
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 111Colorado State | W 50–24 | +18.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 44Wisconsin | W 31–22 | +9.8 | — | ABC |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs Northern Colorado FCS | W 64–21 | +7.4 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 20Oregon StateCONF | W 38–35 | +8.9 | — | FOX |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 35UCLACONF | L 17–25 | -0.6 | — | PACN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 17ArizonaCONF | L 6–44 | -22.3 | — | PACN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 3OregonCONF | L 24–38 | +6.7 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 108Arizona StateCONF | L 27–38 | -16.0 | — | PACN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 113StanfordCONF | L 7–10 | -14.2 | — | PACN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 67CaliforniaCONF | L 39–42 | -1.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 83ColoradoCONF | W 56–14 | +24.3 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 12WashingtonCONF | L 21–24 | +12.6 | — | FOX |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 45.1% | 42nd | 42.7% | 69th |
| Rushing success rate | 47.8% | 29th | 47.0% | 103rd |
| Passing success rate | 43.8% | 43rd | 38.6% | 35th |
| Explosive run rate | 12.0% | 106th | 11.5% | 20th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.8% | 62nd | 8.5% | 24th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.93 | 107th | 3.13 | 63rd |
| Opportunity rate | 36.1% | 93rd | 38.5% | 76th |
| Stuff rate | 17.7% | 87th | 17.2% | 56th |
| Sack rate | 6.9% | 92nd | 4.7% | 105th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 42.4% | 47th | 42.1% | 84th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 37th | 62.2% | 74th |
| Havoc rate | 8.6% | 76th | 7.4% | 87th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.0 | 34th | 28.1 | 79th |
| Yards / game | 421.8 | 35th | 389.4 | 78th |
| Yards / play | 5.69 | 54th | 5.51 | 72nd |
| Pass yards / game | 336.8 | 4th | 224.0 | 91st |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.92 | 43rd | 7.17 | 62nd |
| Completion % | 66.7% | 19th | 60.4% | 61st |
| Rush yards / game | 85.0 | 130th | 150.9 | 69th |
| Yards / carry | 2.98 | 125th | 4.26 | 78th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 42.1% | 42nd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.75 | 109th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.17 | 114th | 2.00 | 76th |
| Penalty yards / game | 49.8 | 60th | — | — |
60 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →