% · 136yRight, 20–29 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 3 caught (38%), 77 yds, 9.6 per throw838% · 77yRight, 30+ air yards: 2 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw20% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction288 carries

Left
18%
6.0 YPC · 51% succ.
Middle
64%
3.7 YPC · 35% succ.
Right
18%
6.8 YPC · 54% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced242 carries

Left
16%
5.0 YPC · 55% succ.
Middle
64%
3.6 YPC · 33% succ.
Right
21%
5.2 YPC · 50% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Joe Klanderman

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
2DJ LagwayQBJR6' 3"237Willis, TX
12Nate BennettQBJR6' 1"192Westlake Village, CA
13Quinn MurphyQBFR6' 3"209Argyle, TX
14Edward GriffinQBSO6' 1"213Coppell, TX
17Cade TessierQBSR6' 3"219Montgomery, TX
11Caden KnightenRBSO5' 11"211Wynnewood, OK
25Ryelan MorrisRBFR5' 10"185Honey Grove, TX
33HD DavisRBFR5' 10"200Wolfe City, TX
35Dawson PendergrassRBSR6' 2"225Alba, TX
1Dre'lon MillerWRJR6' 0"207Silsbee, TX
3Jadon PorterWRJR6' 1"192Lorena, TX
4Louis Brown IVWRSR6' 2"206Los Angeles, CA
6Gavin FreemanWRSR5' 9"181Oklahoma City, OK
15Jayden McGowanWRSR5' 7"187Laurens, SC
16London SmithWRFR6' 0"211Waco, TX
32Brody DayWRSO5' 11"188Spring Branch, TX
34Davion PetersWRFR5' 9"172Belton, TX
80Jackson BairdWRJR6' 4"198Waco, TX
81Ryne ShackelfordWRSR6' 0"186Elyria, OH
83DeBraun HamptonWRJR5' 10"184Montgomery, TX
84Chase CollierWRSO6' 1"181Jacksonville, FL
87Ashton JonesWRSO6' 5"202Pearland, TX
89Michael Johnson Jr.WRJR6' 3"207Batesville, MS
10Tony LivingstonTESR6' 6"255Tampa, FL
46Parker AlmanzaTEFR6' 2"245Trophy Club, TX
85Matthew KlopfensteinTESR6' 4"248Scottsdale, AZ
86Hawkins PolleyTESR6' 4"256Houston, TX
56Harrison CluffOLSO6' 4"315Columbia, MS
57Journey TalaOLSO6' 3"302San Diego, CA
58Cooper LovelaceOLSR6' 5"313Prairie Village, KS
61Cayden ToneOLSR6' 5"295Pacifica, CA
62Alessandro LorenzettiOLSR6' 5"314Montreal, Canada
63Wyatt SwanerOLJR6' 1"287Dallas, TX
64Jaydon MendiolaOLSO6' 4"308Clovis, CA
66Koltin SierackiOLJR6' 4"317The Woodlands, TX
67David Roberts Jr.OLSO6' 5"341Irmo, SC
69Donel Robinson Jr.OLFR6' 3"308Durant, MS
70Nate KibbleOLJR6' 3"333Humble, TX
71Matthew ParkerOLSO6' 7"316Flowood, MS
72Asher HaleOLJR6' 5"326Mobile, AL
73Keystone AllisonOLSR6' 3"317Carthage, TX
74Kaden SierackiOLSR6' 9"310The Woodlands, TX
75Muyont'a MaxwellOLJR6' 4"295Kansas City, MO
76Lawson PettyOLSR6' 2"305Dallas, TX
77Logan MooreOLSR6' 8"296San Diego, CA
78Cole RhettOLSR6' 6"348Columbus, OH
79Connor CameronOLJR6' 7"306Gilbert, AZ
52Aleki ManutaiDLJR6' 2"280Mission Viejo, CA
54Jae'Lin BattleDLFR6' 2"303Oklahoma City, OK
59Devonte TezinoDLSR6' 5"284Killeen, TX
90Braylen JacksonDLSR6' 4"289Mansfield, TX
91Traevon MitchellDLSR6' 0"282Waldorf, MD
98Jackson BlackwellDLSO6' 3"314Lorena, TX
9Ryan DavisDESR6' 4"251Phoenix, AZ
13Garrick PonderDESR6' 2"247St. Petersburg, FL
40Kyler JordanDESR6' 2"251Lubbock, TX
55Jaylin JonesDEJR6' 6"230Beaumont, TX
57Christopher JohnsonDESO6' 3"265Rosharon, TX
92Trent ThomasDESR6' 6"259Missouri City, TX
93Zavion HardyDESR6' 5"281Macon, GA
94Tyrone MorganDEFR6' 3"218Baton Rouge, LA
97Jordan MackDESR6' 4"277Waldorf, MD
5Travion BarnesLBSR6' 0"247Altamonte Springs, FL
10Kyland ReedLBJR6' 1"222Arlington, TX
31Anthony Crenshaw Jr.LBSR6' 0"218Arlington, TX
41Kaleb BurnsLBSO6' 1"224Houston, TX
42Jamarion PhillipsLBFR6' 0"222Dallas, TX
44JJ SheltonLBSO6' 1"204Dallas, TX
46Jahiem PorterLBFR6' 1"245Cedar Park, TX
49Trey LaurenceLBSR6' 0"220San Antonio, TX
56Kaleb ArterberryLBSO6' 3"246Pearl, MS
7Devon JordanCBJR5' 11"183Tulsa, OK
12Kyler BeatyCBJR6' 2"202Comanche, TX
22Reggie Bush IICBSR6' 0"190Frisco, TX
23Stilton McKelveyCBSR5' 11"178Houston, TX
25LeVar Thornton Jr.CBSR6' 3"182Fort Worth, TX
27Jayden RoweCBSR6' 2"227Tulsa, OK
28Calvin Simpson-HuntCBSR6' 0"209Waxahachie, TX
33Kalique CheevesCBSO6' 1"155Livermore, CA
34Daniel EdeniCBJR6' 2"203San Antonio, TX
38Jamarion RichardsonCBFR5' 10"162Texarkana, TX
8Jacob ReddingSSR6' 1"198New Braunfels, TX
11Devin TurnerSSR6' 2"205Little Elm, TX
14Daniel CobbsSSR5' 11"199Fort Worth, TX
15Colby McCalisterSSR5' 10"200Houston, TX
19Leo Almanza Jr.SSO6' 2"192Trophy Club, TX
21Bo OnuSSO6' 0"210Carrollton, TX
24Micah GiffordSSR6' 3"205Pflugerville, TX
26Colin PeacockSSO6' 1"206Gunter, TX
29Jordan DavisSFR6' 2"204Prosper, TX
30Michael AllenSSR5' 7"180Stilwell, KS
32Austin AusberrySSR6' 0"193Baton Rouge, LA
37Demetrius BrisbonSSO5' 11"181Tyler, TX
39Cole ReddingSSO5' 10"187New Braunfels, TX
48Jad DarkazalliSJR6' 0"190Arlington, TX
96Riley SullivanPKSR6' 3"216Lexington, NC
97Bronson MuellerPKFR5' 9"204Rockwall, TX
98Rhett ArmstrongPKSO6' 5"209Monument, CO
60Brady HibbardLSJR6' 2"201Marshville, NC
93Dylan SchaubLSSR6' 5"231New Waverly, TX

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2014 (+15.0, #6) · worst: 2017 (-6.2, #97)
0+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#70
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far5-33-2#34+10.2+3.5+6.6
20255-73-6#70-0.1+5.4-5.6
20248-56-3#40+4.7+5.6-1.0
20233-92-7#102-5.8-1.4-4.4
20226-74-5#31+5.3+3.5+1.8
202112-27-2#12+9.7+1.9+7.8
20202-72-7#64+0.3-2.2+2.5
201911-38-1#20+9.3+3.2+6.1
20187-64-5#79-0.9+1.4-2.3
20171-111-8#97-6.2-1.2-5.0
20167-63-6#48+3.5+3.3+0.2
201510-36-3#7+12.5+12.4+0.1
201411-28-1#6+15.0+13.4+1.6

Baylor's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →