The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs 82Western Kentucky | W 63–0 | +32.4 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 80South Florida | W 42–16 | +19.4 | — | ESPN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 58Wisconsin | W 42–10 | +30.8 | — | FOX |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 9GeorgiaCONF | W 41–34 | +17.9 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 50VanderbiltCONF | L 35–40 | +0.9 | — | SEC Network |
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 13South CarolinaCONF | W 27–25 | +10.3 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 12TennesseeCONF | L 17–24 | +7.0 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 28MissouriCONF | W 34–0 | +32.0 | — | ABC |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 15LSUCONF | W 42–13 | +38.1 | — | ABC |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs Mercer FCS | W 52–7 | +7.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 35OklahomaCONF | L 3–24 | -13.0 | — | ABC |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 48AuburnCONF | W 28–14 | +14.6 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 22MichiganNEUTRAL | L 13–19 | +2.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 46.6% | 28th | 38.9% | 29th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.3% | 33rd | 40.3% | 35th |
| Passing success rate | 45.8% | 22nd | 37.5% | 35th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.0% | 64th | 11.8% | 18th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.3% | 9th | 9.2% | 45th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.86 | 115th | 2.85 | 31st |
| Opportunity rate | 38.0% | 73rd | 34.4% | 26th |
| Stuff rate | 21.1% | 122nd | 17.4% | 55th |
| Sack rate | 6.2% | 77th | 5.5% | 60th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 48.1% | 13th | 37.1% | 38th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 76.9% | 6th | 48.5% | 5th |
| Havoc rate | 11.1% | 122nd | 10.9% | 14th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.5 | 21st | 18.9 | 13th |
| Yards / game | 410.2 | 42nd | 320.1 | 21st |
| Yards / play | 6.16 | 27th | 4.59 | 11th |
| Pass yards / game | 236.4 | 56th | 169.0 | 20th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.68 | 9th | 6.00 | 7th |
| Completion % | 63.8% | 36th | 59.8% | 53rd |
| Rush yards / game | 173.8 | 47th | 137.8 | 48th |
| Yards / carry | 4.63 | 50th | 3.68 | 29th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 47.6% | 12th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 93rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 62nd | 1.92 | 69th |
| Penalty yards / game | 69.1 | 123rd | — | — |
76 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →