Pac-12 · 2019 · Final

Colorado Buffaloes 2019

5-73-6 in conference
Final TDC rank
#85
of 130 FBS teams
Rating
-3.4
pts vs avg FBS team
Offense
-2.2
88th in FBS
Defense
-1.2
74th in FBS
Schedule
+3.0
18th toughest
Preseason
-1.6
rating going in

2019 Season

The TDC Rating after every week of the season

Rating by week

-3.4 now, -1.6 preseason · up 4 spots since preseason
-50+5FBS avgPreWk 1Wk 2Wk 3Wk 4Wk 5Wk 6Wk 7Wk 8Wk 9Wk 10Wk 11Wk 12Wk 13Wk 14Wk 15Wk 16Bowls#85

Results

Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue

WkDateOpponentResult / TDC lineGame scoreWin chanceTV
1Aug 30vs107Colorado StateNEUTRALW 52–31+13.7—ESPN
2Sep 7vs50NebraskaW 34–31+1.7—FOX
3Sep 14vs25Air ForceL 23–30-1.3—PACN
4Sep 21@48Arizona StateCONFW 34–31+7.5—PACN
5—Bye
6Oct 5vs101ArizonaCONFL 30–35-13.8—
7Oct 11@12OregonCONFL 3–45-14.4—FS1
8Oct 19@40Washington StateCONFL 10–41-20.3—ESPNU
9Oct 25vs33USCCONFL 31–35-1.1—ESPN2
10Nov 2@89UCLACONFL 14–31-17.9—PACN
11Nov 9vs88StanfordCONFW 16–13-3.1—PACN
12—Bye
13Nov 23vs19WashingtonCONFW 20–14+13.6—ESPN
14Nov 30@14UtahCONFL 15–45-11.3—ABC

Team Stats

Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted

StatOffenseFBS rankDefense (allowed)FBS rank
Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play)
Success rate44.1%50th48.4%125th
Rushing success rate45.9%41st47.5%105th
Passing success rate42.5%61st49.3%126th
Explosive run rate16.2%47th11.9%19th
Explosive pass rate8.9%110th12.5%102nd
Line yards / carry3.2330th3.1290th
Opportunity rate40.3%41st40.7%96th
Stuff rate15.1%19th14.4%121st
Sack rate4.3%30th4.6%103rd
3rd-down conversion41.4%60th48.6%122nd
Red-zone TD rate48.8%117th64.1%76th
Havoc rate9.7%15th10.2%120th
Box score · season totals
Points / game23.5102nd31.896th
Yards / game388.583rd——
Yards / play5.3786th——
Pass yards / game238.261st——
Yards / pass att.6.9593rd——
Completion %62.5%38th——
Rush yards / game150.379th——
Yards / carry4.1480th——
3rd-down conv. %41.3%46th——
Turnovers / game (lost · forced)1.1735th——
Sacks / game (allowed · made)1.7541st——
Penalty yards / game60.595th——

Players

53 players who recorded a stat in 2019 (from box scores)

53 players

Final ratings for 2019, built with the same model as the current season. ESPN’s 2019 box scores are missing most defensive stats, so players’ tackles, TFL, sacks and breakups are rebuilt from the play-by-play (they run about 10% below official totals). Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2019 power rankings →