
The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 66Western Kentucky | L 24–41 | -15.0 | — | CBSSN |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Florida A&M FCS | W 38–24 | -9.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | vs 8Alabama | L 3–17 | -1.0 | — | ABC |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 86RiceCONF | W 42–29 | +6.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 5 | Sep 30 | @ 100NavyCONF | W 44–30 | +10.8 | — | CBSSN |
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 107UABCONF | L 35–56 | -25.9 | — | ESPNEWS |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 97Florida AtlanticCONF | L 14–56 | -38.2 | — | ESPN2 |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 118UConn | W 24–21 | -4.4 | — | CBSSN |
| 9 | — | Bye | ||||
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 31MemphisCONF | L 50–59 | -1.3 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 129TempleCONF | W 27–23 | -12.4 | — | ESPN+ |
| 12 | Nov 17 | @ 42UTSACONF | L 21–49 | -18.9 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 125CharlotteCONF | W 48–14 | +12.5 | — | ESPNU |
| Bowls | Dec 21 | vs 81SyracuseNEUTRAL | W 45–0 | +28.1 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 39.2% | 106th | 40.3% | 39th |
| Rushing success rate | 39.4% | 115th | 41.1% | 45th |
| Passing success rate | 39.0% | 87th | 39.6% | 44th |
| Explosive run rate | 14.7% | 64th | 16.5% | 104th |
| Explosive pass rate | 10.9% | 59th | 12.9% | 118th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.03 | 90th | 2.72 | 13th |
| Opportunity rate | 35.6% | 103rd | 35.7% | 35th |
| Stuff rate | 17.5% | 85th | 21.6% | 12th |
| Sack rate | 8.8% | 117th | 4.4% | 115th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 38.0% | 89th | 34.8% | 25th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 66.7% | 37th | 74.4% | 124th |
| Havoc rate | 9.8% | 111th | 10.3% | 19th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.8 | 37th | 32.2 | 111th |
| Yards / game | 451.6 | 17th | 432.5 | 118th |
| Yards / play | 5.49 | 74th | 5.92 | 103rd |
| Pass yards / game | 268.8 | 32nd | 276.8 | 132nd |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.82 | 47th | 8.06 | 113th |
| Completion % | 64.2% | 35th | 59.9% | 55th |
| Rush yards / game | 182.8 | 33rd | 143.7 | 50th |
| Yards / carry | 4.10 | 85th | 4.06 | 60th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 37.5% | 79th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.62 | 98th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 3.31 | 118th | 1.77 | 97th |
| Penalty yards / game | 65.5 | 124th | — | — |
68 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →