The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 1 | vs Missouri State FCS | W 48–17 | +3.2 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 8 | vs 75Illinois | W 34–23 | +6.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 132Nevada | W 31–24 | -6.7 | — | CBSSN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 80BYUCONF | W 38–27 | +5.8 | — | ESPN |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 5TexasCONF | L 14–40 | -5.3 | — | ABC |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 49UCFCONF | W 51–22 | +26.2 | — | FOX |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 43Oklahoma StateCONF | L 32–39 | -1.1 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 9OklahomaCONF | W 38–33 | +16.6 | — | FOX |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 34Iowa StateCONF | W 28–21 | +14.7 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 40Texas TechCONF | L 13–16 | -1.4 | — | FS1 |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 11Kansas StateCONF | L 27–31 | +7.1 | — | FS1 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 93CincinnatiCONF | W 49–16 | +24.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| Bowls | Dec 26 | vs 61UNLVNEUTRAL | W 49–36 | +13.2 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 48.8% | 10th | 46.1% | 117th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.0% | 28th | 47.6% | 109th |
| Passing success rate | 49.8% | 8th | 44.6% | 115th |
| Explosive run rate | 19.0% | 12th | 12.2% | 26th |
| Explosive pass rate | 16.7% | 5th | 10.2% | 68th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.48 | 10th | 3.35 | 107th |
| Opportunity rate | 45.5% | 9th | 43.2% | 121st |
| Stuff rate | 13.2% | 23rd | 10.5% | 130th |
| Sack rate | 4.1% | 32nd | 6.0% | 67th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.9% | 17th | 43.4% | 103rd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 65.2% | 52nd | 71.1% | 113th |
| Havoc rate | 7.2% | 43rd | 6.9% | 97th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 39.5 | 6th | 26.2 | 65th |
| Yards / game | 446.1 | 21st | 378.2 | 63rd |
| Yards / play | 7.02 | 6th | 5.59 | 77th |
| Pass yards / game | 240.1 | 55th | 204.3 | 58th |
| Yards / pass att. | 10.04 | 3rd | 7.37 | 81st |
| Completion % | 64.3% | 34th | 66.2% | 126th |
| Rush yards / game | 206.0 | 9th | 161.5 | 89th |
| Yards / carry | 5.37 | 10th | 4.45 | 88th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 48.3% | 10th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.31 | 50th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.23 | 18th | 2.00 | 76th |
| Penalty yards / game | 56.9 | 91st | — | — |
59 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →