The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 91Northwestern | L 6–13 | -8.5 | — | BTN |
| 2 | — | Bye | ||||
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 70Cincinnati | L 16–27 | -13.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 2Notre Dame | L 3–28 | -2.5 | — | NBC |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 126Massachusetts | W 23–20 | -12.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 73ToledoCONF | L 20–30 | -7.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 113Eastern MichiganCONF | W 38–14 | +18.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 45OhioCONF | W 30–20 | +11.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 123Central MichiganCONF | W 46–7 | +15.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 5 | @ 125Ball StateCONF | W 27–21 | -3.1 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 13 | vs 134Kent StateCONF | W 34–7 | +0.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 19 | vs 69Northern IllinoisCONF | W 20–9 | +8.5 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 68Bowling GreenCONF | W 28–12 | +19.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 15 | Dec 7 | vs 45OhioNEUTRAL | L 3–38 | -24.1 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 98Colorado StateNEUTRAL | W 43–17 | +19.6 | — | CW |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.5% | 84th | 43.9% | 95th |
| Rushing success rate | 40.0% | 106th | 46.4% | 98th |
| Passing success rate | 42.8% | 44th | 41.7% | 85th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.2% | 105th | 13.1% | 42nd |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.4% | 67th | 5.5% | 2nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.21 | 56th | 3.27 | 90th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.3% | 45th | 38.3% | 70th |
| Stuff rate | 16.7% | 64th | 12.8% | 120th |
| Sack rate | 5.9% | 73rd | 5.4% | 63rd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.5% | 117th | 42.3% | 89th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 43.2% | 128th | 63.3% | 78th |
| Havoc rate | 7.5% | 53rd | 6.1% | 117th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 24.1 | 99th | 19.0 | 14th |
| Yards / game | 352.7 | 98th | 331.4 | 32nd |
| Yards / play | 5.87 | 48th | 4.71 | 17th |
| Pass yards / game | 217.4 | 80th | 181.9 | 37th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.63 | 47th | 5.86 | 5th |
| Completion % | 56.4% | 112th | 57.8% | 29th |
| Rush yards / game | 135.3 | 90th | 137.1 | 47th |
| Yards / carry | 4.59 | 53rd | 3.91 | 47th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 33.7% | 119th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.29 | 51st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.07 | 69th | 2.14 | 59th |
| Penalty yards / game | 41.8 | 19th | — | — |
63 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →