The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Portland State FCS | W 81–7 | +18.3 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 40Texas Tech | W 38–30 | +14.7 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 126Hawai'i | W 55–10 | +16.2 | — | PACN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 83ColoradoCONF | W 42–6 | +22.2 | — | ABC |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 113StanfordCONF | W 42–6 | +22.1 | — | PACN |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 12WashingtonCONF | L 33–36 | +12.6 | — | ABC |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 52Washington StateCONF | W 38–24 | +13.9 | — | ABC |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 37UtahCONF | W 35–6 | +32.9 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 67CaliforniaCONF | W 63–19 | +27.7 | — | PACN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 25USCCONF | W 36–27 | +13.5 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 108Arizona StateCONF | W 49–13 | +23.2 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 24 | vs 20Oregon StateCONF | W 31–7 | +29.9 | — | FOX |
| 14 | Dec 1 | vs 12WashingtonNEUTRAL | L 31–34 | +10.1 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 28LibertyNEUTRAL | W 45–6 | +36.0 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 59.2% | 1st | 38.9% | 29th |
| Rushing success rate | 59.7% | 2nd | 39.7% | 32nd |
| Passing success rate | 58.9% | 1st | 38.3% | 32nd |
| Explosive run rate | 19.4% | 9th | 12.0% | 24th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.7% | 26th | 8.5% | 24th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.78 | 2nd | 3.07 | 55th |
| Opportunity rate | 51.9% | 1st | 37.1% | 54th |
| Stuff rate | 13.1% | 22nd | 16.5% | 66th |
| Sack rate | 0.9% | 1st | 6.5% | 49th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 54.5% | 3rd | 38.9% | 55th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 74.6% | 13th | 58.8% | 54th |
| Havoc rate | 3.7% | 1st | 9.6% | 35th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 44.2 | 2nd | 16.5 | 9th |
| Yards / game | 531.4 | 2nd | 318.4 | 22nd |
| Yards / play | 7.78 | 2nd | 4.81 | 22nd |
| Pass yards / game | 346.9 | 1st | 195.5 | 42nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.45 | 6th | 6.14 | 10th |
| Completion % | 77.2% | 1st | 60.2% | 56th |
| Rush yards / game | 184.5 | 30th | 102.6 | 11th |
| Yards / carry | 5.91 | 3rd | 3.58 | 26th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 51.0% | 3rd | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.50 | 1st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 0.36 | 1st | 2.43 | 39th |
| Penalty yards / game | 60.6 | 111th | — | — |
69 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →