The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs Bethune-Cookman FCS | W 56–14 | +7.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 2 | Sep 9 | @ 88Arkansas State | W 37–3 | +26.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 14 | vs 100NavyCONF | W 28–24 | -4.3 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 14MissouriNEUTRAL | L 27–34 | +4.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 38Boise State | W 35–32 | +4.8 | — | ESPN2 |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 13 | vs 45TulaneCONF | L 21–31 | -9.2 | — | ESPN |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 107UABCONF | W 45–21 | +19.1 | — | ESPN2 |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 104North TexasCONF | W 45–42 | -0.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 96South FloridaCONF | W 59–50 | +1.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 125CharlotteCONF | W 44–38 | -3.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 18SMUCONF | L 34–38 | +2.4 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 129TempleCONF | W 45–21 | +12.7 | — | ESPN |
| Bowls | Dec 29 | vs 34Iowa StateNEUTRAL | W 36–26 | +15.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.2% | 22nd | 44.2% | 92nd |
| Rushing success rate | 47.8% | 29th | 44.7% | 79th |
| Passing success rate | 46.8% | 19th | 43.7% | 104th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.6% | 66th | 15.7% | 86th |
| Explosive pass rate | 12.4% | 29th | 13.2% | 119th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.96 | 103rd | 3.02 | 42nd |
| Opportunity rate | 37.3% | 76th | 40.2% | 97th |
| Stuff rate | 18.2% | 96th | 19.7% | 25th |
| Sack rate | 3.9% | 27th | 4.8% | 101st |
| 3rd-down conversion | 44.7% | 31st | 37.6% | 42nd |
| Red-zone TD rate | 76.8% | 8th | 64.4% | 85th |
| Havoc rate | 7.4% | 47th | 9.0% | 50th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 38.9 | 7th | 28.8 | 92nd |
| Yards / game | 458.5 | 15th | 424.5 | 115th |
| Yards / play | 6.42 | 17th | 6.12 | 117th |
| Pass yards / game | 306.5 | 10th | 254.3 | 124th |
| Yards / pass att. | 8.28 | 27th | 8.06 | 114th |
| Completion % | 66.7% | 18th | 60.4% | 63rd |
| Rush yards / game | 152.0 | 76th | 156.5 | 82nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.61 | 42nd | 4.56 | 92nd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 45.4% | 20th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.15 | 34th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.46 | 31st | 1.77 | 97th |
| Penalty yards / game | 41.2 | 19th | — | — |
62 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →