The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | @ 87Houston | L 14–17 | -4.3 | — | FS1 |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs 72Texas State | W 20–13 | +3.0 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 15 | vs 89Army | L 29–37 | -14.6 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | @ 16Tennessee | L 14–45 | -14.2 | — | SEC Network |
| 5 | — | Bye | ||||
| 6 | Oct 7 | @ 129TempleCONF | W 49–34 | +3.7 | — | ESPN+ |
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 107UABCONF | W 41–20 | +11.0 | — | ESPNU |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 97Florida AtlanticCONF | W 36–10 | +21.9 | — | ESPN+ |
| 9 | Oct 28 | vs 105East CarolinaCONF | W 41–27 | +5.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 10 | Nov 4 | @ 104North TexasCONF | W 37–29 | +4.6 | — | ESPN+ |
| 11 | Nov 11 | vs 86RiceCONF | W 34–14 | +13.6 | — | ESPNU |
| 12 | Nov 17 | vs 96South FloridaCONF | W 49–21 | +17.6 | — | ESPN2 |
| 13 | Nov 24 | @ 45TulaneCONF | L 16–29 | -7.2 | — | ABC |
| Bowls | Dec 19 | vs 99MarshallNEUTRAL | W 35–17 | +12.7 | — | ESPN |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 42.3% | 69th | 38.6% | 26th |
| Rushing success rate | 41.2% | 99th | 39.3% | 29th |
| Passing success rate | 43.3% | 52nd | 38.1% | 29th |
| Explosive run rate | 15.5% | 51st | 11.1% | 17th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 97th | 10.6% | 74th |
| Line yards / carry | 3.01 | 94th | 2.92 | 28th |
| Opportunity rate | 33.5% | 121st | 33.8% | 18th |
| Stuff rate | 16.9% | 72nd | 18.3% | 42nd |
| Sack rate | 5.0% | 52nd | 8.4% | 8th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 47.4% | 20th | 39.8% | 60th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 70.8% | 21st | 59.0% | 56th |
| Havoc rate | 8.3% | 70th | 10.4% | 18th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 32.1 | 33rd | 24.1 | 54th |
| Yards / game | 421.6 | 36th | 369.1 | 57th |
| Yards / play | 5.55 | 66th | 4.94 | 26th |
| Pass yards / game | 249.8 | 48th | 210.5 | 65th |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.28 | 71st | 6.72 | 34th |
| Completion % | 65.0% | 26th | 56.2% | 15th |
| Rush yards / game | 171.8 | 52nd | 135.5 | 42nd |
| Yards / carry | 4.33 | 64th | 3.71 | 33rd |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 47.4% | 13th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 1.69 | 105th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.92 | 59th | 3.54 | 2nd |
| Penalty yards / game | 51.2 | 68th | — | — |
64 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →