The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Northern Iowa FCS | W 30–9 | -2.2 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 51Iowa | L 13–20 | -6.8 | — | FOX |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 62Ohio | L 7–10 | -0.3 | — | ESPNU |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 43Oklahoma StateCONF | W 34–27 | +7.9 | — | FS1 |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 9OklahomaCONF | L 20–50 | -9.5 | — | FS1 |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 30TCUCONF | W 27–14 | +16.0 | — | FS1 |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 93CincinnatiCONF | W 30–10 | +17.6 | — | FS1 |
| 8 | — | Bye | ||||
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 102BaylorCONF | W 30–18 | +8.8 | — | BIG12|ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 27KansasCONF | L 21–28 | -2.8 | — | ESPN |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 80BYUCONF | W 45–13 | +26.7 | — | ESPN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 5TexasCONF | L 16–26 | +4.3 | — | FOX |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 11Kansas StateCONF | W 42–35 | +23.2 | — | FOX |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 31MemphisNEUTRAL | L 26–36 | -4.8 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 36.8% | 121st | 39.9% | 37th |
| Rushing success rate | 32.2% | 133rd | 41.8% | 53rd |
| Passing success rate | 41.0% | 66th | 38.2% | 30th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.6% | 111th | 13.4% | 45th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.9% | 59th | 10.0% | 57th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.41 | 133rd | 2.80 | 17th |
| Opportunity rate | 31.0% | 128th | 35.6% | 34th |
| Stuff rate | 27.0% | 133rd | 20.4% | 18th |
| Sack rate | 3.2% | 13th | 4.3% | 117th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 41.2% | 57th | 37.4% | 41st |
| Red-zone TD rate | 64.5% | 57th | 58.3% | 47th |
| Havoc rate | 9.0% | 90th | 9.2% | 43rd |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 26.2 | 74th | 22.6 | 43rd |
| Yards / game | 364.9 | 81st | 363.1 | 52nd |
| Yards / play | 6.11 | 30th | 5.10 | 42nd |
| Pass yards / game | 245.0 | 50th | 219.0 | 77th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.36 | 22nd | 6.64 | 28th |
| Completion % | 63.3% | 48th | 55.8% | 12th |
| Rush yards / game | 119.9 | 103rd | 134.2 | 39th |
| Yards / carry | 4.08 | 86th | 3.83 | 40th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 39.1% | 64th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.85 | 11th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.08 | 11th | 1.62 | 111th |
| Penalty yards / game | 43.8 | 35th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →