The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Aug 26 | vs 7Notre DameNEUTRAL | L 3–42 | -13.5 | — | NBC |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Wagner FCS | W 24–0 | +0.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 3 | Sep 14 | @ 31MemphisCONF | L 24–28 | +3.7 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | — | Bye | ||||
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 96South FloridaCONF | L 30–44 | -21.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | vs 104North TexasCONF | W 27–24 | -5.5 | — | CBSSN |
| 7 | Oct 14 | @ 125CharlotteCONF | W 14–0 | +4.1 | — | ESPN+ |
| 8 | Oct 21 | vs 48Air Force | L 6–17 | -10.3 | — | CBS |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 129TempleCONF | L 18–32 | -25.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 107UABCONF | W 31–6 | +14.3 | — | CBSSN |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 105East CarolinaCONF | W 10–0 | +1.6 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 13 | Nov 25 | @ 18SMUCONF | L 14–59 | -19.9 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 14 | — | Bye | ||||
| 15 | Dec 9 | vs 89ArmyNEUTRAL | L 11–17 | -10.1 | — | CBS |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 38.0% | 115th | 40.9% | 48th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.9% | 111th | 37.6% | 17th |
| Passing success rate | 33.3% | 121st | 44.2% | 109th |
| Explosive run rate | 11.7% | 110th | 12.9% | 36th |
| Explosive pass rate | 8.7% | 102nd | 10.3% | 70th |
| Line yards / carry | 2.93 | 107th | 2.93 | 29th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.4% | 106th | 33.6% | 16th |
| Stuff rate | 17.1% | 77th | 19.0% | 35th |
| Sack rate | 9.9% | 125th | 7.8% | 18th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 30.5% | 128th | 33.8% | 17th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 51.9% | 116th | 74.1% | 123rd |
| Havoc rate | 10.6% | 123rd | 9.1% | 47th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 17.7 | 124th | 22.3 | 38th |
| Yards / game | 300.3 | 126th | 353.7 | 46th |
| Yards / play | 4.67 | 118th | 5.32 | 60th |
| Pass yards / game | 105.7 | 131st | 211.4 | 68th |
| Yards / pass att. | 6.37 | 109th | 7.82 | 102nd |
| Completion % | 51.3% | 130th | 65.2% | 121st |
| Rush yards / game | 194.6 | 18th | 128.8 | 35th |
| Yards / carry | 4.26 | 70th | 3.65 | 31st |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 28.9% | 130th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.08 | 30th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 2.00 | 63rd | 2.42 | 41st |
| Penalty yards / game | 46.0 | 44th | — | — |
52 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
| # | Player | Pos▲ | Class | Ht | Wt | Hometown |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tai Lavatai | QB | ||||
| 5 | Braxton Woodson | QB | ||||
| 7 | Xavier Arline | QB | ||||
| 11 | Blake Horvath | QB | ||||
| 22 | Eli Heidenreich | RB | ||||
| 28 | Amin Hassan | RB | ||||
| 34 | Anton Hall Jr. | RB | ||||
| 46 | Alex Tecza | RB | ||||
| 38 | Logan Point | FB | ||||
| 40 | Khalil Crawford | FB | ||||
| 45 | Daba Fofana | FB | ||||
| 23 | Tyler Bradley | WR | ||||
| 24 | Brandon Chatman | WR | ||||
| 32 | Turner Stepp | WR | ||||
| 82 | Nathan Kent | WR | ||||
| 84 | Regis Velez | WR | ||||
| 87 | Jayden Umbarger | WR | ||||
| 89 | Camari Williams | WR | ||||
| 83 | Cody Howard | TE | ||||
| 95 | Jacob Busic | DL | ||||
| 11 | Eavan Gibbons | DE | ||||
| 16 | Joe Hutson | DE | ||||
| 33 | Jordan Sanders | DE | ||||
| 41 | James Perkins | DE | ||||
| 91 | Chreign LaFond | DE | ||||
| 94 | Justin Reed | DE | ||||
| 99 | Tyler Narayan | DE | ||||
| 96 | Landon Robinson | DT | ||||
| 97 | Clay Cromwell | DT | ||||
| 7 | Mbiti Williams Jr. | LB | ||||
| 14 | Jaxson Campbell | LB | ||||
| 21 | JaSean McLean | LB | ||||
| 35 | Luke Pirris | LB | ||||
| 42 | Chaisen Buckner | LB | ||||
| 44 | Colin Ramos | LB | ||||
| 52 | Jianni Woodson-Brooks | LB | ||||
| 53 | Trey Jamison | LB | ||||
| 54 | Will Harbour | LB | ||||
| 3 | Elias Larry | DB | ||||
| 1 | Dashaun Peele | CB | ||||
| 13 | Andrew Duhart | CB | ||||
| 2 | Marcus Moore | S | ||||
| 4 | Adam Walker II | S | ||||
| 8 | Jacob Rooks | S | ||||
| 18 | Rayuan Lane III | S | ||||
| 31 | Xavier McDonald | S | ||||
| 6 | Evan Warren | PK | ||||
| 17 | Nathan Kirkwood | PK | ||||
| 90 | Riley Riethman | P | ||||
| Rayne Fry | LS | |||||
| 0 | Donald Berniard Jr. | G | ||||
| Team | - |
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →