The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Tarleton State FCS | W 45–3 | +6.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 57Utah | L 12–23 | -6.9 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 106Air Force | W 31–3 | +15.7 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 33ColoradoCONF | L 31–38 | +1.9 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 19BYUCONF | L 28–34 | -0.1 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 30Iowa StateCONF | L 21–43 | -12.4 | — | FOX |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 62Texas TechCONF | W 59–35 | +27.5 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 100Oklahoma StateCONF | W 38–28 | +2.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 34TCUCONF | W 37–34 | +5.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 76West VirginiaCONF | W 49–35 | +15.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 93HoustonCONF | W 20–10 | +8.2 | — | FS1 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 38KansasCONF | W 45–17 | +27.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 15LSUNEUTRAL | L 31–44 | -3.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.5% | 32nd | 39.5% | 37th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.1% | 63rd | 37.8% | 11th |
| Passing success rate | 47.8% | 13th | 41.5% | 81st |
| Explosive run rate | 11.9% | 108th | 14.0% | 62nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.2% | 14th | 12.6% | 118th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.24 | 47th | 3.11 | 64th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.1% | 86th | 34.5% | 27th |
| Stuff rate | 13.6% | 24th | 16.3% | 77th |
| Sack rate | 4.1% | 38th | 5.3% | 64th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.6% | 58th | 38.3% | 49th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 76.3% | 10th | 60.5% | 59th |
| Havoc rate | 6.0% | 9th | 7.4% | 88th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.4 | 23rd | 26.4 | 80th |
| Yards / game | 440.1 | 20th | 386.1 | 87th |
| Yards / play | 6.20 | 24th | 5.53 | 78th |
| Pass yards / game | 261.3 | 34th | 221.5 | 95th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.22 | 24th | 7.75 | 101st |
| Completion % | 61.3% | 68th | 60.3% | 65th |
| Rush yards / game | 178.8 | 42nd | 152.0 | 72nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.73 | 44th | 4.02 | 55th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.8% | 30th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 37th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 36th | 1.77 | 86th |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.4 | 103rd | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →