The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Duquesne FCS | W 49–10 | +5.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 126Massachusetts | W 38–23 | -0.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 92Mississippi State | W 41–17 | +22.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 82Western Kentucky | L 21–26 | -4.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 56Miami (OH)CONF | W 30–20 | +8.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 86BuffaloCONF | L 15–30 | -15.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 69Northern IllinoisCONF | W 13–6 | +9.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 68Bowling GreenCONF | L 26–41 | -17.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 113Eastern MichiganCONF | W 29–28 | -4.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 12 | vs 123Central MichiganCONF | W 37–10 | +11.7 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 20 | vs 45OhioCONF | L 7–24 | -15.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 26 | @ 119AkronCONF | L 14–21 | -14.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 64PittsburghNEUTRAL | W 48–46 | +2.6 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 40.5% | 98th | 39.1% | 32nd |
| Rushing success rate | 39.2% | 113th | 42.7% | 60th |
| Passing success rate | 41.5% | 58th | 35.4% | 15th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.2% | 119th | 14.1% | 64th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.5% | 64th | 7.0% | 6th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.87 | 112th | 3.10 | 63rd |
| Opportunity rate | 33.2% | 122nd | 37.6% | 61st |
| Stuff rate | 20.4% | 111th | 16.2% | 80th |
| Sack rate | 2.9% | 16th | 6.1% | 49th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.7% | 102nd | 37.3% | 44th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.8% | 99th | 58.1% | 50th |
| Havoc rate | 6.8% | 31st | 9.2% | 44th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.9 | 70th | 22.6 | 34th |
| Yards / game | 370.3 | 85th | 359.1 | 54th |
| Yards / play | 5.30 | 89th | 4.74 | 20th |
| Pass yards / game | 253.1 | 40th | 192.1 | 45th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.26 | 70th | 6.34 | 23rd |
| Completion % | 60.9% | 71st | 57.5% | 24th |
| Rush yards / game | 117.2 | 106th | 151.2 | 70th |
| Yards / carry | 3.50 | 116th | 3.74 | 34th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 34.8% | 115th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.46 | 67th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.54 | 44th | 2.54 | 34th |
| Penalty yards / game | 55.7 | 89th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →