
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Grambling FCS | W 40–10 | +1.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 132Kennesaw State | W 34–10 | +9.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 32Tulane | L 33–41 | -4.2 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 97Wake Forest | W 41–38 | +0.6 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 133Southern MissCONF | W 23–13 | -5.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 94App StateCONF | W 34–24 | +2.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 101Coastal CarolinaCONF | W 34–24 | +7.4 | — | ESPNU |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Oct 29 | @ 51Texas StateCONF | W 23–17 | +11.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 107Arkansas StateCONF | W 55–19 | +18.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 55South AlabamaCONF | L 22–24 | -2.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 95TroyCONF | W 51–30 | +13.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 108UL MonroeCONF | W 37–23 | +8.8 | — | ESPNU |
| 15 | Dec 7 | vs 49Marshall | L 3–31 | -24.8 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 34TCUNEUTRAL | L 3–34 | -21.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.9% | 41st | 49.1% | 127th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.2% | 94th | 53.7% | 133rd |
| Passing success rate | 48.0% | 12th | 44.6% | 107th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.2% | 41st | 15.8% | 95th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.3% | 9th | 8.6% | 30th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.23 | 48th | 3.55 | 127th |
| Opportunity rate | 36.0% | 100th | 44.3% | 127th |
| Stuff rate | 16.4% | 60th | 13.9% | 110th |
| Sack rate | 3.8% | 30th | 4.4% | 101st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.8% | 53rd | 47.6% | 117th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 63.5% | 70th | 73.8% | 122nd |
| Havoc rate | 6.5% | 24th | 6.9% | 103rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.1 | 43rd | 24.1 | 53rd |
| Yards / game | 415.1 | 41st | 348.4 | 47th |
| Yards / play | 6.34 | 16th | 5.23 | 55th |
| Pass yards / game | 248.7 | 41st | 180.2 | 33rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.45 | 17th | 6.32 | 21st |
| Completion % | 65.3% | 24th | 63.5% | 106th |
| Rush yards / game | 166.4 | 58th | 154.2 | 76th |
| Yards / carry | 4.81 | 37th | 4.53 | 85th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.7% | 55th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.79 | 14th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.43 | 35th | 1.79 | 83rd |
| Penalty yards / game | 48.8 | 52nd | — | — |
70 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →