The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Lindenwood FCS | W 48–3 | +7.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 37Illinois | L 17–23 | +1.8 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 13 | vs 29UNLV | L 20–23 | +1.4 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 76West VirginiaCONF | L 28–32 | -2.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 34TCUCONF | L 27–38 | -8.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 23Arizona StateCONF | L 31–35 | +6.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 93HoustonCONF | W 42–14 | +18.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 25Kansas StateCONF | L 27–29 | +8.0 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 30Iowa StateCONF | W 45–36 | +13.2 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 19BYUCONF | W 17–13 | +15.3 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 33ColoradoCONF | W 37–21 | +19.5 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 40BaylorCONF | L 17–45 | -18.0 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.2% | 20th | 43.6% | 91st |
| Rushing success rate | 49.1% | 19th | 46.4% | 98th |
| Passing success rate | 44.4% | 36th | 40.9% | 80th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.2% | 13th | 18.1% | 123rd |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.7% | 19th | 13.3% | 124th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.61 | 6th | 3.46 | 121st |
| Opportunity rate | 45.0% | 7th | 42.4% | 113th |
| Stuff rate | 11.5% | 6th | 12.9% | 117th |
| Sack rate | 2.0% | 5th | 7.0% | 27th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 52.9% | 2nd | 42.0% | 88th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.4% | 44th | 54.3% | 29th |
| Havoc rate | 6.1% | 13th | 7.2% | 97th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 29.7 | 54th | 26.0 | 74th |
| Yards / game | 420.8 | 36th | 392.6 | 92nd |
| Yards / play | 6.51 | 9th | 5.89 | 100th |
| Pass yards / game | 208.8 | 90th | 225.7 | 101st |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.19 | 25th | 7.97 | 111th |
| Completion % | 57.5% | 105th | 63.1% | 100th |
| Rush yards / game | 212.1 | 13th | 153.5 | 75th |
| Yards / carry | 5.53 | 11th | 4.47 | 81st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 50.7% | 2nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.42 | 63rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.83 | 5th | 2.33 | 44th |
| Penalty yards / game | 38.4 | 12th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →