The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 3 | @ 59San José State | W 42–17 | +28.0 | — | CBS |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs UC Davis FCS | W 55–7 | +9.2 | — | PACN |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 109San Diego State | W 26–9 | +6.6 | — | FS1 |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 52Washington StateCONF | L 35–38 | +2.0 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 29 | vs 37UtahCONF | W 21–7 | +16.1 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 67CaliforniaCONF | W 52–40 | +13.8 | — | PACN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 35UCLACONF | W 36–24 | +14.3 | — | FOX |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 17ArizonaCONF | L 24–27 | +8.7 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 83ColoradoCONF | W 26–19 | +6.1 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 113StanfordCONF | W 62–17 | +20.1 | — | PACN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 12WashingtonCONF | L 20–22 | +8.5 | — | ABC |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 3OregonCONF | L 7–31 | -3.3 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 7Notre DameNEUTRAL | L 8–40 | -11.1 | — | CBS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.7% | 11th | 43.8% | 88th |
| Rushing success rate | 52.5% | 8th | 46.1% | 93rd |
| Passing success rate | 44.8% | 32nd | 41.9% | 81st |
| Explosive run rate | 17.6% | 24th | 13.9% | 55th |
| Explosive pass rate | 14.4% | 11th | 10.2% | 68th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.30 | 45th | 2.95 | 31st |
| Opportunity rate | 45.3% | 10th | 37.6% | 62nd |
| Stuff rate | 17.9% | 89th | 17.3% | 53rd |
| Sack rate | 5.2% | 56th | 7.6% | 25th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 40.6% | 63rd | 40.0% | 65th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 78.4% | 4th | 60.5% | 66th |
| Havoc rate | 9.0% | 90th | 9.5% | 36th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.9 | 35th | 22.8 | 45th |
| Yards / game | 409.2 | 46th | 350.1 | 40th |
| Yards / play | 6.30 | 20th | 5.19 | 53rd |
| Pass yards / game | 242.2 | 52nd | 214.0 | 72nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.28 | 26th | 7.20 | 64th |
| Completion % | 58.4% | 91st | 62.0% | 93rd |
| Rush yards / game | 167.1 | 58th | 114.2 | 23rd |
| Yards / carry | 4.88 | 28th | 3.60 | 27th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 38.5% | 66th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.00 | 16th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 31st | 2.92 | 13th |
| Penalty yards / game | 50.4 | 64th | — | — |
61 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →