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Big 12 · 2026

Colorado Buffaloes

Head coach Deion Sanders · Folsom Field
3-51-4 in conference
TDC Rank
#63
of 138 FBS teams
Rating
+2.2
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-1.1
78th in FBS
Defense
+3.2
46th in FBS
Schedule so far
+5.9
13th toughest
Projected
4.6-7.4
bowl-eligible 18%

Season Outlook

From the TDC Rating, updated after every game

Rating by week

+2.2 now, +5.7 preseason · down 23 spots since preseason
0+5+10FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9#64

Final record odds

4.6-7.4 expected · most likely 4-8 (35%)
14%3-935%4-834%5-715%6-67-5

Team Leaders

National leaderboards →

Passing
Isaac Wilson
QB · 107th in FBS
1164yds
7 TD · 7 INT
Rushing
JaQuail Smith
RB · SO · 163rd in FBS
361yds
72 car · 1 TD
Receiving
Joseph Williams
WR · 17th in FBS
732yds
51 rec · 5 TD
Tackles
Gideon ESPN Lampron
LB · SR · 10th in FBS
78tkl
12.5 TFL
Sacks
Lamont Lester Jr.
DL · JR · 36th in FBS
5sacks
1 hurries
Interceptions
Naeten Mitchell
DB · SR · 145th in FBS
1INT
0 PD

Schedule

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Sep 3@78Georgia TechW 14–13 ›+2.4—ESPN
2Sep 12vsWeber State FCSW 52–21 ›+1.2—ESPN+
3Sep 19@24NorthwesternL 7–41 ›-11.0—FOX
4Sep 26@34BaylorCONFL 13–23 ›+3.9—ESPN2
5Oct 3vs12Texas TechCONFL 7–29 ›-7.9—Fox
6—Bye
7Oct 17vs8UtahCONFL 24–27 ›+16.0—ESPN
8Oct 24@35Oklahoma StateCONFL 24–57 ›-14.3—FS1
9Oct 31vs44Kansas StateCONFW 27–24 ›+6.4—TNT
10Nov 7@53Arizona StateCONFArizona State −6.3 · o/u 51.4—34%ESPN2
11Nov 13vs32HoustonCONFHouston −5.9 · o/u 50.0—35%ESPN
12Nov 21@55CincinnatiCONFCincinnati −6.2 · o/u 53.4—34%
13Nov 28vs57UCFCONFColorado −2.2 · o/u 47.0—56%

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
EPA · per play, garbage time excluded (CollegeFootballData.com)
EPA / play+0.065101st+0.08061st
Success rate39.9%102nd40.5%59th
Explosiveness1.28653rd1.20449th
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate40.7%97th40.9%61st
Rushing success rate40.0%102nd43.6%86th
Passing success rate41.4%74th38.4%40th
Explosive run rate12.2%101st12.4%56th
Explosive pass rate11.5%45th13.6%131st
Line yards / carry3.0778th2.8138th
Opportunity rate36.3%104th41.5%118th
Stuff rate17.1%70th22.4%19th
Sack rate6.0%87th7.6%22nd
3rd-down conversion41.8%60th40.8%83rd
Red-zone TD rate61.9%74th48.4%28th
Havoc rate13.2%61st18.1%6th
Box score · season totals
Points / game21.0117th29.4108th
Yards / game396.457th386.098th
Yards / play5.5673rd5.2263rd
Pass yards / game256.435th249.6117th
Yards / pass att.7.7055th7.3486th
Completion %62.3%80th58.1%33rd
Rush yards / game140.094th136.465th
Yards / carry3.90101st3.6643rd
3rd-down conv. %38.2%88th40.3%94th
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)2.12137th0.88107th
Sacks / game (allowed · made)2.1285th2.7525th
Penalty yards / game80.4134th55.671st

Charting

Where the ball goes, read from the play-by-play: air yards, yards after the catch, run direction, pressure and tempo. Ranks run highest to lowest

Avg. depth of throw
8.9
59th of 138
YAC per catch
6.5
18th of 138
Deep shots (20+)
14%
80th of 138
Shotgun
95%
71st of 138
No-huddle
84%
36th of 138
QB pressured
10%
109th of 138 (1st = most)
Defense: pressure rate
19%
9th of 138
Defense: YAC allowed
5.4
50th of 138 (1st = most)

Offense: where it throws249 throws charted

62% comp8.9 avg. depth6.5 YAC/catch14% 20+ air yds14–10 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 26 throws (10%), 22 caught (85%), 177 yds, 6.8 per throw2685% · 177yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 6 caught (55%), 54 yds, 4.9 per throw1155% · 54yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 23 throws (9%), 11 caught (48%), 106 yds, 4.6 per throw2348% · 106yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 9 caught (69%), 127 yds, 9.8 per throw1369% · 127yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 95 yds, 11.9 per throw863% · 95yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 5 caught (38%), 144 yds, 11.1 per throw1338% · 144yLeft, 30+ air yards: 1 throws (0%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw10% · 0yMiddle, Behind air yards: 10 throws (4%), 9 caught (90%), 20 yds, 2.0 per throw1090% · 20yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 5 caught (63%), 27 yds, 3.4 per throw863% · 27yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 11 throws (4%), 7 caught (64%), 122 yds, 11.1 per throw1164% · 122yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 92 yds, 13.1 per throw771% · 92yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 6 throws (2%), 4 caught (67%), 76 yds, 12.7 per throw667% · 76yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 8 throws (3%), 4 caught (50%), 194 yds, 24.3 per throw850% · 194yRight, Behind air yards: 14 throws (6%), 14 caught (100%), 91 yds, 6.5 per throw14100% · 91yRight, 0–4 air yards: 24 throws (10%), 18 caught (75%), 171 yds, 7.1 per throw2475% · 171yRight, 5–9 air yards: 24 throws (10%), 20 caught (83%), 158 yds, 6.6 per throw2483% · 158yRight, 10–14 air yards: 20 throws (8%), 9 caught (45%), 188 yds, 9.4 per throw2045% · 188yRight, 15–19 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 7 caught (58%), 163 yds, 13.6 per throw1258% · 163yRight, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw30% · 0yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw40% · 0y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Defense: where it's thrown on260 throws charted

58% comp9.0 avg. depth5.4 YAC/catch15% 20+ air yds19–4 TD–INT
101020203030LOSLeft, Behind air yards: 15 throws (6%), 10 caught (67%), 30 yds, 2.0 per throw1567% · 30yLeft, 0–4 air yards: 18 throws (7%), 13 caught (72%), 105 yds, 5.8 per throw1872% · 105yLeft, 5–9 air yards: 17 throws (7%), 7 caught (41%), 62 yds, 3.6 per throw1741% · 62yLeft, 10–14 air yards: 13 throws (5%), 5 caught (38%), 80 yds, 6.2 per throw1338% · 80yLeft, 15–19 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 5 caught (56%), 111 yds, 12.3 per throw956% · 111yLeft, 20–29 air yards: 9 throws (3%), 3 caught (33%), 90 yds, 10.0 per throw933% · 90yLeft, 30+ air yards: 7 throws (3%), 3 caught (43%), 128 yds, 18.3 per throw743% · 128yMiddle, Behind air yards: 3 throws (1%), 3 caught (100%), 18 yds, 6.0 per throw3100% · 18yMiddle, 0–4 air yards: 16 throws (6%), 8 caught (50%), 58 yds, 3.6 per throw1650% · 58yMiddle, 5–9 air yards: 15 throws (6%), 10 caught (67%), 121 yds, 8.1 per throw1567% · 121yMiddle, 10–14 air yards: 14 throws (5%), 9 caught (64%), 172 yds, 12.3 per throw1464% · 172yMiddle, 15–19 air yards: 7 throws (3%), 5 caught (71%), 105 yds, 15.0 per throw771% · 105yMiddle, 20–29 air yards: 3 throws (1%), 2 caught (67%), 64 yds, 21.3 per throw367% · 64yMiddle, 30+ air yards: 5 throws (2%), 0 caught (0%), 0 yds, 0.0 per throw50% · 0yRight, Behind air yards: 25 throws (10%), 21 caught (84%), 128 yds, 5.1 per throw2584% · 128yRight, 0–4 air yards: 32 throws (12%), 19 caught (59%), 129 yds, 4.0 per throw3259% · 129yRight, 5–9 air yards: 18 throws (7%), 10 caught (56%), 77 yds, 4.3 per throw1856% · 77yRight, 10–14 air yards: 12 throws (5%), 6 caught (50%), 88 yds, 7.3 per throw1250% · 88yRight, 15–19 air yards: 8 throws (3%), 6 caught (75%), 125 yds, 15.6 per throw875% · 125yRight, 20–29 air yards: 10 throws (4%), 6 caught (60%), 159 yds, 15.9 per throw1060% · 159yRight, 30+ air yards: 4 throws (2%), 1 caught (25%), 70 yds, 17.5 per throw425% · 70y
fewer more throws
Direction and air yards come from the play-by-play (left / middle / right thirds of the field), so each glow sits in its zone rather than on an exact spot. Hover a zone for detail.

Offense: run direction259 carries

Left
17%
5.7 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
63%
4.3 YPC · 37% succ.
Right
19%
5.0 YPC · 48% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Defense: runs faced270 carries

Left
25%
5.5 YPC · 53% succ.
Middle
56%
4.0 YPC · 41% succ.
Right
19%
5.0 YPC · 44% succ.
Share of carries by direction, as the play-by-play calls it. Success: 5+ yards on 1st/2nd down, 3+ on 3rd/4th, or a touchdown. QB scrambles excluded.

Pressure = the QB was hurried or sacked, as the play-by-play records it (it misses some, so compare teams rather than reading it as an exact rate). Every snap counts, including garbage time and FCS games.

Roster

100 players · Head coach Deion Sanders

100 players
#PlayerPos▲ClassHtWtHometown
7Dominiq PonderQBSR6' 5"200Opa Locka, FL
10Julian LewisQBSO6' 1"190Carrollton, GA
14Kaneal SweetwyneQBFR6' 3"195Lehi, UT
20DeKalon TaylorRBSR5' 9"165Longview, TX
23JaQuail SmithRBSO5' 11"170Orlando, FL
26Damian Henderson IIRBSR6' 2"205Los Alamitos, CA
27Bryce HicksRBJR5' 9"185Atlanta, GA
28Cam NetwonRBFR5' 9"185Prosper, TX
29Micah WelchRBJR5' 9"215Milledgeville, GA
34Titus BautistaRBJR5' 10"185Chicago, IL
37Leonardo ValleRBSO6' 1"210Richmond Hill, GA
47Cody JordanRBFR5' 9"185The Woodlands, TX
3DeAndre Moore Jr.WRSR6' 0"190Bellflower, CA
4Ernest CampbellWRJR5' 9"145Refugio, TX
5Hykeem WilliamsWRSR6' 2"220Fort Lauderdale, FL
6Quentin GibsonWRSO5' 9"155Fort Worth, TX
7Kam PerryWRSR5' 9"170Marietta, GA
13Kaleb MathisWRSR5' 9"165Arlington, TX
14Quanell Farrakhan Jr.WRSO6' 1"180Houston, TX
17Christian WardWRFR6' 3"205Carrollton, GA
18Danny ScuderoWRSR5' 9"175San Jose, CA
22Tagert BardinWRSR6' 0"160Durango, CO
32Alex WardWRFR6' 1"180Carrollton, GA
36Carson WestbrookWRJR5' 11"170Ellaville, GA
80Jacob SwainWRFR6' 1"185Melissa, TX
81Braedon BrennerWRFR5' 11"180Mesa, AZ
83Zayne DeSouzaTESO6' 6"260Loveland, CO
85Zach AtkinsTESR6' 4"240Olathe, KS
86Brady KopetzTESR6' 4"270Portland, OR
87Charlie WilliamsTESR6' 4"245Aspen, CO
88Corbin LaisureTESO6' 5"250Bluff City, TN
89Fisher ClementsTESR6' 7"265Hattiesburg, MS
51Chauncey GoodenOLSO6' 3"380Nashville, TN
52Andre Roye Jr.OLSR6' 6"295District Heights, MD
53Larry Johnson IIIOLSR6' 7"350Savannah, GA
54Taj WhiteOLSR6' 5"310Jersey City, NJ
55Bo HughleyOLSR6' 7"295Fairburn, GA
56Phillip HoustonOLSR6' 5"280McKinney, TX
57Leon BellOLSR6' 8"330Dickinson, TX
58Demetrius HunterOLSR6' 2"310Orange, TX
59Yahya AttiaOLJR6' 4"340London, England
61Aiden DeCorteOLSR6' 1"300Jackson, MI
62Sean KinneyOLJR6' 2"305Nazareth, PA
65Ben GulaOLFR6' 5"285Weston, FL
71Jayvon McFaddenOLSO6' 3"295Upper Marlboro, MD
72Xavier PayneOLFR6' 7"320Canandaigua, NY
73Jose SotoOLSR6' 3"310Tulare, CA
75Jayven RichardsonOLSR6' 6"315Gonzales, LA
78Hudson SteberOLSO6' 3"270Evergreen, CO
45Vili TaufatofuaDLSR6' 3"260Auckland, New Zealand
56Lamont Lester Jr.DLJR6' 2"230Ramsey, NJ
88Samu TaumanupepeDLSR6' 3"375Humble, TX
90Tyler MooreDLJR5' 10"290Locust Grove, GA
91Sedrick SmithDLSR6' 4"320Atlanta, GA
93Malachi BrownDLSR6' 5"300Milpitas, CA
94Josiah ManuDLFR6' 5"295Loveland, CO
97Santana HopperDLSR6' 2"265Shelby, NC
99Dylan ManuelDLJR6' 1"300Stockbridge, GA
27Domata Peko Jr.DESR6' 4"235Calabasas, CA
41Kylan SalterDESR6' 2"230Cedar Hill, TX
49Quency WigginsDESR6' 5"255Baton Rouge, LA
52Immanuel EzeoguDEJR6' 2"240Suffolk, VA
53Toby AneneDESR6' 4"260Saint Paul, MN
92Sam GadieDESR6' 3"235Trenton, NJ
95Yamil TalibDEJR6' 2"240Richardson, TX
96Balansama KamaraDESR6' 3"260Philadelphia, PA
17Liona LefauLBSR6' 1"230Kahuku, HI
35Tyler MartinezLBSR6' 1"220Albuquerque, NM
40Colby JohnsonLBFR6' 2"195Sammamish, WA
44Gideon LampronLBSR6' 0"220Lagrange, OH
44Gideon ESPN LampronLBSR6' 0"220Lagrange, OH
50Rodney Colton Jr.LBFR6' 1"225Newnan, GA
51Carson CrawfordLBFR6' 4"220Carthage, TX
54Bo LaPennaLBSR6' 1"235Commerce City, CO
55Gage GoldbergLBJR6' 0"210Boerne, TX
4Naeten MitchellDBSR5' 10"175Temple, TX
5RJ JohnsonDBSR6' 2"185Mcdonough, GA
6Boo CarterDBJR5' 11"200Chattanooga, TN
7Randon FontenetteDBSR6' 2"220Freeport, TX
8Emory FloydDBSR6' 1"195Powder Springs, GA
9Jaydan HardyDBJR5' 10"180Lewisville, TX
10Makari VickersDBSR6' 1"190Tallahassee, FL
13Jason Stokes Jr.DBJR6' 2"185Pflugerville, TX
15Jah Jah BoydDBJR5' 11"190Philadelphia, PA
18Paul OmodiaDBSR6' 2"200Richmond, TX
20Cree ThomasDBSO6' 1"190Phoenix, AZ
26Braylon EdwardsDBFR5' 11"180Duncanville, TX
28Ben FinnesethDBSR6' 2"205Durango, CO
30Justin EaglinDBSR6' 1"175Fayetteville, NC
32Myles WestonDBSR5' 11"175Port Charlotte, FL
33Kole MathisDBJR5' 8"140Arlington, TX
34Drew MolinariDBJR6' 1"195Salinas, CA
39Donavon StephensDBSO5' 10"170Alpharetta, GA
31Preston AshleyCBFR5' 11"185Brandon, MS
39Cadel AyalaPKSO6' 1"185Reno, NV
46Elliott ArnoldPKSO5' 10"165Chattanooga, TN
35Damon GreavesPSR6' 1"190Busselton, Australia
38Daniel GerlachPSR6' 0"160Boulder, CO
45Luke WhitingLSSR6' 4"225Holladay, UT
60Brady RadzLSSR6' 2"175Englewood, CO

Program History

Final TDC rating, rank and record for every season since 2014

Final rating by season

Best: 2016 (+8.2, #20) · worst: 2022 (-15.1, #128)
-100+10FBS avg201420152016201720182019202020212022202320242025#86
SeasonRecordConfRankRatingOffDef
2026 so far3-51-4#63+2.2-1.1+3.2
20253-91-8#86-3.2-1.9-1.2
20249-47-2#33+6.2+4.4+1.7
20234-81-8#83-3.4+2.3-5.7
20221-111-8#128-15.1-8.5-6.6
20214-83-6#104-6.5-6.1-0.4
20204-23-1#77-1.3+0.3-1.6
20195-73-6#85-3.4-2.2-1.2
20185-72-7#86-2.7-2.3-0.4
20175-72-7#77-1.8-2.3+0.6
201610-48-1#20+8.2+0.6+7.5
20154-91-8#85-4.0-4.7+0.7
20142-100-9#90-5.2+1.1-6.2

Colorado's past seasons use the same rating model as this one. Click a season to see its full page.

Updated Nov 3, 12:25 PM ET. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. Projected lines include — points of home field. Win chances and record odds allow for the ratings themselves being uncertain, most of all early in the season. All FBS power rankings →