
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 31 | vs South Dakota State FCS | W 44–20 | -0.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 7 | vs 43Arkansas | W 39–31 | +9.3 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 131Tulsa | W 45–10 | +13.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 57UtahCONF | L 19–22 | -4.3 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 25Kansas StateCONF | L 20–42 | -12.0 | — | ESPN |
| 6 | Oct 5 | vs 76West VirginiaCONF | L 14–38 | -27.7 | — | ESPN2 |
| 7 | — | Bye | ||||
| 8 | Oct 18 | @ 19BYUCONF | L 35–38 | +8.3 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 26 | @ 40BaylorCONF | L 28–38 | -2.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 2 | vs 23Arizona StateCONF | L 21–42 | -15.8 | — | FS1 |
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 34TCUCONF | L 13–38 | -16.3 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | — | Bye | ||||
| 13 | Nov 23 | vs 62Texas TechCONF | L 48–56 | -9.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 14 | Nov 29 | @ 33ColoradoCONF | L 0–52 | -24.9 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 41.2% | 90th | 44.6% | 99th |
| Rushing success rate | 42.6% | 90th | 47.7% | 104th |
| Passing success rate | 40.3% | 78th | 41.5% | 81st |
| Explosive run rate | 12.8% | 98th | 21.9% | 134th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.1% | 68th | 12.3% | 114th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.89 | 109th | 3.50 | 124th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.0% | 124th | 44.1% | 123rd |
| Stuff rate | 17.0% | 71st | 12.9% | 117th |
| Sack rate | 2.5% | 9th | 5.9% | 52nd |
| 3rd-down conversion | 34.8% | 114th | 47.7% | 119th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 74.3% | 18th | 72.7% | 117th |
| Havoc rate | 6.6% | 26th | 7.1% | 100th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 27.2 | 77th | 35.6 | 125th |
| Yards / game | 374.0 | 81st | 500.6 | 133rd |
| Yards / play | 5.47 | 79th | 6.62 | 129th |
| Pass yards / game | 262.3 | 30th | 268.5 | 131st |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.01 | 89th | 8.46 | 127th |
| Completion % | 59.5% | 89th | 62.7% | 97th |
| Rush yards / game | 111.8 | 115th | 215.0 | 129th |
| Yards / carry | 3.75 | 100th | 5.41 | 128th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.4% | 110th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.92 | 124th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.08 | 14th | 2.08 | 61st |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.4 | 26th | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →