
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | @ 76West Virginia | W 34–12 | +23.7 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 68Bowling Green | W 34–27 | +4.7 | — | BTN |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 134Kent State | W 56–0 | +10.3 | — | BTN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 37IllinoisCONF | W 21–7 | +16.4 | — | NBC |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 65UCLACONF | W 27–11 | +13.9 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 12 | @ 18USCCONF | W 33–30 | +14.6 | — | CBS |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 58WisconsinCONF | W 28–13 | +19.0 | — | NBC |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 1Ohio StateCONF | L 13–20 | +12.1 | — | FOX |
| 11 | Nov 9 | vs 42WashingtonCONF | W 35–6 | +27.1 | — | Peacock |
| 12 | Nov 16 | @ 122PurdueCONF | W 49–10 | +21.7 | — | CBS |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 26MinnesotaCONF | W 26–25 | +11.0 | — | CBS |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 81MarylandCONF | W 44–7 | +23.2 | — | BTN |
| 15 | Dec 7 | vs 6OregonNEUTRAL | L 37–45 | +7.7 | — | CBS |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 11SMU | W 38–10 | +34.4 | — | TNT |
| Bowls | Dec 31 | vs 17Boise StateNEUTRAL | W 31–14 | +26.4 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Jan 9 | vs 2Notre DameNEUTRAL | L 24–27 | +16.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 51.2% | 3rd | 39.6% | 39th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.6% | 8th | 39.8% | 31st |
| Passing success rate | 49.5% | 8th | 39.4% | 60th |
| Explosive run rate | 16.4% | 35th | 12.2% | 24th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.6% | 20th | 10.6% | 74th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.49 | 12th | 2.63 | 8th |
| Opportunity rate | 44.5% | 10th | 32.6% | 13th |
| Stuff rate | 13.7% | 26th | 25.3% | 2nd |
| Sack rate | 4.6% | 52nd | 6.9% | 32nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.0% | 27th | 40.3% | 73rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 73.7% | 21st | 41.7% | 3rd |
| Havoc rate | 6.8% | 31st | 13.1% | 1st |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 34.4 | 24th | 17.9 | 9th |
| Yards / game | 430.2 | 26th | 294.8 | 7th |
| Yards / play | 6.42 | 12th | 4.48 | 7th |
| Pass yards / game | 227.9 | 66th | 174.0 | 26th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.34 | 20th | 6.50 | 32nd |
| Completion % | 66.8% | 11th | 60.0% | 57th |
| Rush yards / game | 202.3 | 17th | 101.9 | 9th |
| Yards / carry | 5.26 | 17th | 3.05 | 7th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.9% | 17th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.94 | 25th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.25 | 23rd | 2.75 | 24th |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.3 | 63rd | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →