The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs SE Louisiana FCS | W 52–0 | +9.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 25Kansas State | L 27–34 | -2.4 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 35Oklahoma | L 19–34 | -7.0 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | @ 63Louisiana | W 41–33 | +11.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 80South FloridaCONF | W 45–10 | +22.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 115UABCONF | W 71–20 | +27.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 104RiceCONF | W 24–10 | +5.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 89North TexasCONF | W 45–37 | +6.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 10 | Oct 31 | @ 120CharlotteCONF | W 34–3 | +19.1 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 127TempleCONF | W 52–6 | +15.5 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 36NavyCONF | W 35–0 | +35.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | — | Bye | ||||
| 14 | Nov 28 | vs 41MemphisCONF | L 24–34 | -8.3 | — | ESPN |
| 15 | Dec 6 | @ 31Army | L 14–35 | -11.6 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 20 | vs 24FloridaNEUTRAL | L 8–33 | -16.8 | — | ESPN2 |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.6% | 28th | 39.5% | 37th |
| Rushing success rate | 46.3% | 46th | 39.7% | 29th |
| Passing success rate | 47.0% | 16th | 39.2% | 57th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.2% | 77th | 17.0% | 113th |
| Explosive pass rate | 13.8% | 13th | 9.1% | 43rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.23 | 50th | 3.04 | 58th |
| Opportunity rate | 38.4% | 68th | 35.3% | 36th |
| Stuff rate | 14.7% | 39th | 17.5% | 53rd |
| Sack rate | 5.0% | 57th | 7.1% | 26th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 49.3% | 10th | 35.2% | 19th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 72.9% | 27th | 47.5% | 4th |
| Havoc rate | 6.5% | 24th | 10.0% | 27th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 35.1 | 20th | 20.8 | 21st |
| Yards / game | 405.0 | 53rd | 323.5 | 24th |
| Yards / play | 6.20 | 23rd | 5.07 | 43rd |
| Pass yards / game | 209.4 | 89th | 161.1 | 10th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.91 | 8th | 6.19 | 16th |
| Completion % | 62.9% | 46th | 58.5% | 37th |
| Rush yards / game | 195.6 | 26th | 145.8 | 60th |
| Yards / carry | 4.83 | 36th | 4.48 | 82nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 50.0% | 3rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.07 | 31st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.29 | 24th | 2.50 | 37th |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.1 | 61st | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →