The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 30 | vs 103Western Michigan | W 28–14 | +5.9 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs South Dakota FCS | W 27–13 | -10.2 | — | FS1 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 7Alabama | L 10–42 | -15.6 | — | FOX |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 18USCCONF | L 21–38 | -5.4 | — | CBS |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 122PurdueCONF | W 52–6 | +18.7 | — | BTN |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 52RutgersCONF | W 42–7 | +33.3 | — | BTN |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 91NorthwesternCONF | W 23–3 | +18.5 | — | BTN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 4Penn StateCONF | L 13–28 | -1.5 | — | NBC |
| 10 | Nov 2 | @ 21IowaCONF | L 10–42 | -16.1 | — | NBC |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 6OregonCONF | L 13–16 | +10.0 | — | NBC |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 39NebraskaCONF | L 25–44 | -11.4 | — | BTN |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 26MinnesotaCONF | L 7–24 | -12.4 | — | CBS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.1% | 75th | 43.7% | 93rd |
| Rushing success rate | 46.3% | 46th | 45.3% | 87th |
| Passing success rate | 37.9% | 103rd | 41.9% | 86th |
| Explosive run rate | 9.6% | 129th | 15.4% | 91st |
| Explosive pass rate | 7.8% | 114th | 10.3% | 68th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.20 | 58th | 3.32 | 101st |
| Opportunity rate | 37.6% | 81st | 39.3% | 85th |
| Stuff rate | 15.2% | 42nd | 15.7% | 85th |
| Sack rate | 2.8% | 12th | 3.8% | 117th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 37.9% | 96th | 39.2% | 61st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 53.8% | 110th | 62.2% | 70th |
| Havoc rate | 6.7% | 29th | 5.6% | 124th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 22.6 | 110th | 23.1 | 39th |
| Yards / game | 350.3 | 100th | 342.7 | 41st |
| Yards / play | 5.25 | 91st | 5.35 | 66th |
| Pass yards / game | 196.7 | 102nd | 166.9 | 14th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.47 | 122nd | 6.60 | 37th |
| Completion % | 57.0% | 110th | 62.5% | 94th |
| Rush yards / game | 153.7 | 78th | 165.0 | 91st |
| Yards / carry | 4.37 | 70th | 4.63 | 94th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.9% | 108th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.50 | 72nd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.08 | 14th | 1.42 | 121st |
| Penalty yards / game | 37.5 | 8th | — | — |
67 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →