The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 30TCU | W 45–42 | +11.1 | — | FOX |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 63Nebraska | W 36–14 | +19.3 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 111Colorado State | W 43–35 | -3.0 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 3OregonCONF | L 6–42 | -7.5 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 25USCCONF | L 41–48 | -2.5 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 108Arizona StateCONF | W 27–24 | -2.0 | — | PACN |
| 7 | Oct 13 | vs 113StanfordCONF | L 43–46 | -14.2 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 35UCLACONF | L 16–28 | -4.6 | — | ABC |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 20Oregon StateCONF | L 19–26 | -1.1 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 17ArizonaCONF | L 31–34 | +3.6 | — | PACN |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 52Washington StateCONF | L 14–56 | -25.3 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 37UtahCONF | L 17–23 | +1.2 | — | PACN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.4% | 67th | 49.2% | 132nd |
| Rushing success rate | 38.0% | 122nd | 49.3% | 122nd |
| Passing success rate | 44.7% | 34th | 49.0% | 133rd |
| Explosive run rate | 11.6% | 111th | 17.2% | 112th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.2% | 76th | 11.0% | 85th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.13 | 73rd | 3.21 | 83rd |
| Opportunity rate | 34.8% | 111th | 42.8% | 119th |
| Stuff rate | 14.4% | 39th | 16.1% | 69th |
| Sack rate | 9.7% | 123rd | 6.1% | 64th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.5% | 64th | 47.3% | 122nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 73.5% | 15th | 68.8% | 104th |
| Havoc rate | 8.8% | 81st | 8.3% | 63rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 28.0 | 61st | 34.8 | 124th |
| Yards / game | 363.6 | 82nd | 453.3 | 130th |
| Yards / play | 4.91 | 105th | 6.08 | 114th |
| Pass yards / game | 294.7 | 16th | 265.2 | 128th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.46 | 59th | 7.97 | 109th |
| Completion % | 68.1% | 10th | 64.5% | 112th |
| Rush yards / game | 68.9 | 133rd | 176.4 | 110th |
| Yards / carry | 2.31 | 133rd | 4.69 | 104th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.4% | 67th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 13th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 4.67 | 132nd | 2.25 | 55th |
| Penalty yards / game | 71.2 | 132nd | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →