The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 24 | @ 111Nevada | W 29–24 | -0.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Houston Christian FCS | W 59–7 | +9.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | vs 19BYU | L 15–18 | +2.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 34TCU | W 66–42 | +26.6 | — | CW |
| 5 | Sep 28 | vs 96Florida StateCONF | W 42–16 | +17.0 | — | ACC Network |
| 6 | Oct 5 | @ 14LouisvilleCONF | W 34–27 | +20.3 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 105StanfordCONF | W 40–10 | +22.5 | — | ACC Network |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 53DukeCONF | W 28–27 | +5.8 | — | ACC Network |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 64PittsburghCONF | W 48–25 | +20.9 | — | ACC Network |
| 11 | — | Bye | ||||
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 54Boston CollegeCONF | W 38–28 | +9.4 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 87VirginiaCONF | W 33–7 | +23.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 67CaliforniaCONF | W 38–6 | +24.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 15 | Dec 7 | vs 16ClemsonNEUTRAL | L 31–34 | +6.5 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | @ 4Penn State | L 10–38 | -6.5 | — | TNT |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.2% | 38th | 36.8% | 7th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.6% | 55th | 40.3% | 35th |
| Passing success rate | 44.7% | 31st | 34.1% | 9th |
| Explosive run rate | 13.6% | 84th | 9.5% | 5th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.4% | 24th | 7.1% | 8th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.18 | 62nd | 2.81 | 22nd |
| Opportunity rate | 38.7% | 60th | 33.6% | 22nd |
| Stuff rate | 15.8% | 54th | 20.4% | 26th |
| Sack rate | 3.7% | 28th | 7.3% | 22nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 46.5% | 21st | 33.7% | 12th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.7% | 64th | 71.9% | 114th |
| Havoc rate | 7.0% | 38th | 10.1% | 24th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 37.8 | 6th | 23.8 | 50th |
| Yards / game | 429.5 | 27th | 326.0 | 26th |
| Yards / play | 6.04 | 38th | 4.47 | 6th |
| Pass yards / game | 261.9 | 31st | 204.3 | 64th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.41 | 19th | 6.40 | 25th |
| Completion % | 63.8% | 40th | 56.3% | 17th |
| Rush yards / game | 167.6 | 56th | 100.2 | 7th |
| Yards / carry | 4.33 | 75th | 2.90 | 4th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 44.6% | 26th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.71 | 110th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.29 | 24th | 3.07 | 11th |
| Penalty yards / game | 77.7 | 131st | — | — |
75 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →