
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 120Charlotte | W 30–7 | +15.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs Gardner-Webb FCS | W 13–6 | -17.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 71North Carolina | W 70–50 | +22.7 | — | ACC Network |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 125Ball State | W 63–7 | +20.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 108UL MonroeCONF | L 19–21 | -7.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 10 | vs 101Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 39–7 | +18.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 75Georgia SouthernCONF | L 14–28 | -12.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 133Southern MissCONF | W 32–15 | -3.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 118Georgia StateCONF | W 38–7 | +14.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 74Old DominionCONF | W 35–32 | +4.9 | — | ESPNU |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 94App StateCONF | L 20–34 | -15.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 49MarshallCONF | L 33–35 | -1.4 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Dec 18 | vs 82Western KentuckyNEUTRAL | W 27–17 | +7.4 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 43.9% | 56th | 34.1% | 1st |
| Rushing success rate | 47.3% | 33rd | 34.9% | 3rd |
| Passing success rate | 40.3% | 78th | 33.5% | 5th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.8% | 16th | 14.6% | 75th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.3% | 109th | 8.6% | 30th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.44 | 16th | 2.70 | 12th |
| Opportunity rate | 43.9% | 13th | 31.0% | 6th |
| Stuff rate | 14.3% | 35th | 23.0% | 12th |
| Sack rate | 7.4% | 107th | 8.1% | 9th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 39.3% | 86th | 35.2% | 19th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.7% | 34th | 60.7% | 63rd |
| Havoc rate | 8.1% | 69th | 11.5% | 12th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.9 | 15th | 21.2 | 24th |
| Yards / game | 407.6 | 47th | 321.9 | 23rd |
| Yards / play | 5.66 | 68th | 4.65 | 15th |
| Pass yards / game | 216.1 | 81st | 188.0 | 42nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.35 | 62nd | 6.26 | 19th |
| Completion % | 60.7% | 74th | 54.5% | 7th |
| Rush yards / game | 191.5 | 28th | 115.4 | 26th |
| Yards / carry | 4.79 | 39th | 3.49 | 18th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.5% | 69th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.69 | 6th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.62 | 103rd | 3.15 | 6th |
| Penalty yards / game | 54.5 | 88th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →