
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Central Connecticut FCS | W 66–10 | +11.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 114Florida International | L 16–52 | -34.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 37Illinois | L 9–30 | -13.2 | — | Peacock |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 125Ball StateCONF | W 37–34 | -11.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 124San Diego State | W 22–21 | -13.2 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 45OhioCONF | L 25–27 | -0.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 113Eastern MichiganCONF | L 34–38 | -9.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 56Miami (OH)CONF | L 7–46 | -25.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 5 | vs 68Bowling GreenCONF | L 13–23 | -12.3 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 12 | @ 73ToledoCONF | L 10–37 | -22.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 19 | vs 103Western MichiganCONF | W 16–14 | -6.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 69Northern IllinoisCONF | L 16–24 | -5.1 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.0% | 116th | 39.9% | 42nd |
| Rushing success rate | 43.2% | 86th | 41.4% | 49th |
| Passing success rate | 31.1% | 129th | 38.3% | 45th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.9% | 44th | 16.4% | 107th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 93rd | 10.9% | 82nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.38 | 23rd | 3.13 | 71st |
| Opportunity rate | 39.6% | 54th | 35.4% | 41st |
| Stuff rate | 11.4% | 5th | 16.4% | 76th |
| Sack rate | 7.3% | 104th | 7.6% | 17th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 35.3% | 111th | 35.4% | 22nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.5% | 66th | 59.0% | 53rd |
| Havoc rate | 6.6% | 26th | 7.2% | 97th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.8 | 108th | 29.5 | 97th |
| Yards / game | 332.3 | 113th | 363.6 | 59th |
| Yards / play | 5.15 | 100th | 5.43 | 71st |
| Pass yards / game | 163.4 | 124th | 178.8 | 29th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.49 | 121st | 7.09 | 61st |
| Completion % | 55.3% | 119th | 60.1% | 60th |
| Rush yards / game | 168.9 | 54th | 169.8 | 93rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.54 | 59th | 4.58 | 91st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.2% | 112th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.83 | 117th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.17 | 78th | 2.58 | 33rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.9 | 105th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →