The TDC Rating after every week of the season
Game score = the rating that one result implies, after adjusting for opponent and venue
| Wk | Date | Opponent | Result / TDC line | Game score | Win chance | TV |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Sep 2 | vs 101VirginiaNEUTRAL | W 49–13 | +22.5 | — | ABC |
| 2 | Sep 9 | vs Austin Peay FCS | W 30–13 | -6.2 | — | ESPN+ |
| 3 | Sep 16 | @ 55FloridaCONF | L 16–29 | -8.2 | — | ESPN |
| 4 | Sep 23 | vs 42UTSA | W 45–14 | +27.8 | — | SEC Network |
| 5 | Sep 30 | vs 60South CarolinaCONF | W 41–20 | +19.5 | — | SEC Network |
| 6 | — | Bye | ||||
| 7 | Oct 14 | vs 24Texas A&MCONF | W 20–13 | +11.7 | — | CBS |
| 8 | Oct 21 | @ 8AlabamaCONF | L 20–34 | +4.1 | — | CBS |
| 9 | Oct 28 | @ 41KentuckyCONF | W 33–27 | +12.5 | — | ESPN |
| 10 | Nov 4 | vs 118UConn | W 59–3 | +22.7 | — | SEC Network |
| 11 | Nov 11 | @ 14MissouriCONF | L 7–36 | -11.6 | — | CBS |
| 12 | Nov 18 | vs 2GeorgiaCONF | L 10–38 | -8.5 | — | CBS |
| 13 | Nov 25 | vs 115VanderbiltCONF | W 48–24 | +12.3 | — | SEC Network |
| Bowls | Jan 1 | vs 51IowaNEUTRAL | W 35–0 | +30.6 | — | ABC |
Hover an advanced stat for what it means. Box-score totals include FCS games and aren't opponent-adjusted
| Stat | Offense | FBS rank | Defense (allowed) | FBS rank |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Play-by-play advanced · garbage time excluded (computed from every play) | ||||
| Success rate | 47.2% | 22nd | 38.7% | 28th |
| Rushing success rate | 48.2% | 26th | 38.3% | 24th |
| Passing success rate | 46.1% | 26th | 39.1% | 41st |
| Explosive run rate | 19.2% | 11th | 13.6% | 49th |
| Explosive pass rate | 9.1% | 97th | 11.2% | 92nd |
| Line yards / carry | 3.39 | 27th | 2.71 | 11th |
| Opportunity rate | 40.9% | 41st | 34.5% | 24th |
| Stuff rate | 10.9% | 3rd | 20.0% | 20th |
| Sack rate | 5.0% | 52nd | 8.4% | 8th |
| 3rd-down conversion | 43.7% | 42nd | 37.0% | 37th |
| Red-zone TD rate | 57.1% | 96th | 52.9% | 24th |
| Havoc rate | 5.7% | 13th | 9.9% | 29th |
| Box score · season totals | ||||
| Points / game | 31.8 | 37th | 20.3 | 23rd |
| Yards / game | 448.1 | 19th | 335.1 | 32nd |
| Yards / play | 6.31 | 19th | 4.75 | 17th |
| Pass yards / game | 243.2 | 51st | 200.8 | 51st |
| Yards / pass att. | 7.71 | 48th | 6.95 | 48th |
| Completion % | 63.9% | 39th | 65.2% | 121st |
| Rush yards / game | 204.8 | 10th | 113.7 | 20th |
| Yards / carry | 5.45 | 7th | 3.19 | 12th |
| 3rd-down conv. % | 41.7% | 46th | — | — |
| Turnovers / game (lost · forced) | 0.92 | 14th | — | — |
| Sacks / game (allowed · made) | 1.85 | 52nd | 3.15 | 9th |
| Penalty yards / game | 67.9 | 126th | — | — |
74 players who recorded a stat in 2023 (from box scores)
Final ratings for 2023, built with the same model as the current season. Ratings are in points on a neutral field. All 2023 power rankings →