The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs Southern Illinois FCS | W 41–13 | +1.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 6 | @ 11SMU | W 18–15 | +17.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 116Wyoming | W 34–14 | +13.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 25Kansas StateCONF | W 38–9 | +30.4 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 40BaylorCONF | W 34–28 | +13.4 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 102ArizonaCONF | W 41–19 | +13.9 | — | FOX |
| 8 | Oct 18 | vs 100Oklahoma StateCONF | W 38–35 | -4.9 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 59UCFCONF | W 37–24 | +16.9 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 57UtahCONF | W 22–21 | +5.1 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 38KansasCONF | L 13–17 | -1.8 | — | ESPN |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 23Arizona StateCONF | L 23–28 | +5.6 | — | ESPN |
| 14 | Nov 30 | vs 93HoustonCONF | W 30–18 | +4.8 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 33ColoradoNEUTRAL | W 36–14 | +28.2 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 44.1% | 52nd | 41.2% | 57th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.0% | 26th | 46.9% | 102nd |
| Passing success rate | 40.2% | 82nd | 35.4% | 15th |
| Explosive run rate | 18.2% | 13th | 14.2% | 65th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.3% | 45th | 7.6% | 11th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.36 | 26th | 2.95 | 43rd |
| Opportunity rate | 42.7% | 22nd | 37.0% | 59th |
| Stuff rate | 18.0% | 86th | 16.6% | 74th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 32nd | 4.3% | 104th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 36.9% | 101st | 38.9% | 58th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 61.7% | 77th | 57.1% | 40th |
| Havoc rate | 8.3% | 78th | 9.2% | 44th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.3 | 41st | 19.6 | 16th |
| Yards / game | 392.3 | 59th | 308.8 | 13th |
| Yards / play | 5.97 | 43rd | 4.79 | 24th |
| Pass yards / game | 231.3 | 60th | 165.9 | 13th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.93 | 32nd | 6.05 | 13th |
| Completion % | 57.3% | 107th | 55.4% | 10th |
| Rush yards / game | 161.0 | 68th | 126.3 | 33rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.58 | 54th | 3.85 | 44th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.3% | 96th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 93rd | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.38 | 31st | 1.54 | 109th |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.1 | 23rd | — | — |
71 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →