The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | @ 126Hawai'i | W 37–24 | +2.9 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 25USCCONF | L 10–56 | -22.1 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs Sacramento State FCS | L 23–30 | -30.2 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 17ArizonaCONF | L 20–21 | +5.6 | — | PACN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 3OregonCONF | L 6–42 | -12.6 | — | PACN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 13 | @ 83ColoradoCONF | W 46–43 | +2.1 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 35UCLACONF | L 7–42 | -25.6 | — | ESPN |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 12WashingtonCONF | L 33–42 | +1.5 | — | FS1 |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 52Washington StateCONF | W 10–7 | +8.0 | — | PACN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 20Oregon StateCONF | L 17–62 | -20.4 | — | PACN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 67CaliforniaCONF | L 15–27 | -15.3 | — | PACN |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 7Notre Dame | L 23–56 | -14.0 | — | PACN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.5% | 111th | 52.3% | 133rd |
| Rushing success rate | 42.0% | 89th | 56.5% | 133rd |
| Passing success rate | 35.9% | 109th | 48.8% | 132nd |
| Explosive run rate | 11.9% | 109th | 15.7% | 86th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.4% | 91st | 10.9% | 82nd |
| Line yards / carry | 2.72 | 129th | 3.47 | 120th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.3% | 108th | 45.7% | 129th |
| Stuff rate | 20.6% | 123rd | 14.4% | 94th |
| Sack rate | 7.3% | 101st | 5.4% | 80th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 35.4% | 108th | 51.2% | 132nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.7% | 117th | 82.6% | 132nd |
| Havoc rate | 10.2% | 117th | 6.4% | 107th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 20.8 | 111th | 37.3 | 130th |
| Yards / game | 351.9 | 90th | 461.7 | 132nd |
| Yards / play | 4.80 | 114th | 6.40 | 125th |
| Pass yards / game | 233.0 | 58th | 283.5 | 133rd |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.58 | 100th | 8.45 | 124th |
| Completion % | 54.8% | 117th | 66.2% | 125th |
| Rush yards / game | 118.9 | 104th | 163.7 | 94th |
| Yards / carry | 3.45 | 113th | 4.68 | 100th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 35.7% | 101st | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.17 | 41st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.42 | 121st | 1.92 | 84th |
| Penalty yards / game | 59.1 | 108th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →