The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | vs 59San José State | W 56–28 | +24.0 | — | PACN |
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 132Nevada | W 66–14 | +15.1 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 113StanfordCONF | W 56–10 | +20.5 | — | FOX |
| 3 | — | Bye | ||||
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 108Arizona StateCONF | W 42–28 | +9.0 | — | FOX |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 83ColoradoCONF | W 48–41 | +6.1 | — | FOX |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 17ArizonaCONF | W 43–41 | +8.6 | — | ESPN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 7Notre Dame | L 20–48 | -7.1 | — | NBC |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 37UtahCONF | L 32–34 | +0.1 | — | FOX |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 67CaliforniaCONF | W 50–49 | +2.8 | — | PACN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 12WashingtonCONF | L 42–52 | +0.5 | — | ABC |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 3OregonCONF | L 27–36 | +11.7 | — | FOX |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 35UCLACONF | L 20–38 | -15.7 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 27 | vs 23LouisvilleNEUTRAL | W 42–28 | +21.7 | — | FOX |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.4% | 14th | 47.2% | 123rd |
| Rushing success rate | 50.2% | 17th | 50.5% | 123rd |
| Passing success rate | 47.2% | 18th | 43.8% | 105th |
| Explosive run rate | 21.8% | 2nd | 17.4% | 116th |
| Explosive pass rate | 15.2% | 7th | 11.3% | 94th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.42 | 20th | 3.35 | 108th |
| Opportunity rate | 45.0% | 12th | 42.9% | 120th |
| Stuff rate | 17.3% | 79th | 15.2% | 83rd |
| Sack rate | 6.7% | 86th | 6.5% | 49th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.2% | 36th | 46.6% | 118th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 78.4% | 4th | 72.9% | 121st |
| Havoc rate | 7.9% | 60th | 7.6% | 86th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 41.7 | 3rd | 34.5 | 122nd |
| Yards / game | 466.6 | 11th | 432.9 | 119th |
| Yards / play | 7.09 | 5th | 5.90 | 101st |
| Pass yards / game | 333.0 | 5th | 230.4 | 98th |
| Yards / pass att. | 9.39 | 8th | 7.68 | 96th |
| Completion % | 68.1% | 11th | 64.0% | 108th |
| Rush yards / game | 133.6 | 93rd | 186.5 | 119th |
| Yards / carry | 4.80 | 32nd | 4.79 | 110th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 43.4% | 34th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 50th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.54 | 101st | 2.31 | 49th |
| Penalty yards / game | 64.9 | 123rd | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →