
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Bethune-Cookman FCS | W 48–3 | +7.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 7Alabama | L 16–42 | -8.1 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 133Southern Miss | W 49–24 | +9.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 10Miami | L 15–50 | -18.1 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 32TulaneCONF | L 10–45 | -18.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 41MemphisCONF | L 3–21 | -16.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 19 | vs 115UABCONF | W 35–25 | -1.8 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 1 | @ 117Florida AtlanticCONF | W 44–21 | +16.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 36NavyCONF | L 7–28 | -18.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 120CharlotteCONF | W 59–24 | +20.5 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 131TulsaCONF | W 63–30 | +7.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 30 | @ 104RiceCONF | L 28–35 | -10.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| Bowls | Dec 24 | vs 88San José StateNEUTRAL | W 41–39 | -1.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.6% | 112th | 39.6% | 39th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.2% | 113th | 38.8% | 21st |
| Passing success rate | 38.1% | 101st | 40.4% | 75th |
| Explosive run rate | 17.2% | 23rd | 14.7% | 80th |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.6% | 116th | 11.2% | 93rd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.08 | 81st | 2.76 | 17th |
| Opportunity rate | 34.1% | 116th | 37.8% | 64th |
| Stuff rate | 15.1% | 40th | 23.4% | 9th |
| Sack rate | 7.0% | 97th | 4.5% | 97th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.8% | 91st | 37.7% | 47th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 67.4% | 44th | 69.2% | 104th |
| Havoc rate | 8.0% | 65th | 10.1% | 24th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.9 | 39th | 29.6 | 99th |
| Yards / game | 408.3 | 45th | 436.9 | 119th |
| Yards / play | 5.47 | 80th | 5.61 | 81st |
| Pass yards / game | 227.5 | 67th | 262.5 | 127th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.67 | 109th | 7.69 | 98th |
| Completion % | 59.1% | 90th | 58.8% | 41st |
| Rush yards / game | 180.8 | 39th | 158.2 | 81st |
| Yards / carry | 4.78 | 40th | 4.03 | 56th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.9% | 81st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.38 | 61st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.77 | 111th | 2.46 | 41st |
| Penalty yards / game | 70.9 | 125th | — | — |
83 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →