The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Missouri State FCS | W 42–34 | -16.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 10Miami | L 0–62 | -22.2 | — | ACCNX |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 123Central MichiganCONF | L 34–37 | -11.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 46James Madison | L 7–63 | -28.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 103Western MichiganCONF | L 42–45 | -11.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 134Kent StateCONF | W 37–35 | -17.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 50Vanderbilt | L 14–24 | -4.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 69Northern IllinoisCONF | W 25–23 | -0.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 5 | vs 56Miami (OH)CONF | L 21–27 | -7.1 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 12 | @ 86BuffaloCONF | L 48–51 | -3.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 68Bowling GreenCONF | L 13–38 | -26.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 45OhioCONF | L 21–42 | -14.5 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.0% | 76th | 46.7% | 117th |
| Rushing success rate | 43.9% | 80th | 46.9% | 102nd |
| Passing success rate | 40.6% | 72nd | 46.6% | 120th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.5% | 103rd | 14.6% | 75th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.4% | 108th | 15.0% | 134th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.13 | 69th | 3.25 | 87th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.6% | 92nd | 39.1% | 83rd |
| Stuff rate | 12.2% | 11th | 17.0% | 65th |
| Sack rate | 6.2% | 77th | 4.7% | 94th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 45.0% | 33rd | 48.2% | 121st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.6% | 56th | 77.5% | 127th |
| Havoc rate | 8.2% | 73rd | 8.5% | 61st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 25.3 | 92nd | 40.1 | 131st |
| Yards / game | 347.8 | 103rd | 454.9 | 125th |
| Yards / play | 4.95 | 114th | 6.82 | 132nd |
| Pass yards / game | 245.0 | 43rd | 268.3 | 130th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.71 | 103rd | 8.92 | 131st |
| Completion % | 63.9% | 35th | 62.0% | 89th |
| Rush yards / game | 102.8 | 121st | 175.3 | 99th |
| Yards / carry | 3.31 | 122nd | 5.21 | 118th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.1% | 47th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.17 | 44th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.75 | 108th | 1.67 | 93rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 45.3 | 32nd | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →