
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Eastern Illinois FCS | W 45–0 | +7.2 | — | BTN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 38Kansas | W 23–17 | +8.2 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 123Central Michigan | W 30–9 | +7.6 | — | Peacock |
| 4 | Sep 20 | @ 39NebraskaCONF | W 31–24 | +14.6 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 4Penn StateCONF | L 7–21 | +4.9 | — | NBC |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 122PurdueCONF | W 50–49 | -12.0 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 22MichiganCONF | W 21–7 | +19.3 | — | CBS |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 6OregonCONF | L 9–38 | -7.4 | — | CBS |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 26MinnesotaCONF | L 17–25 | -3.4 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 90Michigan StateCONF | W 38–16 | +15.4 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 52RutgersCONF | W 38–31 | +12.4 | — | Peacock |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 91NorthwesternCONFNEUTRAL | W 38–28 | +5.8 | — | BTN |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 13South CarolinaNEUTRAL | W 21–17 | +15.0 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.1% | 52nd | 46.0% | 111th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.1% | 50th | 50.8% | 126th |
| Passing success rate | 41.8% | 53rd | 41.9% | 86th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.8% | 45th | 13.2% | 45th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.5% | 39th | 7.0% | 6th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.32 | 37th | 3.66 | 132nd |
| Opportunity rate | 38.9% | 58th | 41.9% | 110th |
| Stuff rate | 12.2% | 11th | 9.4% | 134th |
| Sack rate | 7.4% | 107th | 5.1% | 73rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.2% | 24th | 48.5% | 123rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.3% | 67th | 51.1% | 17th |
| Havoc rate | 6.8% | 31st | 5.6% | 124th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.3 | 64th | 21.7 | 28th |
| Yards / game | 364.9 | 92nd | 373.8 | 68th |
| Yards / play | 5.67 | 67th | 5.30 | 60th |
| Pass yards / game | 211.2 | 86th | 207.6 | 70th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.78 | 39th | 6.58 | 36th |
| Completion % | 60.3% | 79th | 59.0% | 46th |
| Rush yards / game | 153.6 | 79th | 149.0 | 65th |
| Yards / carry | 4.42 | 64th | 4.39 | 78th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.6% | 19th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.08 | 34th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.46 | 94th | 2.38 | 42nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 40.1 | 15th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →