The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 29 | vs North Dakota State FCS | W 31–26 | -19.2 | — | ESPN |
| 2 | Sep 7 | @ 39Nebraska | L 10–28 | -10.4 | — | NBC |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 98Colorado State | W 28–9 | +16.6 | — | CBS |
| 4 | Sep 21 | vs 40BaylorCONF | W 38–31 | +9.0 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 28 | @ 59UCFCONF | W 48–21 | +29.0 | — | FOX |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 12 | vs 25Kansas StateCONF | L 28–31 | +1.6 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 19 | @ 102ArizonaCONF | W 34–7 | +22.4 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 26 | vs 70CincinnatiCONF | W 34–23 | +8.4 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | — | Bye | ||||
| 11 | Nov 9 | @ 62Texas TechCONF | W 41–27 | +17.5 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 16 | vs 57UtahCONF | W 49–24 | +23.0 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 23 | @ 38KansasCONF | L 21–37 | -8.4 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Nov 29 | vs 100Oklahoma StateCONF | W 52–0 | +25.9 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 28 | vs 19BYUNEUTRAL | L 14–36 | -13.4 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.1% | 40th | 38.7% | 24th |
| Rushing success rate | 45.7% | 54th | 40.8% | 42nd |
| Passing success rate | 44.8% | 30th | 36.5% | 21st |
| Explosive run rate | 11.3% | 117th | 15.3% | 86th |
| Explosive pass rate | 11.9% | 35th | 10.3% | 68th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.99 | 95th | 2.98 | 47th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.8% | 103rd | 35.3% | 36th |
| Stuff rate | 18.5% | 96th | 17.4% | 55th |
| Sack rate | 7.8% | 117th | 7.7% | 15th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.7% | 66th | 39.8% | 69th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 73.8% | 20th | 54.5% | 30th |
| Havoc rate | 8.5% | 82nd | 10.4% | 19th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.9 | 31st | 23.1 | 37th |
| Yards / game | 383.1 | 69th | 351.9 | 50th |
| Yards / play | 5.75 | 58th | 4.86 | 31st |
| Pass yards / game | 318.0 | 6th | 181.8 | 36th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.58 | 13th | 6.63 | 39th |
| Completion % | 73.2% | 1st | 58.3% | 36th |
| Rush yards / game | 65.2 | 134th | 151.4 | 71st |
| Yards / carry | 2.48 | 133rd | 3.87 | 45th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 40.9% | 64th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 37th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.31 | 125th | 3.00 | 12th |
| Penalty yards / game | 67.8 | 121st | — | — |
66 players who recorded a stat in 2024 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2024, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2024 power rankings →