The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs Jackson State FCS | W 30–14 | -8.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 115UAB | W 32–6 | +12.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 3Texas | L 3–51 | -12.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 95TroyCONF | W 13–9 | +2.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 46James MadisonCONF | W 21–19 | +3.1 | — | ESPNU |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 133Southern MissCONF | W 38–21 | -3.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 55South AlabamaCONF | L 17–46 | -21.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 49MarshallCONF | L 23–28 | +1.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 51Texas StateCONF | L 17–38 | -20.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 48Auburn | L 14–48 | -21.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 107Arkansas StateCONF | L 21–28 | -11.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 63LouisianaCONF | L 23–37 | -15.9 | — | ESPNU |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 37.8% | 119th | 47.6% | 119th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.6% | 96th | 54.0% | 134th |
| Passing success rate | 31.7% | 128th | 38.8% | 49th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.6% | 70th | 17.1% | 114th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.3% | 91st | 10.1% | 63rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.07 | 82nd | 3.68 | 133rd |
| Opportunity rate | 39.9% | 52nd | 48.1% | 134th |
| Stuff rate | 16.0% | 56th | 11.1% | 129th |
| Sack rate | 7.0% | 97th | 5.0% | 76th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.2% | 104th | 45.2% | 104th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.1% | 100th | 70.3% | 110th |
| Havoc rate | 9.4% | 102nd | 7.3% | 92nd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 21.0 | 118th | 28.8 | 92nd |
| Yards / game | 304.4 | 126th | 384.0 | 83rd |
| Yards / play | 5.05 | 109th | 5.47 | 74th |
| Pass yards / game | 134.8 | 129th | 170.4 | 22nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.57 | 116th | 6.75 | 44th |
| Completion % | 54.5% | 120th | 58.7% | 39th |
| Rush yards / game | 169.7 | 51st | 200.1 | 121st |
| Yards / carry | 4.46 | 62nd | 4.86 | 103rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 32.9% | 124th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.25 | 49th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.75 | 54th | 1.75 | 88th |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.3 | 24th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →