The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 25USC | L 14–66 | -24.2 | — | PACN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Idaho FCS | L 6–33 | -48.3 | — | |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 27Kansas | L 24–31 | -2.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 72Texas State | L 24–35 | -9.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 65Fresno StateCONF | L 9–27 | -15.8 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 61UNLVCONF | L 27–45 | -20.3 | — | |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 109San Diego StateCONF | W 6–0 | +0.7 | — | FS2 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 122New MexicoCONF | W 34–24 | -3.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 126Hawai'iCONF | L 14–27 | -28.2 | — | |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 106Utah StateCONF | L 24–41 | -21.0 | — | |
| 12 | Nov 18 | @ 111Colorado StateCONF | L 20–30 | -15.9 | — | |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 71WyomingCONF | L 6–42 | -32.2 | — | CBSSN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 35.2% | 129th | 46.0% | 114th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.7% | 112th | 46.6% | 98th |
| Passing success rate | 30.1% | 133rd | 45.3% | 121st |
| Explosive run rate | 14.3% | 73rd | 17.2% | 112th |
| Explosive pass rate | 6.8% | 127th | 12.8% | 116th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.81 | 123rd | 3.32 | 104th |
| Opportunity rate | 37.7% | 72nd | 45.5% | 128th |
| Stuff rate | 19.4% | 111th | 15.2% | 83rd |
| Sack rate | 10.6% | 127th | 4.1% | 121st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 33.6% | 117th | 40.7% | 73rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 37.9% | 133rd | 59.5% | 63rd |
| Havoc rate | 15.0% | 133rd | 9.5% | 36th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 17.3 | 128th | 33.7 | 118th |
| Yards / game | 300.0 | 127th | 442.8 | 126th |
| Yards / play | 4.34 | 128th | 6.76 | 133rd |
| Pass yards / game | 175.2 | 113th | 245.7 | 120th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.09 | 121st | 8.81 | 129th |
| Completion % | 55.4% | 114th | 65.0% | 120th |
| Rush yards / game | 124.8 | 100th | 188.8 | 122nd |
| Yards / carry | 3.38 | 116th | 5.36 | 128th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 29.9% | 126th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.67 | 101st | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.42 | 121st | 1.42 | 124th |
| Penalty yards / game | 58.5 | 103rd | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →